NFL Week 17 Picks: Vikings Vs. Lions Point Spread Vegas Insider Preview

The Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions clash in a Week 17 battle.

Here is a dissection of the key metrics used by sports betting experts in football handicapping.

The team that is better running the ball according to rushing yards per attempt (YPA) is Minnesota by .5 YPA.

Passing yards per completion (YPC) says the more productive passing squad is the Minnesota Vikings by .4 YPC.

Betting specialists also employ yards per point (YPP), a number that on the offensive side of the ball favors Detroit by 3.2 YPP.

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Now, it’s time to focus on the numbers that the betting counselors cherish from a defensive standpoint. Yards per rush (YPR) says the tougher defense is Minnesota by .7 YPR.

In juxtaposing yards per reception statistics, the margin on defense puts the positive check mark in the column of the Minnesota Vikings by .6 YPR.

The often overlooked yards per point (YPP) defensive advantage is possessed by Detroit forcing .6 more YPP.

The net turnover ratio edge belongs to Detroit by a sensational 17 margin.

Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Minnesota is 3-8 in its last 11 road games, 4-15 as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0 and 1-8 as underdog. The Vikes are 7-2 in the series.

Detroit 5-0 off a straight up win, 7-1 off a spread win, but 1-7 versus an opponent with a losing record.

Over/under trends: Minnesota over 6-1 as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0, but under 24-9 after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in the previous game.

Detroit over 8-1 at home, over 7-1 after accumulating fewer than 90 yards rushing in the previous game and over 17-5 after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in a previous game.