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ATLANTA - DECEMBER 06:  Quarterback Donovan McNabb #5 and Michael Vick #7 of the Philadelphia Eagles against the Atlanta Falcons at Georgia Dome on December 6, 2009 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
ATLANTA - DECEMBER 06: Quarterback Donovan McNabb #5 and Michael Vick #7 of the Philadelphia Eagles against the Atlanta Falcons at Georgia Dome on December 6, 2009 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

NFL Week 4 Picks: Michael Vick Will Make Donovan McNabb Trade Look Smart

Erik FrenzSep 29, 2010

Week 4 of the 2010 NFL season looks to be as exciting as the rest of them and includes a big matchup featuring Donovan McNabb's return to Lincoln Financial Field...as a Washington Redskin.

Despite the usual easy picks, there are more than a handful of games that figure to be very competitive and could be decided by a touchdown or less.

With that, let's take a look at the matchups for the upcoming week and my take on who will prevail in each.

New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills

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EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - SEPTEMBER 19:  Mark Sanchez #6 of the New York Jets calls the huddle against  the New England Patriots during their  game on September 19, 2010 at the New Meadowlands Stadium  in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Al Bello/Getty
EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - SEPTEMBER 19: Mark Sanchez #6 of the New York Jets calls the huddle against the New England Patriots during their game on September 19, 2010 at the New Meadowlands Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Al Bello/Getty

Two weeks in a row, Mark Sanchez has proved his detractors wrong and pulled off wins with style which included back-to-back three-touchdown performances. Most important in countering the naysayers, he has yet to throw an interception.

The Bills looked great against a pitiful Patriots pass defense last week, but even home-field advantage won't provide the same kind of results against a much more talented defense.

With the Jets flying high, look for the Bills to keep running in circles as only they do.

Jets 20Bills 7

Denver Broncos @ Tennessee Titans

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EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - SEPTEMBER 26:  Chris Johnson #28 of the Tennessee Titans waits on the sidelines during a game against the New York Giants at New Meadowlands Stadium on September 26, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty
EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - SEPTEMBER 26: Chris Johnson #28 of the Tennessee Titans waits on the sidelines during a game against the New York Giants at New Meadowlands Stadium on September 26, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty

It didn't take Chris Johnson long to rebound from a poor performance against the Steelers. Teams haven't really tested the Broncos run defense (they've only been run against 76 times in three games)

Kyle Orton has marched the team up and down the field but hasn't put them in the end zone as much as they'd like. The Titans defense has played great in the first three weeks of action. They haven't allowed many passing yards and have only allowed one touchdown of each variety.

This one should be close, but it seems clear to me who will come out on top.

Titans 23Broncos 20

Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns

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CLEVELAND - AUGUST 21:  Peyton Hillis #40 of the Cleveland Browns celebrates with Robert Royal #84 after a run against the St. Louis Rams at Cleveland Browns Stadium on August 21, 2010 in Cleveland, Ohio.  (Photo by Matt Sullivan/Getty Images)
CLEVELAND - AUGUST 21: Peyton Hillis #40 of the Cleveland Browns celebrates with Robert Royal #84 after a run against the St. Louis Rams at Cleveland Browns Stadium on August 21, 2010 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Matt Sullivan/Getty Images)

Winning games is all that matters in the end, but how you get there is important in figuring out what to expect. The Bengals have been very unimpressive in their two victories this season, scoring only five touchdowns against eight field goals.

Peyton Hillis looked like the Peyton Manning of running backs last week against the Ravens (what the...) and looks primed for another good game at home. In the end, this game will come down to mistakes: who makes fewer of them, and who takes better advantage of the opponent's.

Browns 17Bengals 14

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Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints

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NEW ORLEANS - NOVEMBER 08:  Quarterback Drew Brees #9 of the New Orleans Saints at Louisiana Superdome on November 8, 2009 in New Orleans, Louisiana.  (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
NEW ORLEANS - NOVEMBER 08: Quarterback Drew Brees #9 of the New Orleans Saints at Louisiana Superdome on November 8, 2009 in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

The Panthers have been a doormat for anyone that even has the slightest urge to score a touchdown against them. Their offense has been one of the league's, in scoring and yards since the beginning of the season.

Drew Brees and the Saints offense were victimized by mistakes and missed field goals on Sunday against the Falcons, but they won't make the same mistakes two weeks in a row. The Panthers will be forced into an early game of catch-up, which is hard to win when your primary offensive threats are both running backs.

Saints 34Panthers 13

Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers

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DETROIT , MI - NOVEMBER 26:  Greg Jennings #85 of the Green Bay Packers runs for the reception against Philip Buchanon #31 of the Detroit Lions on November 26, 2009 at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan. Green Bay won the game 34-12. (Photo by Gregory Shamus
DETROIT , MI - NOVEMBER 26: Greg Jennings #85 of the Green Bay Packers runs for the reception against Philip Buchanon #31 of the Detroit Lions on November 26, 2009 at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan. Green Bay won the game 34-12. (Photo by Gregory Shamus

Both the Lions and the Packers have had a couple of very close games already this season. Although many expect this one to be a blowout, I believe the Lions can change a lot of people's minds about them by hanging around against a preseason favorite for the Super Bowl.

The Lions are a young team that is finding its identity, while the Packers are a battle-tested team that's trying to take the next step: from good to elite. Elite teams don't lose at home to the Detroit Lions.

Packers 24Lions 19

Seattle Seahawks @ St. Louis Rams

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OAKLAND, CA - SEPTEMBER 19:  Sam Bradford #8 of the St. Louis Rams is saked by Kamerion Wimbley #96 of the Oakland Raiders during an NFL game at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum on September 19, 2010 in Oakland, California.  (Photo by Jed Jacobsohn/Getty I
OAKLAND, CA - SEPTEMBER 19: Sam Bradford #8 of the St. Louis Rams is saked by Kamerion Wimbley #96 of the Oakland Raiders during an NFL game at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum on September 19, 2010 in Oakland, California. (Photo by Jed Jacobsohn/Getty I

It's hard to believe that the Rams really have a chance to win two games in a row this season, but the Seahawks have also been impressive this year. They beat the Chargers and the 49ers.

The Seahawks haven't been able to stop anyone from moving up and down the field through the air, so even if Steven Jackson doesn't suit up, the Seahawks could be in trouble, seeing as Bradford just did some damage against the Redskins this past week.

This one could come down to the wire, but I pick the Rams in an upset.

Rams 24Seahawks 20

San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons

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NEW ORLEANS - SEPTEMBER 26:  Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons celebrates after throwing a touchdown pass against the New Orleans Saints at the Louisiana Superdome on September 26, 2010 in New Orleans, Louisiana.  The Falcons defeated the Saints 27-24.
NEW ORLEANS - SEPTEMBER 26: Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons celebrates after throwing a touchdown pass against the New Orleans Saints at the Louisiana Superdome on September 26, 2010 in New Orleans, Louisiana. The Falcons defeated the Saints 27-24.

The Falcons look like the real deal after a big overtime win aqainst the Super Bowl champion New Orleans Saints. In fact, they've taken their two games against competitive teams to overtime.

The 49ers...well, let's just say the shambles of their team after an 0-3 start were made increasingly evident by the inexplicable firing of Jimmy Raye. Expecting offensive cohesion to develop for the 49ers in Week 4 on the road in a dome against the Falcons? Yeah...about that...

Falcons 3049ers 14

Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers

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PITTSBURGH - DECEMBER 27:  LaMarr Woodley #56 of the Pittsburgh Steelers forces Joe Flacco #5 of the Baltimore Ravens to fumble during the game at Heinz Field on December 27, 2009 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.  Pittsburgh won the game, 23-20. (Photo by Kar
PITTSBURGH - DECEMBER 27: LaMarr Woodley #56 of the Pittsburgh Steelers forces Joe Flacco #5 of the Baltimore Ravens to fumble during the game at Heinz Field on December 27, 2009 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Pittsburgh won the game, 23-20. (Photo by Kar

The Pittsburgh Steelers don't care who their quarterback is because they can still win games. More importantly, their defense doesn't care who your quarterback is because whomever may be taking the snaps will be the victim of pressure and confusion all day long.

The only success of the Ravens passing offense thus far this season came against the Cleveland Browns. They were shut down in back-to-back weeks by the Jets and the Bengals, who combined to force a sub-50 percent completion rate and one touchdown against five interceptions. The outlook isn't good for Ray Rice on Sunday, and if the ball is forced into Joe Flacco's hands, the Steelers will be salivating at the opportunity to smack the Ravens in the mouth.

Steelers 20Ravens 10

Houston Texans @ Oakland Raiders

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HOUSTON - SEPTEMBER 26:  Running back Arian Foster #23 of the Houston Texans rushes against the Dallas Cowboys in the second quarter at Reliant Stadium on September 26, 2010 in Houston, Texas.  (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)
HOUSTON - SEPTEMBER 26: Running back Arian Foster #23 of the Houston Texans rushes against the Dallas Cowboys in the second quarter at Reliant Stadium on September 26, 2010 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)

The Texans hit their first bump in the road last week against the Cowboys and lost despite a productive day from their offense.

The Raiders have let every team they've played cross the century mark in rush yards. That doesn't bode well for them against Arian Foster and gang, who will look to take the life out of the Black Hole early.

When a defensive wimp goes up against an offensive juggernaut, the outcome is pretty easy to predict.

Texans 24Raiders 7

Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars

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JACKSONVILLE, FL - DECEMBER 17:  Peyton Manning #18 of the Indianapolis Colts throws a pass against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium on December 17, 2009 in Jacksonville, Florida.  (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)
JACKSONVILLE, FL - DECEMBER 17: Peyton Manning #18 of the Indianapolis Colts throws a pass against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium on December 17, 2009 in Jacksonville, Florida. (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)

As if their league-worst attendance totals weren't bad enough, the Jaguars are playing one of the worst teams in football on both offense and defense. They picked up Trent Edwards in what looks like a "whoops, we forgot to draft a quarterback"-moment for Jacksonville.

The Colts have looked impressive after being dominated by the Texans at Reliant Stadium in Week 1. Peyton Manning's typical three touchdowns could be enough to beat the inept Jacksonville Jaguars, but I think it'll be much more than that.

Colts 32Jaguars 14

Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles

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JACKSONVILLE, FL - SEPTEMBER 26:  Quarterback Michael Vick #7 of the Philadelphia Eagles runs for a touchdown past safety Courtney Greene #36 of the Jacksonville Jaguars at EverBank Field on September 26, 2010 in Jacksonville, Florida. The Eagles defeated
JACKSONVILLE, FL - SEPTEMBER 26: Quarterback Michael Vick #7 of the Philadelphia Eagles runs for a touchdown past safety Courtney Greene #36 of the Jacksonville Jaguars at EverBank Field on September 26, 2010 in Jacksonville, Florida. The Eagles defeated

Michael Vick has yet to face a solid defense and won't see one on Sunday at home against the Redskins, either. They rank 31st in yards allowed and have surrendered five touchdowns through the air in their first three games.

The Redskins look like a mess after surrendering a late 17-point lead in a loss to the Texans, coupled with a loss last week to the Rams.

The story leading up to the game is Donovan McNabb's return to Lincoln Financial Field, but the story after the game could be Michael Vick outshining his predecessor.

Eagles 30Redskins 24

Arizona Cardinals @ San Diego Chargers

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NEW ORLEANS - AUGUST 27:  Head coach Norv Turner talks with Philip Rivers #17 of the San Diego Chargers during the game against the New Orleans Saints at the Louisiana Superdome on August 27, 2010 in New Orleans, Louisiana.  (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty
NEW ORLEANS - AUGUST 27: Head coach Norv Turner talks with Philip Rivers #17 of the San Diego Chargers during the game against the New Orleans Saints at the Louisiana Superdome on August 27, 2010 in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty

The Chargers have looked pretty good despite a 1-2 record. The Cardinals, on the other hand, have managed to make 2-1 look like quite a mess.

It's strange to watch the Chargers, who appear to be a team built for Qualcomm's 75-and-sunny climate, bumble when the weather is dreary. Their offense and defense are solid, it's their special teams that is disappointing. Back at home, the Chargers won't make the same mistakes that have plagued them against lesser competition twice this season.

In fact, I'd look for the Cardinals to finally implode under Derek Anderson, who has somehow managed not to blow the game for Arizona despite three very forgettable starts.

Chargers 31Cardinals 10

Chicago Bears @ New York Giants

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ARLINGTON, TX - SEPTEMBER 19:  Quarterback Jay Cutler #6 of the Chicago Bears at Cowboys Stadium on September 19, 2010 in Arlington, Texas.  (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
ARLINGTON, TX - SEPTEMBER 19: Quarterback Jay Cutler #6 of the Chicago Bears at Cowboys Stadium on September 19, 2010 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

Okay, seriously. Did anyone have the Chicago Bears starting at 3-0?

That doesn't matter much, as there remain 13 games to be played. The Giants are desperate for a win, but there are issues all over the place, and they can't seem to get out of their own way to get into the end zone.

The Bears have been given a couple of gifts in the first two weeks, including 18 penalties totaling 152 yards on Monday Night Football against the Packers, as well as the dubious call of the season so far on Calvin Johnson's non-game-winning-touchdown in Week 1.

It's hard to pick any team to lose at home two weeks in a row, but the Giants may do just that against the Bears.

Bears 23Giants 14

Monday Night Football: New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins

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MIAMI - SEPTEMBER 26:  Receiver Brandon Marshall #19 of the Miami Dolphins shouts during a game against the New York Jets at Sun Life Stadium on September 26, 2010 in Miami, Florida.  (Photo by Marc Serota/Getty Images)
MIAMI - SEPTEMBER 26: Receiver Brandon Marshall #19 of the Miami Dolphins shouts during a game against the New York Jets at Sun Life Stadium on September 26, 2010 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Marc Serota/Getty Images)

The Dolphins are ranked in the bottom half of the league in pass offense, but the same can be said for New England's pass defense. Brandon Marshall proved uncoverable against the Patriots last year, and if Chad Henne has all day to throw as other quarterbacks have this year, the tandem could gash the Pats on Monday night.

Tom Brady and the offense will keep it close, and this game will likely be a shootout, but the Dolphins likely won't lose two home games in a row.

Dolphins 31Patriots 28

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