NFL Week 11 Picks: Big Favorites You Can Count on to Cover

The only thing that scares me more than zombies that run are point spreads that are seven points or more. The two are actually very similar in many respects.

Or not at all, I guess.

At any rate, if you take a look at the Week 11 schedule, you'll notice that there are quite a few point spreads that are more than seven points. Typically, these are points spreads that I run from like I'd run from a pack of zombies, but I'm feeling a little more confident this week.

Here are four big favorites that you can count on. 

Note: All spreads according to Sportsbook.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Green Bay Packers (-14)

As I recall, the Packers were favored to beat the Minnesota Vikings by 14 points. I also recall picking the Vikings.

The Packers ended up winning by 38.

The moral of the story is that the Packers can score a lot of points, and they are simply not troubled with point spreads.

My guess is that we're going to see more of the same from the Packers against the Buccaneers. The Bucs are a mediocre team to begin with, and the Packers are an awful matchup for them.

Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense will get an early lead, the Bucs will have to turn to Josh Freeman to generate offense and things will unravel from there.

In the end, I expect another blowout victory and another easy cover for the Packers.

Packers 35, Buccaneers 14

Dallas Cowboys (-8) at Washington Redskins

The Cowboys have looked very good in each of their last three home games, but we're going to find out if they can continue that success on the road this Sunday. The Cowboys have won just a single road game this season, and have generally been outplayed away from Cowboys Stadium.

I'm not too worried about that happening on Sunday against the Redskins. While I do think we can expect the Cowboys to come back to earth a little after their 44-7 stomping of the Buffalo Bills, the Redskins are bad enough to make just about every team in the league look good.

It's probably not going to be a pretty game one way or the other. The Redskins offense will look as awful as it has been looking since Week 6, and the Cowboys will go back to being totally unpredictable. In the end, though, I think the Redskins are going to give them too many chances to break through.

Cowboys 24, Redskins 10

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (-9.5)

The word from the Arizona Republic is that Kevin Kolb "didn’t look close to being ready" during Wednesday's practice, meaning the Cardinals are facing another game with John Skelton under center.

Not that it matters, of course. The Cardinals pretty much don't stand a chance against the 49ers at Candlestick Park. The only real question is how many points the 49ers are going to win by.

Because the 49ers are far from being a prolific offensive team, my guess is that they're going to win by just enough to cover the spread. In fact, I'm expecting them to need a defensive touchdown in order to get the job done.

They'll get one—and they'll get it done.

49ers 21, Cardinals 10 

Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots (-14.5)

With Matt Cassel out for the foreseeable future, it's up to the great Tyler Palko to put up a fight against Tom Brady and the mighty Patriots.

Um, yeah...

This one's not going to be close. The Chiefs are going to struggle to move the ball all night, and that's only going to create more opportunities for the Pats to grind them into dust in front of a gigantic Monday Night Football audience.

The only way the Pats will fail to cover is if they somehow get back in that offensive slump they were in not too long ago.

My guess is that this is not going to happen.

Patriots 35, Chiefs 7