
NFL Week 14: Tom Brady, Mike Vick and the Top 10 MVP Candidates
Week 14 is now in the books.
What exactly caused Matt Schaub to throw 62 passes last night? When a quarterback completes 31 passes, you don’t really expect him to have 31 other passes hit the ground.
But, I digress.
What follows is the third weekly installment of my list of the Top 10 MVP candidates.
This analysis is based on more of a "should win, as of now" than a "will win" perspective.
So, will the Patriots’ Tom Brady repeat as our leader in the clubhouse?
Hint: Brady threw for 369 yards and two touchdowns in a Chicago blizzard, thrashing the Bears 36-7 in the process. He’s probably safe.
But are there any new candidates emerging?
Did anyone from last week play (or sit) themselves off the list this time around?
Read on, my friends.
A Quick MVP History
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In reviewing the Associated Press MVP award for the last 11 years, it is clear that quarterbacks are the favorites for the award. And if it's not a quarterback, then a running back is likely to win.
Three running backs have won the award since 1999: Marshall Faulk in 2000, Shaun Alexander (remember him?) in 2005 and LaDainian Tomlinson in 2006.
Otherwise, Kurt Warner has won it twice, Peyton Manning three-and-a-half times with the other half going to the late Steve McNair, and Rich Gannon and Tom Brady have both taken home the hardware.
Are you looking for a wide receiver? Well, keep looking. The incomparable Jerry Rice (pictured) took home most of the postseason awards in 1987, but lost the AP vote to John Elway.
That's about it for the last 50 years, and the only offensive player other than a quarterback or a running back to take home the award since 1970 was Mark Moseley (a placekicker) in that strange, strike-shortened 1982 season.
If you're looking for a defensive player, step away: there's little to see here.
The original LT, Lawrence Taylor, garnered the award in 1986 and Alan Page, a far superior citizen, did so in 1971.
All this does not suggest that I am only looking at QBs and RBs, but the NFL is increasingly a quarterback's league, and any realistic list should reflect that.
Some Cuts and Honorable Mentions
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Let’s get the cuts out of the way first:
The first was easy, even if I pass on the obvious pun (sort of). Bears' quarterback Jay Cutler found his way to the No. 10 spot last week, and celebrated by completing 12 of 26 passes for 152 yards and two interceptions at home while getting destroyed by the Patriots. Goodbye, Jay!
The Chiefs’ Dwayne Bowe is still leading the NFL with 14 touchdown receptions, but after two quiet weeks, he’s off my list (he had been tied for No. 8). But I can’t feel too bad for him when better receivers like Andre and Calvin Johnson, and the electric DeSean Jackson have not found a place here.
And, sorry Chiefs fans, but Jamaal Charles (although I love his game and his insane 6.1 yards-per-carry) was taken off my triumvirate of running backs.
But hey, Matt Cassel kept his spot at No. 9, and he didn’t even play in the 31-0 loss to the Chargers—maybe that’s why.
In all honesty, I wish I could find a spot for a defensive player, and the Steelers’ big-play safety Troy Polamalu is now getting close. There are other defensive players having big years, but not that one show-stopper—in my eyes.
And I’m also looking to find spots for quarterbacks Ben Roethlisberger and Josh Freeman, to say nothing of some running backs, including; Charles, Michael Turner, Adrian Peterson and LeSean McCoy.
So, who did make the Top 10?
10. Arian Foster (Texans)
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Last Game
20 carries for 100 yards (easy math) and four catches for 25 yards in a loss to the Ravens.
Season
266 carries for 1330 yards (the same 5.0 ypc) and 13 touchdowns; 54 receptions for 504 yards (9.3 yards-per-catch) and two TDs.
Comment
It's not his fault that his Texans are a disappointing 5-8 this year. He is leading all NFL running backs in rushing yards and touchdowns. He shouldn't "foster" any of the blame here.
Let's move on.
9. Matt Cassel (Chiefs)
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Last Game
Cassel sat out the loss to the Chargers with an appendectomy; may play this week.
Season
212-354 (59.9 percent), 2503 yards (7.1 Y/A) 23 TDs, four INTs.
Comment
Cassel was sorely missed in the 31-0 defeat at the hands of the desperate Chargers.
Cassel's numbers don't wow you other than his 23-4 touchdown:interception ratio, and his 8-4 record as the starting quarterback for the surprising Chiefs.
Good enough for No. 9 for now, but he must stay healthy and his team needs to keep winning to retain his residence on this list.
8. Roddy White (Falcons)
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Last Game
Eight receptions for 79 yards (9.9 ypc) in a win over Carolina.
Season
99 receptions for 1219 yards, and seven touchdowns.
Comments
White is having a monster season for what is essentially a running team. He leads all NFL wide receivers in receptions and yards for the 11-2 Falcons.
Are there better wideouts in the NFL?
Perhaps a few, but none of them is having a better season than White in service of a winning team.
7. Maurice Jones-Drew (Jaguars)
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Last Game
23 carries for 101 yards (4.4 ypc), one TD, with three catches for 19 yards in a win over the Raiders.
Season
284 carries for 1278 yards (4.5 ypc) with five TDs; 32 receptions for 295 yards (9.2 ypc) and two TDs.
Comments
Jones-Drew, the little workhorse, is coming on strong for the division-leading Jaguars, and retained second place in the NFL with 1,177 yards.
6. Aaron Rodgers (Packers)
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Last Game
(Before suffering a concussion in the first half in a loss to the lowly Lions) 7-11 (63.6 percent) for 46 yards and one INT. He also carried twice for 25 yards.
Season
268-410 (65.4 percent), 3289 yards (8.0 Y/A) 23 TDs, 10 INTs.
Comments
Although Rodgers slid from No. 3 to No. 6, it's not a knock on his play whatsoever, but it is a fact that the Packers have lost two straight to fall to 8-5.
His pick last week was a perfectly thrown pass that should have made him 8-11 for over 100 yards and a TD.
Rodgers is as talented as anyone at the position today (with the possible exception of Michael Vick), and he does so many things to keep his team competitive.
He’s big, mobile, strong-armed, accurate and a good leader. (Otherwise, I’m not much of a fan.)
Rodgers has kept the Pack together during an injury-plagued season, and his team (a trendy preseason pick to take the NFC) are still in contention to win the NFC North.
With no running game and lots of injuries to his supporting cast (which is not that great to begin with), Rodgers is putting up terrific numbers passing and even running the ball himself when it all breaks down.
5. Matt Ryan (Falcons)
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Last Game
20-34 (58.8 percent) for 227 yards, one TD and one INT in a win over Carolina.
Season
300-475 (63.2 percent) for 3289 yards (6.6 Y/A) 22 TDs, eight INTs
Comments
Statistically, Matty Ice has not wowed anyone the last couple weeks, but the 11-2 Falcons just keep rolling.
The man has a knack for winning football games, which is a good trait for an NFL Franchise QB.
4. Drew Brees (Saints)
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Last Game
25-40 (62.5 percent) for 221 yards, three TD and two INT in a win over the Rams.
Season
362-525 (69 percent) for 3855 yards (7.34 Y/A) 28 TDs, 18 INTs
Comments
Don't go to sleep on the depending Super Bowl champion Saints, or their star QB.
The Saints (10-3) have won six straight, and is there any team in the NFC that much better?
Brees is, somewhat under the radar, having another strong year, and is third in the NFL in passing yards and second in touchdown throws.
3. Philip Rivers (Chargers)
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Last Game
18-24 (75 percent) for 226 yards, two TDs and one INT in a win over the Chiefs.
Season
290-439 (66.1 percent) for 3868 yards (8.8 Y/A) 26 TDs, 11 INTs
Comments
Rivers moved up a couple places after leading the Chargers to a crucial win over the first-place Chiefs. Although the win raised the Chargers' record to only 7-6, he is almost solely responsible for keeping the Chargers in contention.
He has been the glue for a team that could have easily fallen apart without his leadership.
The sixth-year quarterback, who really came into his own in 2008-09, is having his best year, especially when you consider that he has done so while missing Gates for a few games and getting no playing time from Jackson, a co-favorite target.
The Chargers' passing attack is second in the NFL in yards per game, and Rivers has the third-highest passer rating, behind Tom Brady and Michael Vick.
Rivers continues to throw for a high completion percentage (66.1 percent) and a bunch of touchdowns (26) while limiting his interceptions (11). He leads the league in yards per attempt (8.81).
2. Michael Vick (Eagles)
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Last Game
18-24 (75 percent) for 226 yards, two TDs and one INT in a win over the Cowboys. He rushed eight times for 16 yards and one TD.
Season
189-294 (63.6 percent) for 2513 yards (8.5 Y/A) 17 TDs, 11 INTs passing; 82 rushes for 483 yards (5.97 ypc) and seven touchdowns.
Comments
The most talked-about player in the NFL continues to play well, and his (9-4) Eagles continue to win to keep pace with the Giants heading into their showdown next week.
As the Eagles played before the Giants, actually the Eagles set the pace.
Many pundits question whether the relatively smallish quarterback can keep up his pace after absorbing a pounding every week, both in the pocket and in the open field.
Time will tell, but so far, so good.
While he has thrown a few picks in recent weeks—well, he's only human —I'm not sure that adjective applies to our No. 1 MVP candidate.
1. Tom Brady (Patriots)
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Last Game
27-40 (67.5 percent) for 369 yards, two TDs in a win over the Bears.
Season
284-425 (66.8 percent) for 3398 yards (8.0 Y/A) 29 TDs, four INTs
Comments
Neither frigid conditions nor a ferocious Bears' defense playing at home could slow Brady or his high-flying Patriots, who stand at 11-2.
I'm running out of superlatives to describe Brady, who is arguably the greatest winning quarterback in modern NFL history.
And no offense to Wes Welker and company, but who exactly is he surrounded by?
Brady and company had so thoroughly destroyed the Jets last week that I could have forgiven a down game or two before even thinking about elevating Vick, Rivers or another leading candidate to No. 1.
So, Tom easily retains my top spot on this week’s Power Ranking of the Top 10 MVP candidates.
Stay tuned for next week's update, as things change rapidly in today's NFL.
Your thoughts? Please fire away below...Thanks for reading.
For more information on Matt Goldberg’s new books, other writings and appearances, please e-mail: matt@tipofthegoldberg.com
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