Fantasy Football Rankings 2011: 5 Stars You'll Regret Drafting Immediately
There are some notable names at the top of fantasy football rankings in 2011 that every owner will want to avoid.
Whether one wants to call them disappointments, under-performing or just flat out busts, there seems to be a highly-touted player at almost every position on the roster that fails to satisfy by season's end.
Without a lot of depth at key positions like running back and wide receivers this season, some owners are going to be paying top dollar to secure some rock-solid selections.
Unfortunately, that won't be the case for everyone in the league.
Don't make the same mistakes that others are: avoid these five big-name lame ducks.
Note: All ADP (Average Draft Positions) were taken from FantasyFootballCalculator.com as of 8/30/11
5. Greg Jennings, Wide Receiver Green Bay Packers
1 of 5ADP: 21.3
2010 Statistics: 76 catches, 1,265 yards, 12 TD
Jennings saw a dramatic spike in production from a touchdown standpoint in 2010, scoring eight more than he did in 2009.
Additionally, No. 85 also caught eight more balls than he did in the season prior, and his impressive average of 79.1 yards per game is not something that should be left by the wayside.
However, it took a season-ending injury to Packers' TE Jermichael Finley for Jennings to really shine in the passing game, as Finley's absence on the field left Aaron Rodgers without his favorite red-zone target.
I like Jennings' chances of eclipsing 1,000 yards once again, but with a healthy Finley in the fold and the team re-signing James Jones, I'm predicting a falloff in the touchdown department back down to single digits.
Don't draft him based off of 2010, and use his 2009 season to serve as a sobering reminder that he can really disappoint if a high-end pick is burned on him.
4. Tony Romo, Quarterback Dallas Cowboys
2 of 5ADP: 45.8
2010 Statistics: 148-of-213 (69.5 %), 1,605 yards, 11 TD, 7 INT (six games)
Every season, the hype surrounding Romo begins to grow as a fantasy quarterback, and I really haven't been able to fully embrace it.
Frankly, I don't support it.
Despite the highest completion percentage of his career last season, Romo was forced to throw early and often because the Cowboys really lacked a running attack.
Now that Felix Jones is healthy and both Tashard Choice and DeMarco Murray are ready to roll, the boys from Big D will likely pursue a more even-keeled approach to their offensive attack when compared to last season.
Romo hasn't eclipsed 26 touchdowns since throwing for 36 in 2007-08, and to expect a sudden rise in that number shouldn't be something that owners are taking to the bank. He throws too many interceptions to justify his ADP in the fourth round, and I'd rather have someone like Matthew Stafford (ADP of 83.4) anchoring my starting unit.
3. Dwayne Bowe, Wide Receiver Kansas City Chiefs
3 of 5ADP: 35.1
2010 Statistics: 72 catches, 1,162 yards, 15 TD
This has less to do with Bowe and more to do with his quarterback Matt Cassel.
The skilled wide receiver showed us all what we knew that he had within him last season with a legitimate breakout campaign.
After back-to-back promising campaigns to begin his career, Bowe took a major step back in 2009 when he caught just 47 balls for 589 yards. Fortunately for his owners that got him on the cheap prior to last season, Bowe shattered all of his previous career-highs except for total receptions.
As for this season, Bowe amassing 15 total touchdowns seems like a serious stretch.
Matt Cassel has been downright woeful thus far in the preseason, and coming off of the all-important third preseason game where he went 6-of-13 for 59 yards, his success at the position may go out the window with ex-offensive coordinator Charlie Weis' departure.
With Jamaal Charles in the backfield and an underachieving quarterback, the Chiefs are going to have to run the ball to have success.
That's not good for Bowe's fantasy stock.
2. Ahmad Bradshaw, RB New York Giants
4 of 5ADP: 33.5
2010 Statistics: 276 rushes, 1,235 yards, 8 TD
Bradshaw enjoyed a career season that saw him catapult his name to the forefront of the fantasy radar for 2011, but he's not someone that owners should feel comfortable about making a linchpin of the squad.
For the fist time in his career, Bradshaw played in all 16 games last season. While that's certainly an impressive feat (especially for a running back), that doesn't mean that he's going to be the top option in the backfield moving forward.
In what should be a fairly even timeshare in the Giants' backfield, Bradshaw is being highly overvalued by a number of owners for reasons that escape logical comprehension or explanation.
The Giants have a decimated secondary and will likely be forced to throw the ball often in an effort to stay in the game, and with Brandon Jacobs embracing his role, Bradshaw doesn't look like a running back who is going to be worth the investment in the middle of the third round.
I'd much rather have Shonn Greene (same ADP) or Mark Ingram (ADP of 50.1) instead of Bradshaw.
1. Michael Turner, RB Atlanta Falcons
5 of 5ADP: 15.9
2010 Statistics: 334 rushes, 1,371 yards, 12 TD
Turner played the majority of the campaign in 2010 with a groin injury, and while that's definitely commendable, most were expecting a lot better from him after a promising 2008-09 inaugural campaign with the team that saw him rack up 17 TD's and nearly 1,700 yards.
Averaging the lowest amount of yards per carry of his career (4.1), Turner was still able to turn in a very productive season, but he left owners with a sour taste in their mouths heading into the offseason.
Now entering a season where he's slated to turn 30 in February, the Falcons' running back could be in for an epic nose dive that owners have seen from Shaun Alexander and Priest Holmes in the past.
With Atlanta promising to run a pass-heavy offense after trading up for wide receiver Juio Jones in the draft, Turner simply doesn't present the same upside that he did a couple of seasons ago for owners looking to snag an RB1 off the board.
The team also re-signed Jason Snelling and drafted change-of-pace back Jacquizz Rodgers, and both of those players could definitely eat into Turner's production from a fantasy standpoint.
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