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Kentucky Derby 2012 Post Positions: How Did Historically Great Positions Finish?

Donald WoodMay 6, 2012

In what was a shocking victory, I’ll Have Another shocked the 138th running of the Kentucky Derby by being the first horse out of the 19th post to win the race.

While the importance of post positions has been argued over the years, there is no doubt that a horse’s chance are better the close to the inside rail it is.

That horse needs to be one-of-a-kind amazing, but the post position can play into a third-place finish or a five-length victory. Here are the complete results from the 2012 race and the complete post history of the race.

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Complete Results

 1I'll Have Another Mario Gutierrez 19 15-1
 2Bodemeister Mike Smith 6 4-1
 3Dullahan Kent Desormeaux  5 12-1
 4Went The Day WellJohn Velazquez
1330-1 
 5Creative CauseJoel Rosario 11-1
 6LiaisonMartin Garcia
20  56-1
 7Union RagsJulien Leparoux 4 5-1
 8Rousing SermonJose Lezcano
40-1
 9HansenRamon Dominguez
1413-1 
 10Daddy Nose Best Garett Gomez
1014-1
 11OptimizerJon Court
42-1 
 12Alpha Rajiv Maragh
1119-1
 13El Padrino Rafael Bejarano
16 29-1 
 14Done TalkingSheldon Russell
17 39-1 
 15SabercatCorey Nakatani
18 37-1 
 16GemologistJavier Castellano
15 18-1 
 17TrinnibergWillie Martinez
19 44-1 
 18ProspectiveLuis Contreras
12 57-1 
 19Take Charge IndyCalvin Borel
11-1 
 20Daddy Long Legs
Colm O'Donoghue 1
26-1

In the wild world of sports, there is no such thing as a sure bet. That’s why it’s called gambling.

As great as it was to see I’ll Have Another steal a win from a post spot that has never won a Derby before, it doesn’t buck the trend of winners coming from closer to the rail.

Six of the top 10 finishing horses started from the first 10 posts on Saturday, proving that the closer you are to the No. 1 post without actually being on it is the best.

Only one horse has won from the No. 1 post since 1970.

While there is no predicting the wild underdog stories, putting yourself in the best position to capitalize on a bet means wagering on the spots that have the longest history of winning.

Kentucky Derby Post History (1900-2012)

Position

Wins

1

12

2

9

3

8

4

11

5

12

6

6

7

8

8

10

9

4

10

10

11

3

12

3

13

4

14

2

15

3

16

4

17

0

18

1

19

1

20

2

The Kentucky Derby is one of the oldest races in the world, yet the results always have remained similar. That’s basic science folks; the shorter distance a horse runs, the less time it will take.

While you have to deal with traffic and a horse’s exhaustion, the post that allows the horses to get a start out of the gate that features no turning to the inside at all, just straightaway speed will get the early lead.

As we saw on Saturday, Bodemeister came out of the No. 2 Post and ran to the front of the field. If he had just a bit better stamina, he would have won, and there is no doubt that the post spot helped him get that early lead.

If the people that question the importance of the post positions still disagree, just look at history; it won’t lie.

Check back for more on Horse Racing as it comes, and check out Bleacher Report’s Horse Racing Page to get your fill of all things from the ponies.

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