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Early Signs Look Good for Colorado Rockies

Bob Locke
Apr 17, 2009

The Rockies departed Chicago with an even 4-4 record to open the season. While that may sound pretty pedestrian, I would argue otherwise. Consider the following:

The Rockies have outscored the opposition 44-35 over the first eight games. Extend that over a full season, and you're looking at a run differential of +182. For reference, theย Red Sox were +210 in '07 when they won 96 games and beat the Rockies in the World Series.

How are they scoring all these runs? They're hitting .295 with runners in scoring position, compared to just .236 overall. Spilborghs, Helton, and Hawpe each have batting averages below .260, but they also each haveย 4 RBI without a HR. Garrett Atkins hasย tallied 2 HR and 5 RBIโ€”on just six hits.

At 4.11 pitches per plate appearance, the Rockies lead the entire NL. Opposing starters have totalled 39.2 IP and 735 pitches. On average, it'sย taking a starterย 92 pitches to get through five innings of work against the Rockies' lineup. That's a recipe for sustained success.

Don Baylor is looking like the best pickup of the winterย at the moment.

Even with ugly outings from Cook and De la Rosa, theย combined ERA for the starters is 4.38. I was hoping for an aggregate around 4.25, and they've basicallyย delivered that so far. I'd like to see them average a couple of more outs per game, though, as they aren't going much deeper than the opposition's starters at this point.

The pitching staff as a whole has posted an ERA+ of 111, putting them solidly on the right side of that particular line. A little worrisome is the 46 Ks to 28 BBs through 8 games. That's not aย bad ratio, but it's enough below the league average to cause concern.

All in all, I'm very happy with the overall play of the club in the early going, Huston Street notwithstanding. The next two series,ย three games at LA followed byย three at Arizona, should tell us a lot about where this team really is.