NFL Picks Week 6: Buffalo Bills Will Stay on Track at New York Giants

Even if you're not a Bills fan, and even if you have no relationship whatsoever with the city of Buffalo, you have to dig what the Bills are doing this year.

The way I see it, the NFL needed a good success story after the whole lockout mess, and who better to play that role than the Bills?

(Admittedly, the Detroit Lions are a great co-star, but let's keep that on the down low. Hence the parentheses).

Anyhow, the next challenge for the Bills lies in New York New Jersey, where the Bills will take on the Giants at MetLife Stadium. The Giants have the home-field advantage, and they also have the oddsmakers' blessing in the form of a three-point spread in their favor.

Which is odd. The Giants are not a bad team, but they don't quite stack up to the 4-1 Bills. Apparently, home-field advantage is worth that much.

If you feel like laying down a few bills on the Bills, though, go right ahead. They're going to win outright.

From what we've been able to gather so far this year, the only way to beat the Bills is to successfully stifle their surprisingly formidable offense. The Bills are averaging better than 30 points per game this season, yet the Cincinnati Bengals were able to limit them to 20 and subsequently come away with a win.

This is something I'm not so sure the Giants can do. Their defense is by no means horrible, but it is still undermanned due to injuries. The Giants are allowing more than 24 points per game, and that number has been going up in the last two weeks.

Specifically, the Giants have had trouble with opposing runners as of late. This doesn't bode well going up against a running back like Fred Jackson, who has been among the NFL's most productive running backs this season.

It would be one thing if the Giants were a threat to counter Buffalo's rushing attack with their own, but this is an aspect of the Giants' game that has been lacking this season. Ahmad Bradshaw simply hasn't produced, and Brandon Jacobs is banged up.

In all likelihood, the Giants are going to end up asking Eli Manning to lead them to a win. The danger there is that he will be going up against a Buffalo defense that has a knack for creating turnovers. In the last three weeks alone, the Bills have picked off 10 passes.

If that trend continues, I don't see how the Bills are going to lose this game.

Bills 35, Giants 24