
NCAA Bracket 2011 Predictions: The Odds for Every Team to Win a Championship
One of the best parts of March is the wide open nature of the NCAA bracket. Everyone will have to play good teams eventually, but everyone's road is different.
Some teams are well suited to face the six-game onslaught associated with winning a championship. Some aren't, but win anyway because of an easy schedule or just plain old fashion luck.
Either way, we know one thing for sure. At the end of the tournament, someone will have won the NCAA Championship. Who? No one knows for sure, but I have a few ideas.
16) Alabama State Hornets
1 of 68
Record: (17-17)
Region: East
Alabama State has the worst record of anyone in the tournament. Plain and simple, they won't win.
Odds: 800 to 1
16) Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans
2 of 68
Record: 19-16
Region: Southeast
The Trojans pulled quite a comeback in their conference tournament to get to this point. However, even with momentum on their side, they aren't winning either.
Odds: 750 to 1
16) Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners
3 of 68
Record: 19-13
Region: East
The Runners may get out of their first game against Alabama State, but they won't be going any further than that.
Odds: 700 to 1
16) North Carolina-Asheville Bulldogs
4 of 68
Record: 19-13
Region: Southeast
The Bulldogs have worked some magic this season, but no matter how potent that mojo is, it won't get them past Pittsburgh.
Odds: 690 to 1
16) Boston University Terriers
5 of 68
Record: 21-13
Region: Southwest
A long way from home and against Kansas, the Terriers will go down like every No. 16 seed. Ever.
Odds: 650 to 1
16) Hampton Pirates
6 of 68
Record: 24-8
Region: West
The Pirates have actually managed to accumulate a decent record this season, but they're still a No. 16 seed. So they'll lose.
Odds: 630 to 1
15) California-Santa Barbara Gauchos
7 of 68
Record: 18-13
Region: Southeast
The Gauchos are in the tournament for the second straight year. Different year, same result: a loss in the first round.
Odds: 600 to 1
15) Akron Zips
8 of 68
Record: 23-12
Region: Southwest
If this were a battle of mascots, I think that Akron could be a favorite. The Roo is pretty cool. But it's not, so Notre Dame will win. Sorry guys. If only LeBron played for you.
Odds: 570 to 1
15) Northern Colorado Grizzlies
9 of 68
Record: 21-10
Region: West
Congratulation to the Grizzlies for making their first tournament ever. Now. Thank you for playing in the NCAA tournament. You fought valiantly, but alas, it's harder to win at the Big Dance than you would think.
Odds: 540 to 1
14) St. Peter's Peacocks
10 of 68
Record: 20-13
Region: Southwest
The Peacocks managed a miracle run to get to their third tournament ever. The Peacocks are playing hot, but I expect them to cool down against JaJuan Johnson, E'twaun Moore and the Boilermakers.
Odds: 550 to 1
14) Indiana State Sycamores
11 of 68
Record: 20-13
Region: East
The Sycamores stole the Missouri Valley bid from both Missouri State and Wichita State, the two favorites. They may have won their conference tourney, but they won't be winning this one especially playing Syracuse in the first round.
Odds: 500 to 1
15) Long Island Blackbirds
12 of 68
Record: 27-5
Region: East
Head coach Jim Ferry thinks that they should be higher than a No. 15 seed and he's probably right. With only five losses on the season, I don't know why they aren't at least a No. 14. It will be quite a difficult game to overcome North Carolina, so I'd probably want a higher seed too.
Odds: 500 to 1
14) Wofford Terriers
13 of 68
Record: 21-12
Region: Southeast
Wofford made their second straight and second ever tournament this year. Their forward Noah Dahlman is a great player and Cameron Rundles is another player to look out for. The Terriers almost upset Wisconsin in the first round last season, but this season I expect them to have more trouble with Jimmer Fredette and BYU.
Odds: 490 to 1
14) Bucknell Bison
14 of 68
Record: 25-8
Region: West
Bucknell was the Patriot League's automatic qualifier. Although unlikely, they have the best chance of upsetting a No. 3 seed this year. However, they are playing Connecticut, so probably not.
Odds: 475 to 1
10) Penn State Nittany Lions
15 of 68
Record: 19-14
Region: West
How Penn State managed to make the tournament, I'll never know. With 14 losses and your best win is a 36-33 win over Wisconsin, there is no place for you as a No. 10 seed. If you watch Penn State play basketball, you could get physically sick (with the exception of Talor Battle). If you only score 36 points in a game, you should be demoted to Division II.
Odds: 450 to 1
13) Princeton Tigers
16 of 68
Record: 25-6
Region: East
Princeton hit a buzzer-beater for the right to dance, but they probably won't be dancing long. However, their defense is quite pesky and if they can handle Kentucky physically, we may see an upset in the making.
Odds: 400 to 1
11) Virginia Commonwealth Rams
17 of 68
Record: 23-11
Region: Southwest
The Rams managed to slide in off of decent computer numbers, but they haven't beaten many people. They managed to beat UCLA and George Mason, which probably put them into the tourney, but with an extra game to play, don't expect much out of the Rams.
Odds: 350 to 1
12) UAB Blazers
18 of 68
Record: 22-8
Region: East
UAB is a team with great computer numbers, but not much else. They've only lost eight games, but haven't beaten a tournament team or anyone of significance all season. They may have gotten this far, but they won't get further.
Odds: 300 to 1
12) Memphis Tigers
19 of 68
Record: 25-9
Region: West
Memphis is a very talented squad as Josh Pastner brought in a stellar recruiting class this season, but they just haven't been able to fit together to make a clear picture. Will Barton and Joe Jackson are real threats for the Tigers, but I'm not sure they can overcome their lack of experience to beat a monstrous Arizona team.
Odds: 250 to 1
11) USC Trojans
20 of 68
Record: 19-14
Region: Southwest
USC snuck into the tournament at the last second. Despite early losses to BAD teams, the Trojans picked up some pretty solid wins towards the end of the season in the Pac-10. They won't be a super huge threat to anyone, but they could be a possible sleeper if they continue to play like they have.
Odds: 225 to 1
12) Clemson Tigers
21 of 68
Record: 21-11
Region: East
In Brad Brownell's first season at Clemson, he has made them one of the hardest working teams in the country. They may not be the most talented, but they'll harass and make you feel like they are. They suffer because they'll have to play one more game than most others to make it to the championship.
Odds: 200 to 1
13) Morehead State Eagles
22 of 68
Record: 24-9
Region: Southwest
Morehead State is dangerous because of their big man, Kenneth Faried. The nation's leading rebounder will dominate any team in the paint; it's inevitable. If his offensive game is there as well, they could be a very dangerous team to face in the first couple of rounds.
Odds: 200 to 1
13) Oakland Grizzlies
23 of 68
Record: 25-9
Region: West
Oakland is a dangerous team that has played against some of the nation's best and gotten a signature win this season. Anchored by Keith Benson, this team could be scary against a slumping Texas team.
Odds: 190 to 1
13) Belmont Bruins
24 of 68
Record: 30-4
Region: Southeast
Belmont is one of those super powerful mid-majors (Murray State last year). They just dominated in conference play, and despite a low SOS, they could be a very dangerous team against the inconsistent Wisconsin Badgers.
Odds: 190 to 1
12) Utah State Aggies
25 of 68
Record: 30-3
Region: Southeast
Once again, Utah State has dominated the WAC and worked their way to a No. 12 seed in the tournament. This year, they have only lost three games and look poised to get their first win since 2001. This is a major upset alert for the first couple of games, especially playing in Tuscon, AZ.
Odds: 170 to 1
10) Georgia Bulldogs
26 of 68
Record: 21-11
Region: West
Georgia just couldn't seem to get it together down the stretch, yet they still made it to the dance. They still have loads of potential, but if they haven't tapped it by now, I doubt they'll find the secret stuff by their first game.
Odds: 165 to 1
11) Gonzaga Bulldogs
27 of 68
Record: 24-9
Region: Southeast
Gonzaga has managed to win another conference tournament and attend the Big Dance for the 12th straight year. While they are finishing strong behind the great play of freshman David Stockton, the Zags just aren't as strong as they normally are. Don't expect too much of the perennial upset pick.
Odds: 150 to 1
10) Michigan State Spartans
28 of 68
Record: 19-14
Region: Southeast
The Spartans are undoubtedly talented. But it's been a very frustrating year in East Lansing and yet they blew out the Purdue Boilermakers in the Big Ten tournament. They just haven't been able to piece everything together this season though, so I doubt they will in crunch time.
Odds: 140 to 1
8) Michigan Wolverines
29 of 68
Record: 20-13
Region: West
If Michigan has one thing going for them, it's momentum. They finished the season at the right pace, but I fear they just aren't experienced or talented enough to run with the big boys.
Odds: 120 to 1
8) Butler Bulldogs
30 of 68
Record: 23-9
Region: Southeast
Butler just isn't what they were last season, despite returning the majority of their roster. They've showed sparks of their former selves, but they had a wildly inconsistent season in the Horizon League, an unacceptable condition for a possible sleeper of a championship.
Odds: 130 to 1
9) Illinois Fighting Illini
31 of 68
Record: 19-14
Region: Southwest
The Illini have a huge ceiling, but they just can't seem to reach it. Earlier this year, they beat North Carolina, Wisconsin and Michigan State, but they haven't won two straight since January 6. That will obviously need to change if they plan to make a run into April.
Odds: 100 to 1
11) Missouri Tigers
32 of 68
Record: 23-10
Region: West
Missouri really struggled at the end of the season, but they are still a very dangerous team. Guard Marcus Denmon runs the offense very well when he's playing at the top of his game. Their draw against Cincinnati could be a solid upset game for them.
Odds: 100 to 1
9) Tennessee Volunteers
33 of 68
Record: 19-14
Region: West
Tennessee is a very talented team, but they don't live up to their potential at every occasion. The Volunteers made an unexpected run to the Elite Eight last year, but they'll have a more difficult road if they want to repeat that feat this season.
Odds: 100 to 1
12) Richmond Spiders
34 of 68
Record: 27-7
Region: Southwest
Behind the strong play of Justin Harper and Kevin Anderson, the Spiders are back in the tournament for the second straight year. They could make a possible Sweet 16, as the 5-12 games are always ones to watch for on the upset alerts.
Odds: 100 to 1
11) Marquette Golden Eagles
35 of 68
Record: 20-14
Region: East
Marquette has proven they can win big games, which makes them a very dangerous No. 11 seed. They won the games they needed to lock up their tourney bid, including a huge win over Connecticut towards the end of the regular season and a conference tournament game over West Virginia. Their rough Big East schedule makes them toughened enough to make a veteran run through the tourney.
Odds: 90 to 1
8) George Mason Patriots
36 of 68
Record: 26-6
Region: East
George Mason finished this season on a great 16-game winning streak, but lost in their conference tournament to future at-large VCU. The Patriots have a lot of work ahead of them, but they could be a team to upset a lackadaisical Ohio State club.
Odds: 85 to 1
8) UNLV Rebels
37 of 68
Record: 24-8
Region: Southwest
The Rebels will certainly have their hands full in any game they play during the tournament, but they could be a sleeper to make a run. If they can get past Kansas in the second round, the rest of the teams they'd play aren't nearly as good and their confidence could carry them.
Odds: 80 to 1
9) Old Dominion Monarchs
38 of 68
Record: 27-6
Region: Southeast
Old Dominion is possibly the best mid-major in the tournament, excluding the higher seeds. The Monarchs have been on the radar all season, and they are a very dangerous potential David to Pitt's Goliath, given they get to the second round.
Odds: 80 to 1
10) Florida State Seminoles
39 of 68
Record: 21-10
Region: Southwest
This Florida State team has done some real damage to major teams this season because of their intimidating defense. Now that Chris Singleton should be back for the NCAA tournament, they are a very dangerous No. 10 seed that could make a run into the late stages of the tournament.
Odds: 75 to 1
9) Villanova Wildcats
40 of 68
Record: 21-11
Region: East
Villanova just completely collapsed towards the end of the season, but that doesn't mean they can't recover from it. The No. 9 seed is very capable of winning big games, as it played in the Big East, but if they can get to the second round, they'll play Ohio State. The Wildcats will have to be completely on top of their game to take down the Buckeyes.
Odds: 75 to 1
7) Texas A&M Aggies
41 of 68
Record: 24-8
Region: Southwest
Texas A&M received a pretty terrible draw in the tournament, despite being a pretty solid team. They struggled towards the end of the season, but they are a very capable team. They play Florida State first and possibly Notre Dame second. I doubt they'll get through both, but stranger things have happened.
Odds: 75 to 1
7) UCLA Bruins
42 of 68
Record: 22-10
Region: Southeast
UCLA slowly but surely put together a solid season after missing the tournament last season. The Bruins are still under the radar, but they have the potential to be a very good sleeper in the tournament. While it's improbable they'll go all the way, they have a very legitimate chance to get to the Sweet 16 or Elite Eight.
Odds: 70 to 1
7) Washington Huskies
43 of 68
Record: 23-10
Region: East
Washington is playing out of their minds. After an inconsistent end to the season, the Huskies won three straight including an overtime win over Arizona to clinch the Pac-10 Tournament Championship. If they get out of the first round, Washington is more than capable of knocking off the No. 2 seeded Tar Heels and advancing even further.
Odds: 60 to 1
7) Temple Owls
44 of 68
Record: 25-7
Region: West
Temple drew an excellent path in their bracket. They can knock off a lucky Penn State team fairly easily and San Diego hasn't really proven themselves against anyone but BYU this past weekend. The Owls are a very dangerous team that has only lost two games since January 26. Just expect some great games involving the Owls this tournament.
Odds: 60 to 1
5) Kansas State Wildcats
45 of 68
Record: 22-10
Region: Southeast
I'm still not sold on the Wildcats being a No. 5 seed. They played great basketball down the stretch, but that mid-season death wish is still a concern for me. If Jacob Pullen goes cold or the Wildcats just come out awful, then they could crash before their title chances even get off the ground.
Odds: 55 to 1
6) Cincinnati Bearcats
46 of 68
Record: 25-8
Region: West
Cincy may be the most inconsistent team in the tournament. They started off the season with 15 straight wins, but didn't seem to play up to that at times in the Big East. Regardless, they have played well enough to lay some beat-downs on Georgetown and Louisville, meaning they may be able to do it again in the tournament.
Odds: 45 to 1
6) Xavier Musketeers
47 of 68
Record: 24-7
Region: East
This is the same seed that Xavier used to make a run to the Sweet 16 last season. After they exceeded most expectations by winning the A-10 regular season, the Musketeers are ready for another run in March. Tu Holloway is an excellent scorer and may be one of the best in the tourney.
Odds: 40 to 1
6) Georgetown Hoyas
48 of 68
Record: 21-10
Region: Southwest
The Hoyas slipped down the stretch of conference play, but a lot was due to the loss of point guard Chris Wright. Now he'll be playing for Goergetown and their play may return to normal level, which is serious contender status.
Odds: 35 to 1
6) St. John's Red Storm
49 of 68
Record: 21-11
Region: Southeast
St. John's has been playing giant killer all season, but will they be able to continue their David-esque ways? If they get past Gonzaga in the first round, they'll be playing plenty of beatable teams in the later rounds. After all, taking teams by surprise is what they do best.
Odds: 35 to 1
5) Vanderbilt Commodores
50 of 68
Record: 23-10
Region: Southwest
Vanderbilt has beaten teams like Kentucky and North Carolina this season. However, they've also lost to South Carolina and Arkansas. Once again, consistency is an issue, because out of the No. 5 seeds, they have one of the more difficult draws.
Odds: 33 to 1
5) West Virginia Mountaineers
51 of 68
Record: 21-11
Region: East
The Mountaineers definitely have the potential to be a great team, but the lack of a leader could pose a problem. Everyone on the West Virginia team is good, but who is the great one who will take them to the title?
Odds: 30 to 1
4) Wisconsin Badgers
52 of 68
Record: 23-8
Region: Southeast
Wisconsin's odds are only this low because of their inconsistency. Sometimes they look like a national championship favorite, but then they only score 33 on Penn State. They need to get their act together if they want to win one game, let alone six.
Odds: 30 to 1
5) Arizona Wildcats
53 of 68
Record: 27-7
Region: West
Behind the play of Derrick Williams, the Wildcats have risen back to prominence in the Pac-10. He's one of the best in the country, but we'll see whether they can overcome some recent struggles and a difficult road to the NCAA Championship.
Odds: 25 to 1
4) Louisville Cardinals
54 of 68
Record: 25-9
Region: Southwest
This Louisville team has proven to be very dangerous down the stretch. They made it all the way to the Big East Championship, but lost out to the surging Connecticut Huskies. Their draw is favorable, but they'll still have to prove their mettle to get to a national championship.
Odds: 24 to 1
4) Kentucky Wildcats
55 of 68
Record: 25-8
Region: East
Kentucky has shown they have enough talent to win the entire NCAA tournament if they play smart. However, the Wildcats faltered in conference play, but have seemed to get their groove back. Watch out for the fighting Caliparis this year.
Odds: 22 to 1
4) Texas Longhorns
56 of 68
Record: 27-7
Region: West
Despite their seeding, Texas played the majority of the season like a No. 2 seed. They are a very dangerous team, but they've gotten a difficult draw in the tournament. They face two of three teams that are all very capable of upsetting the faltering Longhorns, but if they show up, the Longhorns are a very dangerous team.
Odds: 20 to 1
3) Brigham Young Cougars
57 of 68
Record: 30-4
Region: Southeast
The Cougars are led by super senior Jimmer Fredette, if you didn't know already. The National Player of the Year is definitely a force to be reckoned with, but he might not be able to do it all. Or maybe he could, we just don't know. If he gets some support, Fredette could blaze all the way to the title.
Odds: 20 to 1
2) Florida Gators
58 of 68
Record: 26-7
Region: Southeast
Florida managed to come out on top of the SEC during the regular season, but they went down in the tournament title game. They definitely have the talent to get the title, but will they play like it?
Odds: 20 to 1
3) Syracuse Orange
59 of 68
Record: 26-7
Region: East
Syracuse had a streak during the regular season where they played fairly poorly, but they've definitely righted the ship. They have a tough schedule to get to the title, but they have been playing like they could definitely make it through.
Odds: 18 to 1
3) Purdue Boilermakers
60 of 68
Record: 26-7
Region: Southwest
Purdue has a pretty solid shot at this thing due to experience and their high seeding. We'll see if JaJuan Johnson and E'Twaun Moore can carry the load all the way to Houston.
Odds: 18 to 1
2) San Diego State Aztecs
61 of 68
Record: 32-2
Region: West
San Diego State has only lost two games all year, yet they get no respect. It will be a test to see if they can get past Connecticut in the Sweet 16, but if they do, they'll have proved that they're for real.
Odds: 16 to 1
2) North Carolina Tar Heels
62 of 68
Record: 26-7
Region: East
North Carolina is still a very young and inexperienced team, but they've also shown that they can be brilliant for stretches. Which team will we see in the NCAAs?
Odds: 15 to 1
3) Connecticut Huskies
63 of 68
Record: 26-9
Region: West
The Huskies are arguably playing the best basketball in the country at the moment as they ran through five days of Big East play to win the tournament. The questions to their success: Can they keep it up and can Kemba Walker keep it up?
Odds: 12 to 1
2) Notre Dame Fighting Irish
64 of 68
Record: 26-6
Region: Southwest
The Irish are the surprise of the Big East this season and they're playing good basketball. If they can keep it up, they could make a run to the Sweet 16 easily and they have the talent to beat Purdue and Kansas on their way to a national championship.
Odds: 10 to 1
1) Duke Blue Devils
65 of 68
Record: 30-4
Region: West
Duke really doesn't have any snags in their way to the Final Four—if they play like they did against North Carolina in the ACC tournament.
Odds: 8 to 1
1) Pittsburgh Panthers
66 of 68
Record: 27-5
Region: Southeast
The Panthers may have the easiest road to the Final Four of any No. 1 seed. We'll see if they can capitalize on it.
Odds: 7 to 1
1) Kansas Jayhawks
67 of 68
Record: 32-2
Region: Southwest
The Kansas Jayhawks rolled through everyone that played them this season and that shouldn't stop anytime soon. Barring an upset like last season, the Jayhawks should have one of the best shots at winning the entire thing this year.
Odds: 5 to 1
1) Ohio State Buckeyes
68 of 68
Record: 32-2
Region: East
Ohio State has to be one of the favorites to win the NCAA championship after their absolute dominance of the Big Ten and the nation this season.
Odds: 4 to 1

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