MLB Betting: The Best And Worst MLB Teams To Bet On The Run-Line: June 19th 2010

Handicappers PicksJun 18, 2010

Baseball in the month of June is halfway through, and BetUS Sportsbook takes some time out to look at the best run-line teams that the game has to offer. Check out who the top run-line teams are with our MLB picks!
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THE BEST
1: New York Mets (43-23, +$2,217) – The Mets have the second most wins in baseball against the run-line this year. Not only do they have the second best money mark in the league, but they’re simply in a league of their own when you’re talking about run-lines. With a team ERA of 3.75 and an offense that is suddenly up averaging 4.61 runs per game after getting off to a woeful start to the year, New York is flying high. The team has only gotten nipped on the run-line in one game of late that it won, and that came back on June 8th against the Padres. Since that point, the team has nailed seven straight against the moneyline and the run-line.

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2: Toronto Blue Jays (44-23, +$2,089) – The Blue Jays are also head and shoulders above the rest of baseball in terms of producing a lot of winners for run-line bettors. The reason that the Jays aren’t #1 on this list is because they have been underdogs more often than the Mets have, and New York has been cashing more +160 tickets for -1.5 bets than has Toronto. This is the only team in baseball that has bashed over 100 home runs this year. typical swoon from the boys from the Great White North feels like it is starting, as Toronto is now 5.5 games back through 67 games, but all three of the big boys in the AL East are in front of it now.

3: New York Yankees (37-29, +$932) – It almost feels a little surprising that the Yanks are only +8 in the run-line department right now. The team is averaging 5.48 runs per game this year, and it feels like every single night, it is putting five runs on the board. For a team that only has a 3.87 team ERA, it seems like that should be enough of a discrepancy to produce a lot more winners on the run-line. Still, this is why the Bronx Bombers are always potentially dangerous run-line team to back.

4: San Diego Padres (39-27, +$927) – If the oddsmakers had valued the Padres more at the outset of this season than they did, they would be at the very top of this list. Simply because of the fact that it is an underdog all the time, it is hard to cash big tickets as short favorites on the moneyline that translate into big +150 or greater run-line prices. Instead, San Diego has done it the old fashioned way, scoring wins a unit at a time.

5: Atlanta Braves (36-31, +$912) – Atlanta got off to a woeful start this year against the run-line, but this recent run of form at home has turned all of that around. The Braves are 8-1 against the run-line over their L/9 games overall and are averaging outscoring opponents by exactly a full run per game in that stretch.

Just because a team is fantastic against the MLB betting moneylines doesn’t make it an awful squad against the run-lines. Here at BetUS Sportsbook, we’re keeping you in the know for how to beat the less popular lines to bet baseball on. See who joins the woeful Orioles on this MLB betting list!
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THE WORST
1: Baltimore Orioles (26-40, -$2,002) – This really shouldn’t be much of a surprise to you. The Orioles have just been a train wreck all season long, and it’s hard to beat run-lines when you just know going in to seemingly every game that a one run loss seems to be your best chance to cash a ticket. The prices are starting to get more and more ridiculous on the O’s, and they have to win more than 50 games for the entire season, right?

2: Houston Astros (30-37, -$1,423) – We would blame RHP Roy Oswalt for this run-line issue that the Astros have going right now, but we are pretty sure that he would do nothing but get really upset at his offense for the lack of run support that he is getting. Because his name is Roy Oswalt, the right-hander always gets respect from the Sports betting oddsmakers, but unless his team scores two runs for him, there’s no way to cover the run-line, and that’s only if he doesn’t make a mistake!

3: Milwaukee Brewers (29-37, -$1,177) – The Brew Crew are still paying for the sins of having that miserable 11-19 record at Miller Park. There still aren’t many games that are played in which Milwaukee isn’t a favorite at home, which makes covering that run and a half virtually impossible for a team with a pitching staff that is this awful. Wake us up when the Brew Crew have a team ERA of better than 5.13.

4: Pittsburgh Pirates (32-34, -$1,075) – When you have lost 11 straight games, only four of which have come by one run, and you’re consistently an underdog of between +105 and +130, you’re going to have some huge losses that you have to explain to your run-line bettors. That’s precisely the situation the Bucs find themselves in now, as they are becoming a victim of circumstances against the run-line. Every time we think that things may change in Pittsburgh, we still have to look back and realize that it is indeed Pittsburgh we are dealing with.

5: Chicago White Sox (27-38, -$1,022) – Just like we can blame Oswalt for a lot of the hassles that run-line bettors have faced in Houston, we can do the same for both SPs Gavin Floyd and Mark Buehrle in the Windy City. Both of these pitchers command respect from the oddsmakers because of their pasts, as each has the ability to win 18 games in the average season and can turn it on in a heartbeat. Still, the end result is that the team is having to lay 1.5 runs all the time, and for a team that is only “up” to averaging 4.38 runs per game after a few recent offensive explosions, that’s awful news.

Source: BetUS Locker Room Featured on: Handicapperspicks.com