MLB Baseball Betting: MLB Umpire Over-Under Report: July 4th 2010

Handicappers PicksJul 3, 2010

Wager on the ‘Over’ with these MLB umpires
Any angle that MLB betting fans can take to get a leg up on the books is a good one, and today at BetUS Sportsbook, we’re taking a look at the umpires that have been straight money for ‘over’ bettors this year. Check out these umps that we are “all over” in MLB betting action!
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Tim Welke (12-3-2) – You have to go back to June 8th to find the last time that Welke umpped an ‘under’ game, and deep into last season for the last time that he called two straight ‘unders.’ In spite of the fact that Welke has a 1-0 game to his credit this year between the Florida Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies, he is still averaging 11.5 runs every time he steps behind the dish. Over his L/3, Welke has seen at least 12 runs hit the board all three times, and each game flew past the number by at least four runs.

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Angel Hernandez (11-4-2) – Hernandez made it almost two full months before he finally called an ‘under’ game, and it took a fantastic showing by Seattle Mariners RHP Felix Hernandez to accomplish that much. King Felix is probably tired of seeing Hernandez calling balls and strikes for him, as this has already happened three times this year, all of which have come on the road. If you throw out those three starts though, Hernandez is 10-2-2 for the ‘over.’

Mark Wegner (10-4-1) – Wegner has been posting ‘over’ games lately, but they have happened to be games that have just flown past the number. If you’re looking to bank on an ‘over’, this may not be the best option. Wegner has only averaged 7.0 runs per game in his L/6 overall and has had a relatively high strike ratio all season long (61.8%). He has topped 60 percent in six straight starts and has averaged almost five more strikeouts per game than walks.

Sam Holbrook (8-4-1) – Four of Holbrook’s L/6 games have reached double digits in runs, which is a great sign for ‘over’ bettors. Consider the fact that two of his ‘unders’ have been 1-0 games as well. All of a sudden, the average of 9.4 runs per game doesn’t seem like such a low number for an ump that has been a consistent ‘over’ machine all season long. It’s amazing that Holbrook called nearly 70 percent of his pitches for strikes in the Cleveland/Philly game two weeks ago, his most appearance behind the plate, yet there were 15 runs scored.

Mike Reilly (11-6-1) – Since starting off the season with five straight ‘over’ clashes, Reilly really has tapered off into obscurity for ‘total’ bettors, as he has been split right down the line with six ‘overs’, six ‘unders’, and a push. It seems like the better the pitching matchup, the more likely the game goes ‘over’ though with Reilly as the head man in blue. He has watched RHP Roy Oswalt, RHP Chris Carpenter, RHP Edwin Jackson, and several other excellent arms end up with ‘over’ clashes.

Wager on the ‘Under’ with these MLB umpires
BetUS Sportsbook continues its look at various angles that can help you cash in by analyzing the top ‘under’ umpires that you should be watching the next time that you have your eye on a pitcher’s duel. Our MLB betting angles check out the umps that are ‘under’ the gun.
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Jim Wolf (3-11) – Since we last addressed the ‘under’ umpires, Wolf has been a disaster for us! He called a pair of very high scoring games before taking a break, and we say good riddance if that’s the way that he is going to call games for the rest of the season! Still, with an average run production of 6.3 runs per game and averaging over three times the number of strikeouts per game (16.2) as walks per game (5.3), there’s no reason not to continue staying ‘under’ with Wolf behind the plate.

Bob Davidson (4-11-1) – Much like Wolf, the ‘overs’ have suddenly started coming in with Davidson calling balls and strikes, and it is starting to worry us just a tad. The 20 run game that he called between the Detroit Tigers RHP Justin Verlander and New York Mets RHP Jonathon Niese was a bit of an anomaly, we think. It isn’t every day that Davidson only calls 58.6 percent of his pitches as strikes and issues a dozen free passes. He has only called four games all year that have reached double digits in scoring, but two of those have come in his L/2 starts.

Mike Estabrook (4-11-1) – Estabrook’s strike zone has been wide open for pitchers all season long, especially lately. He has punched out 14 or more batters in six straight starts, and even though ‘total’ bettors have only yielded a 3-2-1 record in those six outings, the handwriting is certainly on the wall that more low scoring affairs could be in the cards. Estabrook has also called at least 60 percent strikes in six straight affairs and seven out of eight as well.

Mike Dimuro (4-10-2) – The ‘under’ train continues to roll with Dimuro behind the plate. He has now cashed in ‘under’ tickets in seven of his L/8 graded MLB wagering affairs (with two pushes thrown in the mix as well). Dimuro called the consummate ‘under’ game last week when Boston Red Sox LHP Jon Lester met San Francisco Giants RHP Tim Lincecum, as he called 24 men out on strikes and called 65.6 percent of his pitches as strikes. Only five free passes were issued. The over/under might have been just 6.5 in that game, but stats like that resulted in a comfortable ‘under’.

Greg Gibson (4-10-3) – Gibson makes his first appearance on the ‘under’ list for umpires all season long thanks to the fact that he has nailed down back-to-back low scorers in his L/2 times behind the dish. Issuing 7.6 runs per game doesn’t normally feel like the recipe for this fantastic of an ‘under’ record, but Gibson has only called one ‘over’ game since May 11th.

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