NFL Predictions: 5 Teams That Will Cover the Spread in Week 7

Our picks went 4-1 in Week 6, with the Patriots failing to cover the seven-point spread—thanks to four turnovers.

Looking ahead to Week 7, we're sticking mostly with the same trend, betting the good teams to cover high spreads against bad teams, regardless of where the game is being played.

Four of our five picks were made with this theory in mind, and we'll continue to bet that way until something changes.

Let's take a look at Week 7...

Denver (+1.5) at Miami

Our first pick obviously stands out a bit as we are taking a 1-4 underdog to win on the road.

Normally, that would be a bit of a reach, but two factors come into play here—a historically bad Miami Dolphins team (did you see the Monday night game?) and Tim Tebow.

Look, I don't think Tim Tebow is ever going to be a truly successful NFL quarterback, but I do think he is extremely difficult to prepare for to his unique style of play.

You can bet Denver head coach John Fox will play to his strengths by getting Tebow on the move—rolling him out on bootlegs and giving him the option to run or pass.

Tebow's ability to improvise on the fly will be the difference here as this Dolphins team is simply too bad to not bet against every week.

Prediction:  Denver 23 Miami 17

Dallas (-13) vs. St. Louis

OK, I was wrong about the Cowboys, they were impressive against the Patriots last week—despite getting WAY too conservative at the end of the game.

Dallas will feel a lot better about themselves after they welcome the winless St. Louis Rams to town on Sunday.  

Not only are the Rams the second-worst team in the NFL (sorry Miami), they will be without the services of starting quarterback Sam Bradford.

His replacement?  A.J. Feeley.

This is what I like to call a "mortgage" bet, as in bet your home mortgage (or just a lot of cash if you rent) on the Cowboys to cover the spread in this one.

Prediction:  Dallas 34 St. Louis 10

***don't really bet your mortgage on the Cowboys please*** (or at least ask your spouse first)

Green Bay (-9.5) vs. Minnesota

When do the Packers ever not cover the spread?

And speaking of the spread, why is it only 9.5?  

Did you see the Vikings against the Bears on Sunday night?

When you take into account a Packers offense that's even more impossible to stop indoors, combined with a rookie quarterback in Christian Ponder making his first start for Minnesota—it equals a spread that should be 19.5 points, not 9.5.

Prediction:  Green Bay 37 Minnesota 10

New Orleans (-14) vs. Indianapolis

New Orleans is 2-0 at home this year, winning by an average score of 35-23.  The two teams they beat at home (Chicago and Houston) are significantly better than the Colts (the third worst team in the NFL).

The Saints are eager to get back in front of their home crowd after playing three straight games on the road, and we know the Superdome will be looking to inspire a pass rush that will rattle Curtis Painter from the get-go.

Last week's loss was kind of flukey with the injury to Sean Payton and Tampa Bay looking to prove a point at home after losing by 45 points the week before.

New Orleans will feel much better about themselves after facing a Colts defense ranked 28th in the NFL.

Prediction:  New Orleans 34 Indianapolis 13

Baltimore (-8) vs. Jacksonville

Let's see here, the best defense in the NFL going up against a rookie quarterback and the second-worst offense in the NFL.

And let's not forget about the Ravens fifth-ranked offense that enters the contest averaging nearly 30 points per game.

It's really hard to picture Blaine Gabbert hanging in against this defense under the bright lights of Monday Night Football.

As usual, Ray Lewis and company will be looking to a prove a point to America—despite the recent offensive explosion in the NFL, defense can still win championships in the NFL.

Prediction:  Baltimore 30 Jacksonville 9