College Football Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: October 18th 2008

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Missouri +6.5 - Saturday October 18th ‘08 8:00p
The No.1 ranked Texas Longhorns enter into this tilt against the Missouri Tigers off a huge 45-35 win in the annual Red River Rivalry last week vs the Oklahoma Sooners. That was a mammoth battle, that will now have the Longhorns in a let down situation this Saturday.Meanwhile, the No.11 Missouri Tigers their opponents in this spot,were beaten last week at home, by a very good Oklahoma State team by a 28-23 count . The Tigers high expectations for a Big 12 North Division Title , could get side swiped with a second straight conference loss. Needless to say the Tigers will be primed and extremely motivated for a bounce back performance. It must be noted that Missouri is a perfect 7-0 under HC Gary Pinkel in the game following its first defeat of the season. This is what I am betting will happen…… Look for Tigers multi faceted air and ground attack behind star QB Chase Daniels (2,055 YDS, 16 TDS) to slice and dice what I still consider to be a vulnerable Texas secondary. I also expect a Tigers defense that has 15 sacks and 12 take aways this season, to slow down a Texas offense that will start this game lethargically , after last weeks full tilt effort. Final notes & Key Trends: Missouri is 8-0 ATS L/8 on the road against a team like Texas off back to back SU/ATS wins. College Football teams like the Tigers off a loss as a double digit home favorites , are 40-11 ATS in their following game. Projected score: Missouri 37 - Texas 31 - Courtesy of Alex Smart

Stanford -1.0 (-110) - Saturday October 18th ‘08 4:00p
Do not look now, but the Stanford Cardinal just may be the second best team in the Pac-10 right now, and they get the nod to knock off UCLA on the road here. The Cardinal went to 3-1 in the conference by surprising Arizona last week, as running backs Toby Gerhart and Anthony Kimble both topped the 100-yard rushing mark. The bad news was the injury to quarterback Tavita Pritchard, but he is expected to start this week. Then again, that may not matter, as the key matchup here is the powerful Stanford running game vs. the soft UCLA run defense. The Cardinal are averaging 184.1 rushing yards per game on an impressive 4.9 yards per carry, and they will be running against a Bruins defense that is surrendering a whopping 170.8 rushing yards per game on 4.6 yards per rush. Meanwhile, UCLA has lost four of their last five games since upsetting Tennessee on opening week, with the second win coming against conference doormat Washington State. Their offense has been as bad as the defense, as the Bruins are averaging a woeful 3.0 yards per rushing attempt and 5.8 yards per pass attempt. Not many people had the foresight to predict this before the season, but even with this game being played in Los Angeles, we are looking for a handy Stanford win. CFB Free Pick: Stanford -1 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits

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Arkansas St. +3.0 (-110) - Saturday October 18th ‘08 7:00p
They say that good defense stops good offense, and we feel that the Arkansas State Indians will again prove that to be true when the visit the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns this week. UL Lafayette is 2-0 in the conference while scoring a whopping 103 points, but they rely almost exclusively on one of the best running games in the country, as they are averaging an unbelievable 332.2 rushing yards per game on a fantastic 7.5 yards per carry. The problem with that is that the Cajuns really have no fallback if their running game gets slowed down. Well, the Indians may have the best run defense in the Sun Belt Conference, as they are allowing 121.8 yards per game on the ground on just 3.5 yards per carry. Also, Arkansas State has been able to put up points vs. like opponents, as they are averaging 34.0 points in two conference conrests. We look for the Indians to slow down the Lafayette running attack and to put up just enough points to pull off the mild upset. CFB Free Pick: Arkansas State +3 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits

U Connecticut -1.5 (-110) - Sat Oct 18 ‘08 12:00p
Connecticut takes to the road this weekend for a conference battle with northeast neighbor Rutgers. The Huskies come into this game off a bye and a 38-12 beat down at the hands of the Tar Heels back on October 4th. The Scarlet Knights limp in from a 13-10 defeat at Cincinnati. We are taking the Huskies -1.5 on the road in New Brunswick, NJ. This weekend’s contest will be Connecticut’s third road game in a row and the second conference game in three weeks. Randy Edsall’s club is sitting at 5-1 and with a win Saturday they will be 2-0 in Big East competition with two conference home games in the offing. That fact, along with proving the Carolina loss to be a fluke, should have the Huskies more than amped for this game. Rutgers is just 1-5 on the season and 0-2 in conference play. Their offense has not adjusted to the loss of running back Ray Rice and quarterback Mike Teel has been dreadful in the early going. The senior passer has just three touchdown passes to seven interceptions and his 106.6 rating is reflective of the Knights one-dimensional offense. For the past three seasons, the team has relied on an effective running game to setup the pass, but this year they are averaging just 113.2 rushing yards per game and a meager 3.6 yards per carry. Connecticut sophomore quarterback Zach Frazer will be getting his second start of the season in place of the injured Tyler Lorenzen. Frazer stepped in for Lorenzen in the Louisville game and looked absolutely masterful in leading the Huskies to a 26-21 victory. However, he looked dreadful in the team’s loss at UNC, throwing three interceptions and zero touchdowns. His ball security will be key if Connecticut is to win. Connecticut will be able to create short third down yardage behind the nation’s leading rusher, Donald Brown. Look for Brown to wear down a Rutgers defense that is allowing 4.0 yards per carry and for Frazer to be an efficient compliment as the game goes on. The Scarlet Knights, without a capable running game, are converting just 28.9 percent of their third downs and they are unlikely to do a whole lot better against the Huskies defense. This game will likely be close, but the Huskies have proven when they take care of the ball that they are the better squad in this match-up, regardless of location. Things to consider: Connecticut is 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS in their 10 games as a road favorite. Connecticut is 4-2 ATS the last five years coming off a bye. Connecticut is 3-0 ATS in their last three games at Rutgers. Connecticut is 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games versus the Scarlet Knights. Free Pick: Take the Uconn Huskies -1.5 (-110) - Courtesy of Matt Foust