Akron Zips vs. Toledo Rockets Free Pick: November 5th 2008
Toledo @ Akron o54.0 (-110) - Wed Nov 5 ‘08 8:00p
The second game in tonight’s MAC double-header features a match-up between the Toledo Rockets and the Akron Zips. The Zips sit near the top of the MAC East division at 4-4 while Toledo is resting near the bottom of the MAC West at 2-6. The Rockets are not a high scoring squad, but we are taking the Over 54 in this ESPNU game.
The Akron Zips are averaging 28.1 points per game this season, but in conference play they have upped that to 32.25. They have shown the ability to move the ball both on the ground and through the air and they should be able to get their fair share against the Rockets this evening. Toledo is yielding 31.4 points per game and they allow 173.9 rushing yards per game. The Zips have also proven to be effective in the red zone, scoring on 30 of 34 attempts while Toledo has allowed teams to score 91% of the time in red zone opportunities.
It is almost certain that Akron will be able to get on the scoreboard at a frequent rate against the Rockets, but the real case for the over rests with Toledo. The Rockets have been inconsistent on offense, averaging just 21.3 points per game this year, but they do have talent on that side of the ball. The issue for the Rockets has been their youth, but it is about this time in a season when a team can make a turn. Toledo looked as though they had done that last week against a good Central Michigan team. The Rockets scored 23 points but they accumulated 365 yards and 19 first downs.
The Zips are no juggernaut defensively, allowing 211.3 rushing yards per game and 405.5 totals yards per game. Toledo will be able to move the ball on them tonight. Akron has not held a MAC opponent under 27 points all season long and they have allowed an average of 35 points per game to MAC opposition, including 35 to an Eastern Michigan team that is averaging just 20.1 points per game.
Things to consider: The Over is 6-2 in Akron’s eight games this season. The Over is 4-0 this year when Akron played a MAC foe. The Over is 7-2 the last five years when Akron played as a home team coming off a road win. The Over is 4-1 the last five years when Toledo played as an away team coming off a home loss. The Over is 6-2 the last three years when Toledo played as a +3.5 to +6.5 underdogs.
Akron Zips vs. Toledo Rockets Free Pick: Take the Over 54 (-110) - Courtesy of Matt Foust.
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