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NEW ORLEANS - SEPTEMBER 26:  Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons celebrates after throwing a touchdown pass against the New Orleans Saints at the Louisiana Superdome on September 26, 2010 in New Orleans, Louisiana.  The Falcons defeated the Saints 27-24.
NEW ORLEANS - SEPTEMBER 26: Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons celebrates after throwing a touchdown pass against the New Orleans Saints at the Louisiana Superdome on September 26, 2010 in New Orleans, Louisiana. The Falcons defeated the Saints 27-24.Chris Graythen/Getty Images

NFL Week 6 Picks: Which Teams Will Cover The Spread?

Stephen KasperOct 14, 2010

Last weeks against the spread record: 4-4

Overall against the spread record: 25-13

What the heck is going on in the world of football?

Teams that are supposed to win are losing to teams that are supposed to lose and only took five weeks to rid the NFL of all unbeaten teams with the very surprising Kansas City Chiefs as the last to go down.

NFL football is about as predictable as Armageddon right now, and it's a nightmare for gamblers.

Luckily, I've been able to pick apart some of the madness and produce a decent 25-13 record picking games against the spread this season.

So, if you can't figure out which games are worth betting on from each of these yourself, try your luck with my picks.

San Diego at St. Louis: San Diego -8

Kansas City at Houston: Houston -4.5

Baltimore at New England: New England -2.5

New Orleans at Tampa Bay: New Orleans -4

Atlanta at Philadelphia: Philadelphia -2.5

Detroit at NY Giants -10

Seattle at Chicago: Chicago -6.5

Miami at Green Bay: Green Bay -3.5

Cleveland at Pittsburgh: Pittsburgh -13.5

NY Jets at Denver: NY Jets -3

Oakland at San Francisco: San Francisco -6.5

Dallas at Minnesota: Minnesota -1.5

Indianapolis at Washington: Indianapolis -3

Tennessee at Jacksonville: Tennessee -3

Detroit +10 at NY Giants

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MINNEAPOLIS - SEPTEMBER 26:  Quarterback Shaun Hill #14 of the Detroit Lions drops back to pass against the Minnesota Vikings at Mall of America Field on September 26, 2010 in Minneapolis, Minnesota.  (Photo by Jeff Gross/Getty Images)
MINNEAPOLIS - SEPTEMBER 26: Quarterback Shaun Hill #14 of the Detroit Lions drops back to pass against the Minnesota Vikings at Mall of America Field on September 26, 2010 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Jeff Gross/Getty Images)

Whether or not Matthew Stafford's starting job is in jeopardy or not, I don't know.

What I do know is Shaun Hill is putting up points with this Lions offense.

I realize the Giants have a nasty pass defense and can be a headache for opposing offenses, but for some reason I am on the bandwagon of this Lions team.

I've picked the Lions in three games against the spread and was right on two of them.

It wouldn't shock me completely if the Lions pulled off the upset and beat the Giants.

But I see Detroit simply covering the 10 point spread a more likely probability.

Seattle +6.5 at Chicago

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SEATTLE - SEPTEMBER 26:  Quarterback Matt Hasselbeck #8 of the Seattle Seahawks passes against the San Diego Chargers at Qwest Field on September 26, 2010 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images)
SEATTLE - SEPTEMBER 26: Quarterback Matt Hasselbeck #8 of the Seattle Seahawks passes against the San Diego Chargers at Qwest Field on September 26, 2010 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images)

Jay Cutler will be back for Chicago this week so Bears fans can feel a little bit of comfort in that.

What should get them a little nervous is they are still the Bears and have a long way to go before being taken serious.

Matt Forte finally broke out of his shell last week and really was the only reason Chicago came out with a win against Carolina because Todd Collins wasn't working.

It would still be an upset for this Seattle team to win or even keep it close,

But isn't that what this article is all about?

I'll take Seattle to cover the 6.5 points if they don't outright win.

Oakland +6.5 at San Francisco

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OAKLAND, CA - OCTOBER 10:  Michael Bush #29 of the Oakland Raiders runs with the ball against the San Diego Chargers at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum on October 10, 2010 in Oakland, California.  (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)
OAKLAND, CA - OCTOBER 10: Michael Bush #29 of the Oakland Raiders runs with the ball against the San Diego Chargers at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum on October 10, 2010 in Oakland, California. (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)

The Raiders looked pretty good last week against San Diego.

Even without Bruce Gradkowski behind center, Jason Campbell was able to step in and lead the silver and black to a big win against their division rival.

San Francisco was the favorite to win the NFC West at the beginning of the year and now they sit on a big goose egg for number of wins this season.

The 49ers are still the better team, but for some reason they just can't get it clicking.

Maybe they will still be able to come out of this one on top.

But it won't be given to them

Bet on the Raiders to at least cover and lose by less than 6.5, but don't be surprised if Oakland pulls off another upset and wins straight up.

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Kansas City +4.5 at Houston

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KANSAS CITY, MO - AUGUST 27: Matt Cassel #7 of the Kansas City Chiefs drops back to pass during a preseason game against the Philadelphia Eagles at Arrowhead Stadium on August 27, 2010 in Kansas City, Missouri.  (Photo by G. Newman Lowrance/Getty Images)
KANSAS CITY, MO - AUGUST 27: Matt Cassel #7 of the Kansas City Chiefs drops back to pass during a preseason game against the Philadelphia Eagles at Arrowhead Stadium on August 27, 2010 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by G. Newman Lowrance/Getty Images)

Was I the only one impressed with this Kansas City team last week against the Colts?

Sure they lost by 10 and didn't even cover the spread.

But to hold Peyton Manning to zero touchdowns at just 244 yards passing, his lowest all season, is an impressive feat if you ask me.

The Chiefs may not win the Super Bowl this season, but as of right now, they don't look anything like the Chiefs we are used to.

The Houston Texans have an absolutely terrible passing defense and I can see Matt Cassel being a huge sleeper fantasy pick this week.

Houston definitely still has the capability to win this game, but I'm going with Kansas City to at least cover the 4.5 point spread.

Miami +3.5 at Green Bay

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JACKSONVILLE, FL - AUGUST 21:  Brandon Marshall #19 of the Miami Dolphins prepares to run a route during the preseason game against the Jacksonville Jaguars at EverBank Field on August 21, 2010 in Jacksonville, Florida.  (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Imag
JACKSONVILLE, FL - AUGUST 21: Brandon Marshall #19 of the Miami Dolphins prepares to run a route during the preseason game against the Jacksonville Jaguars at EverBank Field on August 21, 2010 in Jacksonville, Florida. (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Imag

This pick is more because of injuries than anything else.

Clay Matthews, Aaron Rodgers, Jermichael Finley and several others headline the Packers injury report and this Miami team is definitely capable of pulling off the upset.

The Dolphins are a better than average team already with a very good pass defense.

If you take Aaron Rodgers out of the game, the Dolphins have a very good chance of pulling this one off.

It's hard to ever rule out Green Bay, but it sure does become easier when so many big names are hurt.

Expect Miami keep this one very close to cover, but don't be surprised if Miami upsets and pulls off the win.

Indianapolis -3 At Washington

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LANDOVER, MD - OCTOBER 10: Donovan McNabb #5 of the Washington Redskins drops back to pass against the Green Bay Packers at FedExField on October 10, 2010 in Landover, Maryland.  (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)
LANDOVER, MD - OCTOBER 10: Donovan McNabb #5 of the Washington Redskins drops back to pass against the Green Bay Packers at FedExField on October 10, 2010 in Landover, Maryland. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Donovan McNabb said last week's game was dedicated to Albert Haynesworth, who lost his brother that week, and he didn't disappoint.

The Redskins pulled off a big win against the Packers in over time and this week could be something similar.

Big Albert will be back this week and you can bet on him being hungrier than ever.

Peyton Manning is still Peyton Manning though, so it's difficult to ever put the Colts out of a game completely.

But if the Kansas City Chiefs can slow Manning down, so can the Redskins.

Take the Redskins to keep it within two or three points and at least cover the spread.

Baltimore +2.5 at New England

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BALTIMORE, MD - OCTOBER 10: Ray Rice #27 of the Baltimore Ravens runs the ball against the Denver Broncos at M&T Bank Stadium on October 10, 2010 in Baltimore, Maryland. Players wore pink in recognition of Breast Cancer Awareness Month. The Ravens defeate
BALTIMORE, MD - OCTOBER 10: Ray Rice #27 of the Baltimore Ravens runs the ball against the Denver Broncos at M&T Bank Stadium on October 10, 2010 in Baltimore, Maryland. Players wore pink in recognition of Breast Cancer Awareness Month. The Ravens defeate

Finally! Ray Rice comes to life!

This Ravens team was already one of the best in the league without Ray Rice performing well.

If you take their amazing defense and their offense which is more than capable of putting up big points, you have a potential Super Bowl team.

New England is coming off the bye week and just lost the best receiver in franchise history in Randy Moss.

I understand that Tom Brady is still a great player, but these Ravens are better right now.

Bet on the Ravens to cover against the spread here.

If you believe in these Ravens like I do, bet on them to win this game straight up.

Atlanta +2.5 at Philadelphia

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ATLANTA - SEPTEMBER 19:  Quarterback Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons against the Arizona Cardinals at Georgia Dome on September 19, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
ATLANTA - SEPTEMBER 19: Quarterback Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons against the Arizona Cardinals at Georgia Dome on September 19, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

The Atlanta Falcons are the only team in the NFL that makes a little bit of sense right now.

Sure, they upset the Saints.

But hey, I called that in my week 3 picks against the spread article. So, to me they make sense.

Whether or not Michael Vick will play this game remains uncertain, but you can bet he wants to play this game more than any other game so he can play his old team.

Either way, the Falcons are still one of the best teams in the NFL and if they continue to only allow 14 points a game, which is second in the league, it's going to be hard to beat these guys.

If Vick plays, and I expect him to, I believe this game will be one of the closest games of the week.

Be on the lookout for a very close, high-scoring game with Atlanta at least covering the spread.

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