MLB Betting: The Best And Worst Teams To Wager On The Run-Line: July 30th 2010

Handicappers PicksJul 30, 2010

Baseball in the month of August is nearly here, and BetUS Sportsbook takes some time out to look at the best run-line teams that the game has to offer. Check out who the top run-line teams are with our MLB picks!
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1: Toronto Blue Jays (63-39, +$2,412) – Thanks to a five game winning streak on the run line, the Blue Jays have stormed to the top of this MLB betting list for the season in surprising fashion. Though it is fairly clear that the boys from the Great White North aren’t going to be in the hunt for October this year, they should be proud of their 53-49 record through their first 102 games of the season, especially in the rough and tumble AL East. Look for the top slugging offense in baseball at 155 homers for the season to tail off just a bit as the season declines, but as long as wins keep coming by multiple runs or as underdogs, the Jays are a money team against the run-line.

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2: New York Mets (60-42, +$2,133) – The face of the Mets might be changing quite a bit between now and tomorrow’s trade deadline. There is still a question as to whether this team is going to be buying or selling. An offense that is averaging just 4.29 runs per game is frightening to bet on, but in run-line instances, perhaps not so much. It still seems as though the oddsmakers are undervaluing the Metropolitans just a bit on the season, and as a result, plenty of one run losses are turning into run-line victories as short underdogs.

3: San Diego Padres (57-43, +$1,427) – How much longer can the Padres possibly sit atop the NL West standings? Through 100 games, they are 20 games above .500 and are well on their way towards having the best record in the National League. Though the team is only 9-6 since the last time we reviewed our “Run-Line Champs,” it has picked up almost five full units thanks to the fact that it is cashing in on several home victories with big run-line numbers because of short ‘totals’.

4: New York Yankees (56-45, +$1,403) – The consummate run-line team, it should be no surprise that the Yankees are on this list as well considering the fact that they are the fourth best money team in baseball through their first 101 games of the year. There is a big series in Tampa Bay this weekend that will help determine the winner of the AL East, though there is clearly still plenty of baseball to be played. Still, with an offense like this that is averaging an MLB best 5.45 runs per game, it’s hard to not back the Bronx Bombers.

5: Cincinnati Reds (57-46, +$1,117) – The Reds remarkably have the exact same record both SU and against the run-line, and their total earnings for the year are within a unit and a half of each other. They have stormed back to the forefront in the NL Central and are going to be in the scrum for those last few playoff positions in the tightly packed National League. If they make a big move at the deadline though, the oddsmakers might catch on and adjust these lines too far to bet.

Just because a team is fantastic against the MLB betting moneylines doesn’t make it an awful squad against the run-lines. Here at BetUS Sportsbook, we’re keeping you in the know for how to beat the less popular lines to bet baseball on. See who joins the woeful Orioles on this MLB betting list!
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1: Baltimore Orioles (43-59, -$2,567) – When the Orioles swept that four game series with the Texas Rangers right before the All-Star Break, they might have done a bunch of good for their moneyline bettors, but their run-line bettors didn’t feel the full effect of being such hefty pups. This has easily been the worst MLB betting team all season long on run-lines, and even though manager Buck Showalter just took over the reins, we don’t think anything is changing this year.

2: Arizona Diamondbacks (46-56, -$2,048) – Talk about a dysfunctional franchise! Earlier this year, the surprising dismissals of both GM Josh Byrnes and manager AJ Hinch caused a ton of issues in the Arizona organization. Now, it traded the face of the team, RHP Dan Haren to the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim for LHP Joe Saunders and a couple prospects that will probably never be heard from again. Yikes! This certainly isn’t going to help matters any for a team that has struggled all season long just staying in games, let alone winning them.

3: Milwaukee Brewers (45-58, -$1,695) – There aren’t many teams in baseball that can say they’ve won fewer games against the run-lines than the Brewers can. Playing such miserable ball at home at the outset of the season really set this team back quite a bit, and now it is in a hole that it simply won’t work out of this year. With trade rumors swirling about all of the best sticks on this team, who knows what it’ll look like by the time Saturday’s wheeling and dealing is over with. Until that point, the Brew Crew are a no-no for MLB betting fans.

4: Seattle Mariners (48-55, -$1,372) – The worst money team in baseball makes its appearance as the fourth worst run-line team in the bigs at almost 14 units deficient this year. The M’s have played lackluster ball since trading away LHP Cliff Lee, and the end result might just be another season on the verge of 100 losses. The water has clearly been poisoned in the great northwest, and until someone gets the Mariners the panacea, they can’t be trusted in any situation.

5: Pittsburgh Pirates (51-50, -$1,156) – Only the Pirates could figure out how to be above .500 against the run-line and still be losing money on the season. Why is this? The oddsmakers are clearly putting too much stock in their abilities to stick within one run in games, and though they’re doing it more often than not, it isn’t often enough to beat a line of -140 or -150. The Bucs are surely not going to do anything to better themselves before the July 31st trade deadline, so this is what MLB betting aficionados are going to have to deal with all season long.

Source: BetUS Locker Room Featured on: Handicapperspicks.com