BCS Rankings 2013 Week 11: Most Overrated and Underrated Teams in the Standings

Boy, that college football playoff is gonna be so awesome. Then fans will have something else to complain about.

Sooner or later, you'd think the NCAA is going to find some sort of system that makes sense to all parties involved. Step by step it's been getting there.

Prior to the creation of the BCS, the way the national champion was decided proved to be antiquated.

Then the BCS came along with so many different weighted values and variables that nobody can make much sense of it all.

At least with the playoff, progress is being made and perhaps college football is closer to that optimal strategy for finding the best team.

Here's what the BCS standings look like this week.

Pos.	Team	Record	BCS Avg.
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-0	.9797
2	Florida State Seminoles	8-0	.9525
3	Oregon Ducks	8-0	.9435
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	9-0	.8720
5	Stanford Cardinal	7-1	.7930
6	Baylor Bears	7-0	.7745
7	Clemson Tigers	8-1	.7277
8	Missouri Tigers	8-1	.6890
9	Auburn Tigers	8-1	.6686
10	Oklahoma Sooners	7-1	.6084
11	Miami Hurricanes	7-1	.5246
12	South Carolina Gamecocks	7-2	.5111
13	LSU Tigers	7-2	.4525
14	Oklahoma State Cowboys	7-1	.4395
15	Texas A&M Aggies	7-2	.4365
16	Fresno State Bulldogs	8-0	.3675
17	Michigan State Spartans	8-1	.3394
18	Northern Illinois Huskies	9-0	.3169
19	UCLA Bruins	6-2	.2904
20	Louisville Cardinals	7-1	.2510
21	UCF Golden Knights	6-1	.2151
22	Arizona State Sun Devils	6-2	.1770
23	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	7-2	.1662
24	Wisconsin Badgers	6-2	.1288
25	Texas Tech Red Raiders	7-2	.0986

These four teams have either been undervalued or overvalued by the computers. None of the errors is altogether egregious, but these decisions are further illustrations that there's no perfect way to do this.

Overrated

No. 6 Baylor Bears

You know your offense is good when scoring 59 points is one of your worst performances. No one is debating how good the Baylor Bears are when it comes to that side of the ball.

However, this team has yet to be truly tested. Baylor's biggest wins have come against Kansas State and West Virginia, and admittedly those don't have the same allure they would've in seasons past.

Until the Bears get through their upcoming three-game stretch, you can't put them too high. Should they beat Oklahoma and Texas Tech at home and then follow up with a win against Oklahoma State on the road, there's no doubting they're one of the best teams in the country.

No. 8 Missouri Tigers

Maybe this whole move to the SEC is going to work out for Missouri. If it had an 8-1 record in the Big 12, then it would be hovering on the edge of the Top 15 and not the Top 10.

The Tigers' two biggest wins of the season came against the injury-ravaged Georgia Bulldogs and a Florida Gators team that may finish the regular season at .500.

Missouri's lone loss was against South Carolina, which by itself isn't that bad. But the Tigers were playing at home and in control of the game for two-and-a-half quarters, before imploding in the second half and overtime.

Are the Tigers still a good football team? Of course. However, there are better one-loss teams out there than Missouri.

Underrated

No. 21 UCF Knights

How is it that one-loss UCF is still behind one-loss Louisville? The Knights beat the Cardinals on the road, and yet, they remain looking up at their American Athletic Conference foes. In the world of college football, I guess that makes sense.

The Knights' only loss of the season was to South Carolina, and that game was decided by three points.

There's little chance UCF doesn't run the table the rest of the season. It already got its biggest win of the season beating Louisville. After that, it was all downhill in terms of schedule strength.

UCF isn't among the elite teams in the country, but it deserves to be ahead of Louisville, at the very least.

No. 24 Wisconsin Badgers

Hypothetically speaking, let's say the Wisconsin Badgers kick a game-winning field goal against Arizona State and sit at 7-1 right now. They'd be much higher in the standings. It's not an extreme hypothetical, either, if the officials had actually done their jobs back in September.

Because of that loss, the Badgers are languishing at No. 24, when they should be in the Top 20, at the very least. Their only other loss of the season came against unbeaten Ohio State, by seven points in Columbus.

Under Gary Andersen, Wisconsin is doing what it does best: running the football and playing great defense. It has the 10th-best rushing offense to go along with a defensive unit that ranks 15th in total defense.

It's a shame the Badgers likely won't have the Big Ten title game to prove themselves. Their toughest remaining game is home against BYU, and winning that won't sway voters too much.