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NFL Week 10 Picks: High-Scoring Games That Are Sure to Beat the Over

Mike ChiariNov 10, 2011

Betting the over/under can be a maddening experience at times, but it always seems as though there is money to be made if you can accurately read the lines. Two high-scoring teams doesn't always equal an over score, just as two low-scoring teams won't necessarily yield an under total.

The over/under number itself varies greatly from game to game, so it is important to look at every factor. Here are three Week 10 games that should have absolutely no problem beating the over this week.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Seattle Seahawks (41)

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Seeing as the Seattle Seahawks have a weak offense and the Baltimore Ravens have a dominant defense, it may not seem like a good bet to take the over in this game. Despite that, I think this game should most definitely surpass the total of 41 points.

For one, Baltimore's offense has been leaps and bounds better since an embarrassing Monday night loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars. Quarterback Joe Flacco has been banging on all cylinders, and there is no reason why he won't be able to pass on Seattle. If the Ravens offense continues to excel, then they should easily score in the 30s.

If that happens, then the Seahawks won't need much offensive output at all. The Seahawks have struggled to put points on the board in recent weeks, but they did manage to score 28 and 36 points in consecutive weeks against the Atlanta Falcons and New York Giants, respectively. If Seattle can even get to double-digit points, then this should be an over game.

Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs (41)

Just when you thought Denver Broncos quarterback Tim Tebow was dead in the water, the offense adds a wrinkle that makes him extremely effective. Denver featured a surprising option attack on Sunday against the Oakland Raiders that allowed both Tebow and running back Willis McGahee to go over 100 yards rushing.

If the Broncos continue to use that package, then they should be able to put some points up this week against the Kansas City Chiefs, who were blown out by the Miami Dolphins last weekend. The Chiefs will be out for revenge and should be bale to pass on a Broncos secondary that was torched by Oakland last week.

I'm not entirely sure why the over/under is only 41 in this game, but I think these two teams should obliterate that number. Neither squad is necessarily an offensive dynamo, but both teams struggle on defense and should yield some points on Sunday.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers (51)

Any game involving the undefeated Green Bay Packers is a threat to be the over, and this week against the Minnesota Vikings should be no different. The Packers average over 34 points per game and put up 33 against this same Vikings team just a few weeks ago.

Quarterback Aaron Rodgers dissected Minnesota's secondary earlier in the year, and that should happen once again on Monday night since the Vikings have struggled against the pass all season. Everyone knows that the Packers are going to put up points, so it really comes down to what the Vikings can do.

Minnesota managed to hang with the Packers a few weeks back by scoring 27 points. I certainly think they can have similar success as Green Bay's secondary has been torched in recent weeks. Rookie quarterback Christian Ponder was effective against the Packers in his first career start, so he should be even better this time around. Also, running back Adrian Peterson is always a threat to break one.

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