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2011 NFL Mock Draft: Locker or Luck for the Buffalo Bills?

Tanner ThomsSenior Analyst IJune 15, 2010

PALO ALTO, CA - NOVEMBER 21:  Andrew Luck #12 of the Stanford Cardinal in action during their game against the California Bears at Stanford Stadium on November 21, 2009 in Palo Alto, California.  (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)
Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

The order of draft picks is based on predicted overall record as you will soon see.


1. Buffalo Bills- Jake Locker, QB, Washington
Predicted record: 2-14

The Bills have many questions on offense that have yet to be answered. Will Marshawn Lynch be traded? Can Trent Edwards finally show he's worth something? Is a Terrell Owens re-signing in order?

If I were a Bills fan, I would be scared for my team this year. Buffalo has nothing going on for them at the moment. Sure, C.J. Spiller will have his moments, but will they be able to rely on him that much?

Jake Locker is a tremendous quarterback prospect with a great arm. It will be interesting to see how he performs after not declaring for the 2010 draft.


2. St. Louis Rams- Robert Quinn, DE, North Carolina
Predicted record: 3-13

A.J. Green, the wide receiver from Georgia, is an intriguing prospect for the Rams to ponder, but it's not often you see wide receivers going in the top two.

Sam Bradford could struggle this year with Donnie Avery, Laurent Robinson, Mardy Gilyard, and Brandon Gibson being his main targets. Hopefully one of these young receivers will be able to step up in a big way for St. Louis.

With this being said, the Rams should focus on improving their defensive line with their first pick. Robert Quinn is the second-coming on Julius Peppers. That's enough reason right there.

3. Cleveland Browns- Marcell Dareus, DL, Alabama
Predicted record: 3-13

I'm sorry Cleveland, I just can't see the Browns winning more than three games with Jake Delhomme as your starting quarterback.

The Browns made a great choice in the first round this year with the selection of former Florida Gator cornerback, Joe Haden.

This year, Cleveland will look to improve their defensive line, like the Rams. Shaun Rogers does not have much left in the tank, so it's very likely they'll look for his replacement early on.

4. Kansas City Chiefs- Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford
Predicted record: 3-13

It's not often that the Chiefs aren't terrible, so I don't really see this year being that much different for them, unfortunately.

Matt Cassel is due a $7.5 million dollar option bonus prior to the 2011-2012 season. I strongly doubt the Chiefs will be willing to dish that kind of money to a quarterback that is a one-year wonder.

Andrew Luck will be a Heisman candidate this year, without a doubt in my mind. He could easily be the future for the Chiefs. And for their sake, they had better pray that's true.

5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin
Predicted record: 4-12

Look, I know I might get a lot of heat for this pick, but the Buccaneers need an offensive tackle that doesn't suck.

Jeremy Trueblood is seriously not cutting it for them anymore. And is Donald Penn going to be able to control his weight for a change?

Gabe Carimi is easily the best offensive tackle prospect at this point in time. I, personally, wouldn't be shocked if the Buccaneers went this route.

6. Detroit Lions- Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU
Predicted record: 4-12

The Lions improve by two wins for the second year in a row. By the 2016-2017 season they will be 16-0! Dare to dream, Detroit fans.

Detroit has a big need for a true No. 1 cornerback. Once Detroit sees how well, or not, Joe Haden does this season, they will make their decision on whether or not a cornerback is worth a shot this early on. Actually, that does not sound too logical.

Patrick Peterson is definitely the best cornerback in this year's draft, followed by Aaron Williams out of Texas.

7. Seattle Seahawks- Ryan Mallett, QB, Arkansas
Predicted record: 5-11

For the sake of being a nice guy, I hope that Charlie Whitehurst is a solid quarterback for the Seahawks. However, it's not very likely. Well, they always have Matt Hasselbeck...

My guy tells me that Whitehurst won't be the answer to Seattle's problems at quarterback. Ryan Mallett could be that guy.

He could have been a first-rounder had he come out last year, but it looks like he has made the right choice by staying in school with the Arkansas Razorbacks.

8. Jacksonville Jaguars- Aaron Williams, CB, Texas
Predicted record: 5-11

I have absolutely no idea what the Jaguars were thinking when they took a second- or third-round prospect in Tyson Alualu with the 10th overall pick in this year's draft.

Jacksonville then proceeded to take a player that plays almost the same position two rounds later in D'Anthony Smith with the 74th overall pick.

Hopefully this time around the Jaguars will make a much smarter pick in Aaron Williams. He's a very talented cornerback with tremendous size at 6'1", 195 pounds.

9. Chicago Bears- A.J. Green, WR, Georgia
Predicted record: 6-10

Chicago did not have a first or second round pick in the 2010 draft, but made a solid pick in the third round with the selection of Major Wright.

In 2011, the Bears will likely have a first-round pick. Chicago will struggle all season long without a true No. 1 receiver for Jay Cutler to throw to.

A.J. Green is without a doubt a top-five prospect, but it's not likely that any team before the Bears will take him that early. Nonetheless, Chicago should make the move in drafting a very talented receiver in Green.

10. New England Patriots (from Oakland)- Mark Inrgram, RB, Alabama
Predicted record (Oakland): 6-10

The Oakland Raiders traded a potential top-five or 10 pick to the Patriots for a defensive end that is on the wrong side of his career. This defensive end is Richard Seymour.

New England already has a great offense with Tom Brady, Randy Moss, Wes Welker, Julian Edelman, and Rob Gronkowski on it, but they lack a strong running game.

If the Patriots are able to add a physical running back like Ingram for the 2011-2012 season, they could be an unstoppable force to be reckoned with all year long.

11. Arizona Cardinals- Joseph Barksdale, OT, LSU
Predicted record: 6-10

The Cardinals are not going to be nearly as good this coming season without future hall-of-famer Kurt Warner at the helm.

Arizona will have a rough season this year, but don't expect them to have many of those types of season's in a row. It's not often the Cardinals have a span of bad years.

With that said, Arizona needs to fix their offensive line. They failed to address their lackluster O-line in the draft or through free agency. Joseph Barksdale is the best option for the Cardinals with the 11th overall pick.

12. Denver Broncos- Cameron Heyward, DL, Ohio State
Predicted record: 7-9

Despite the signings of Justin Bannan, Jarvis Green, and Jamal Williams, Denver's defensive line is something to be slightly concerned about.

None of these three players are really stars at all. Jamal Williams was once a great player, but now he is aging. Nonetheless, he still has a little bit left in the tank for the Broncos organization.

Cameron Heyward is one of the best 3-4 defensive ends in the entire draft. He should be a day-one starter for the Denver Broncos in 2011.

13. Washington Redskins- Julio Jones, WR, Alabama
Predicted record: 7-9

If the Redskins expect Donovan McNabb to be their quarterback for the next few years he will need targets.

Does Washington seriously expect to be great with the likes of Santana Moss and Devin Thomas as their starting receivers?

Julio Jones hasn't exactly lived up to expectations, but he's still been a very good player, though. He is a bona fide first-round-pick.

14. Pittsburgh Steelers- Adrian Clayborn, DL, Iowa
Predicted record: 7-9

Pittsburgh's defensive line is aging by the day, besides Ziggy Hood. They need to find a top-notch 3-4 defensive end in the first round.

Adrian Clayborn had a tremendous season with the Iowa Hawkeyes last year. In his junior season, Clayborn recorded 11 sacks ans 63 tackles total.

15. New York Giants- Jurrell Casey, DT, USC
Predicted record: 8-8

I don't really see the Giants improving from their mediocre season that they had last year. They didn't really improve their offense or defense this offseason.

Their secondary is excellent, undoubtedly. Their linebacking corps is fairly solid most of the time. Their defensive line has a few question marks, though.

Barry Cofield and Jay Alford are scheduled to be free agents after this season. The Giants need to find a replacement for one of these two.

16. Carolina Panthers- DeAndre McDaniel, S, Clemson
Predicted record: 8-8

I definitely think the Panthers are going to have a much better year in 2010 with Matt Moore as their starting quarterback. Nonetheless, I don't see major improvements as far as their record from last year goes.

Carolina decided to trade Chris Harris to the Bears this offseason, leaving Sherrod Martin, who struggled as a rookie, as his replacement.

DeAndre McDaniel is definitely the best safety prospect in the draft at this point in time. Whether or not he goes in the top 20 is the big question.

17. Philadelphia Eagles- Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska
Predicted record: 8-8

I would first like to say that Prince Amukamara may be one of the coolest names I've ever heard of in my entire life.

The Eagles secondary is very weak outside of Asante Samuel. It's going to be a training camp question on who is likely to start on the opposite side of Samuel.

Philadelphia will need to look for a top-notch cornerback early on in the 2011 draft.

18. Tennessee Titans- Ras-I Dowling, DB, Virginia
Predicted record: 8-8

Tennessee is going to have one heck of a time trying to defend the pass this year with their lack of playmakers, outside of Cortland Finnegan in the secondary.

The Titans ranked 31st in the league against the pass last season, giving up nearly 260 yards a game.

Ras-I Dowling could have been a first or second round pick had he come out last year, but he decided to stay in school instead.

19. Cincinnati Bengals- Marvin Austin, DT, North Carolina
Predicted record: 9-7

Cincinnati was a very surprising team last year going 10-6 and making the playoffs. However, the Bengals were defeated by the Jets 24-14 in the first round.

This year, Cincy will not be of any surprise to people, unless they are absolutely terrible.

The Bengals need an upgrade at defensive tackle. They did draft Geno Atkins in the fourth round, but I don't see him as being the future at D-tackle.

20. Miami Dolphins- Deunta Williams, FS, North Carolina
Predicted record: 9-7

Miami, last year, was very disappointing on both sides of the ball. Chad Pennington went down early in the year, leaving Chad Henne to start for the rest of the season.

In 2010, the Dolphins should be a much better football team. They acquired a tremendous playmaking receiver in Brandon Marshall from the Denver Broncos.

Miami failed to address their need for a top free safety in either the draft or through free agency. In next year's draft, the Dolphins should draft one of the better safety prospect in Deunta Williams.

21. San Francisco 49ers- Von Miller, DE/OLB, Texas A&M
Predicted record: 9-7

Many, like me, expect a very good season for the 49ers this year. They have made major improvements to the offensive line, which needed help.

However, they did not fix their need for a talented rush-linebacker. They did have plenty of chances to do so.

Von Miller is without a doubt the best hybrid linebacker in the 2011 draft. He would fill a big need for San Fran.

22. Atlanta Falcons- Greg Romeus, DE, Pittsburgh
Predicted record: 10-6

It surprised many people that the Atlanta Falcons failed to address their need for a defensive end with any of their seven draft picks.

Maybe they think Jamaal Anderson will finally stop being a bust, and actually step up this time around. But then again, it's not very likely at this point.

Greg Romeus is the best defensive end available, Atlanta should definitely make the move.

23. Houston Texans- Jonathan Baldwin, WR, Pittsburgh
Predicted record: 10-6

Yes, I know that the Texans re-signed Kevin Walter, but is he seriously the best option they can go with across from Andre Johnson for years to come?

Houston may have a couple bigger needs, but just imagine their offense with two sky-scrapers like Andre Johnson and Jonathan Baldwin on the field.

Baldwin is a 6'5", 225 pound stud who caught 57 passes for 1,111 yards, and 8 touchdowns in his sophomore season with Pittsburgh.

24. San Diego Chargers- Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame
Predicted record: 10-6

Every single time I think the Chargers are going to have a disappointing season, they always play great. I'm going to start wishing they have a great season, in hopes that they struggle all year long.

Vincent Jackson is very upset with the Chargers currently because they have not given him the long-term deal that he desires. If San Diego cannot lock him long-term, they are in trouble.

With that said, San Diego still needs a No. 2 receiver opposite of Jackson, unless he goes elsewhere. Michael Floyd had a great season last year with Notre Dame, and should do even better this year with Golden Tate out of the picture.

25. New England Patriots- Allen Bailey, DL, Miami
Predicted record: 11-5

The Patriots elected to pass on one of the best 3-4 defensive lineman in this year's draft. That man was Jared Odrick, who was drafted by the Miami Dolphins.

With their second of two first-round picks, New England should focus on improving their defensive line.

Allen Bailey is one of the best 3-4 defensive lineman in next year's draft. He should definitely help provide the Patriots with a much-needed boost on defense.

26. New York Jets- Jack Crawford, DE/OLB, Penn State
Predicted record: 11-5

Sorry, New York Jets fans, but even though you acquired the likes of Jason Taylor, Antonio Cromartie, and LaDainian Tomlinson, does not mean that you are going to win the Super Bowl.

The Jets are not going to be able to beat the top teams in the AFC, like Indianapolis, New England, San Diego, and Baltimore if they can't rush the quarterback well.

Jack Crawford is not a well-known prospect at this time, but I expect a big year for him with the Nittany Lions in 2010.

27. Green Bay Packers- Brandon Harris, CB, Miami
Predicted record: 11-5

The Packers continue to improve every single year, which scares me because I'm a huge Minnesota Vikings fan.

One problem with the Packers is that Charles Woodson will be 35 years old in October of 2011. More likely than not, he will hang up the cleats in the next couple years.

Brandon Harris might be a bit of a reach with the 27th pick, but the Packers may have to do that if they want a good cornerback in the first round.

28. Dallas Cowboys- Rahim Moore, FS, UCLA
Predicted record: 12-4

Dallas should have a typical solid year if Dez Bryant plays up to expectations in his rookie season.

On defense, the Cowboys sometimes seem to struggle. Their secondary will be in trouble if Akwasi Owusu-Ansah can't perform well at free safety.

I'm going to go with the ball-hawk Rahim Moore for the Cowboys for right now. This pick is definitely going to change if Owusu-Ansah does indeed play at a high level.

29. New Orleans Saints- Sam Acho, DE, Texas
Predicted record: 12-4

It very rarely happens in the NFL when a team can win back-to-back Super Bowls. Sorry, New Orleans, but I just don't see it happening for you this year.

The Saints failed to address their need at defensive end in the offseason. This may or may not be a big problem for them this year.

Sam Acho is due for a big season with the Longhorns. He registered 13 tackles for loss, and 7 sacks as a junior last year.

30. Indianapolis Colts- Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College
Predicted record: 13-3

The Colts are always talented. It wouldn't matter if they traded Reggie Wayne, released Joseph Addai, and Dwight Freeney retired. Indianapolis is always great.

Nonetheless, I don't see them returning to the Super Bowl this year 'round. I think a team like the Baltimore Ravens could shock the world by beating them in the AFC championship game.

I was quite shocked when the Colts didn't address their offensive tackle situation in the draft. They should definitely give it some serious though come April.

31. Baltimore Ravens- Mike Pouncey, C/G, Florida
Predicted record: 11-5

I hope Baltimore fans are happy by seeing this. I don't have them winning the Super Bowl, obviously, but just making it there is something to be proud of, undoubtedly.

The Ravens don't have many problems with their current offensive line situation, but they likely will in 10 months time.

Matt Birk will be nearing retirement soon, which will leave a big hole at center. Mike Pouncey will likely be the guy that could be his successor.

32. Minnesota Vikings- Travis Lewis, OLB, Oklahoma
Predicted record: 13-3

Seriously, what kind of fan would I be if I didn't think that the Vikings were going to win the Super Bowl? Even if you're a Rams fan, think that you're team is bringing home the Lombardi trophy.

The Vikings defense is one of the best in the league at this point. In 2011, things could be different.

Pat Williams will likely be gone, Ray Edwards may be on a different team, and Ben Leber could be either released or demoted to second-string.

Travis Lewis is a tremendous weakside linebacker with a ton of potential. If drafted by Minnesota, I could seriously see him being a day-one starter for the Vikings.

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