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When Will Alex Rodriguez Hit Career Home Run Number 600?

SeatGeekAnalyst IJuly 29, 2010

CLEVELAND - JULY 28: Alex Rodriguez #13 of the New York Yankees hits a second inning fly ball in front of Carlos Santana #41 of the Cleveland Indians on July 28, 2010 at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio.  (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
Gregory Shamus/Getty Images

By now, the biggest question surrounding Alex Rodriguez’s 600th home run may not be where/what section in the stadium, but when.

Two long weeks ago, here at SeatGeek, we released our initial report on where Alex Rodriguez’s 600th home run may land at Yankee Stadium. There was a substantial likelihood that A-Rod would hit the milestone home run towards the end of the Yankees’ nine game home stand which began after the All-Star break.

One week ago, A-Rod hit career home run No. 599, and had three games left on the current home stand to hit the milestone homer in front of the home crowd. 

Yet, A-Rod did not hit 600 in New York, and he took his chase with him to Cleveland, as the Yankees were slotted to play four games versus the Indians at Progressive Field.

SeatGeek and Hit Tracker followed-up our initial report with a prediction of where the historic ball may land at Progressive Field. Given the frequency in which Rodriguez has hit home runs this season and in the past, there again was a high percentage chance he would hit one home run during the Cleveland series. 

Yet, three games have passed, and A-Rod has gone homerless.

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Now, here we are, preparing to release another report with a prediction of where A-Rod’s 600th home run ball may land at Tropicana Field in Tampa Bay (the Yankees play their next three games after tonight versus the Rays—let us know if you want a sneak peak at the data).

Throughout the coverage of A-Rod’s milestone chase, SeatGeek and Hit Tracker have kept track of the percentage chances of when A-Rod may hit his 600th home run.

By now, everyone is wondering when (if ever!) will A-Rod actually hit No. 600?

At this point, there is a 22 percent chance that Rodriguez puts one in the bleachers during tonight’s game at Progressive Field.

Remember, if he does, the most likely section is Section 182, while "The Money Seat” is Section 181, Row J, the aisle seat in between Sections 180 and 181.

If A-Rod does not hit a home run tonight, there is a 42 percent chance that he hits it during one of the three games versus the Rays in Tampa.

If he doesn’t hit it at Tropicana Field, then there is a 29 percent chance he hits it during the Yankees next home stand (seven games), beginning August 2—track Yankees ticket prices updated daily to track the impact, if any, that A-Rod is having on the secondary ticket market.

percent chance when by stadium

Don’t lose hope Yankees' fans! If you were hoping to see A-Rod hit his 600th at Yankee Stadium, there is still a chance!

If you want to go to any of the upcoming games in which the Yankees play and A-Rod may hit 600, SeatGeek is the place to get your tickets! Click on a game below to see the best ticket deals around on the secondary ticket market:

7/29 Yankees @ Indians

7/30 Yankees @ Rays

7/31 Yankees @ Rays

8/1 Yankees @ Rays

If you have any questions or data inquiries, don’t hesitate to email me at justin@seatgeek.com. Also, don’t forget to follow us on Twitter @SeatGeek“Like” us on Facebook, and stop by SeatGeek for all of your ticket needs.

This article is also featured on SeatGeek Sports Blog

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