NFL Picks Week 2: Favorites That Will Destroy Spread

One week of NFL action is all we need to confidently exploit errant betting lines.

There are actually a few underdogs I like to win straight up this week, but we will tackle that another time. This is about the favorites who will easily cover the spread. 

*Point spreads according to Football Locks on Sept. 11. 

Oakland Raiders at Miami Dolphins

Line: Raiders -2.5

These two teams combined to score a whopping 24 points in their openers as they both limped to unimpressive losses. 

Both played solid run defense in their openers, but self-inflicted wounds doomed them. Of those wounds, Miami's are most likely to repeat as rookie QB Ryan Tannehill chucked three picks. 

While I don't expect Tannehill to have another three-pick outing, more struggles await the youngster. Miami has a terrible receiving corp and the Raiders new look defense should be able to limit any damage the 'Phins can do on the ground, which will put the onus to move the offense on Tannehill's inexperienced shoulders. 

Meanwhile, Carson Palmer actually looked fairly sharp while throwing for almost 300 yards, a score and no picks. 

Quarterback play is going to be the difference in this one. 

Prediction: Raiders 24, Dolphins 13

Detroit Lions at San Francisco 49ers

Line: 49ers -6.5

Detroit's offense ran into serious problems against the the St. Louis Rams in the opener, and now it has to take on the a fierce 49ers defense. 

This is terrible news for Matt Stafford, who finished with 355 yards, but also threw three completions to the wrong team. With San Francisco's front seven harassing Stafford all day, he is going to have a hard time eliminating the turnovers. 

On the positive side, the Lions did a nice job of limiting the Rams' rushing attack last week, but they did allow Sam Bradford to finish with a QB rating of 105.1. 

The 49ers defense is going to give their offense solid field position and put them in a position to win the time of possession battle. That is more than Detroit will be able to overcome. 

New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers

Line: Steelers -6

I'm putting myself in a position to get burned by the Jets two weeks in a row here. I was so down on New York, I was confident it would lose to Buffalo in Week 1. 

While they proved they are better than the absolute disaster I thought they'd be, they are still not a playoff-caliber team. 

Mark Sanchez was fantastic in Week 1, but the Bills made it easy on him. That is not going to be the case against an angry Steelers team determined not to start at 0-2. 

Even more of a problem for the Jets than the struggles Pittsburgh will present to their passing game is the fact that their rush defense is incredibly vulnerable. They allowed the Bills to rush for 195 yards at 7.5 yards per carry. 

Pittsburgh, and its questionable offensive line, won't put up the same numbers, but it will have enough success that it will make things easier for Ben Roethlisberger and the passing game, where the Jets could be without Darrelle Revis due to a concussion suffered in Week 1 (h/t Associated Press).