NFL Picks Week 7: Oakland Raiders QB Carson Palmer Prop Bets
The Oakland Raiders (4-2) have moved up in the betting odds to 4.5-point home favorites in their AFC West matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs (2-3) Sunday.
Quarterback Carson Palmer has been the main story all week, as the franchise made a bold trade in acquiring the Cincinnati Bengals star, who was seemingly committed to retirement if not given the chance to play for another NFL team.
From a betting perspective, sports books are trying to cash in on the league's biggest story this week, offering numerous proposition wagers for its patrons.
Let's take a look at three offerings that will have you cashing in at the end of Week 7 and the regular season.
Total Passing Yards, Week 7
1 of 3There's no question that the oddsmakers simply looked at Jason Campbell's statistics from a year ago in establishing this number, throwing for 155 and 229 yards in two games against the Kansas City Chiefs.
It's taken quite some time for wide receivers to become comfortable with Campbell, especially former first-round draft pick Darrius Heyward-Bey, who is just four catches away from a career high.
This is definitely going under the number for Carson Palmer's first start, as the Raiders haven't thrown for more than 213 yards in the last 10 meetings in this series.
Pick: Palmer's passing yards under 230.5 (-115)
Total Passing Yards in 2011
2 of 3The Oakland Raiders don't need Carson Palmer to throw for over 300 yards a game, which gives value in playing below the established total.
Campbell was averaging 195 yards per game this year, which is lower than a true number due to suffering a collarbone injury in last week's game.
Cincinnati last captured the AFC North division with a 10-6 record in 2009-10, with Palmer throwing for 193.4 yards per game. He threw 21 touchdowns and 13 interceptions that year.
It's obvious that he's not going to be benched, but there's also a chance that the 31-year-old doesn't take every snap over the final 10 games due to a potential injury.
Pick: Palmer under 2,250 passing yards this season (-115)
Total Interceptions in 2011
3 of 3I'm torn on this proposition offering, as Palmer is going to deal with miscommunication issues early on, while also being asked to throw the football down field in this vertical attack.
With that being said, I believe the number is inflated due to his 20 interceptions last season, which has me playing the under.
The Bengals ran the football a ton in 2009-10, limiting his miscues through the air to 13 for an entire 16-game season.
Pick: Palmer under 10.5 interceptions this season (-115)
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