NBA Betting: Denver Nuggets vs. New York Knicks Odds & Pick: March 23rd 2010

Denver Nuggets vs. New York Knicks
Free Pick: New York +6.5 -110 odds
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The public is all over Denver in this game yet we are seeing reverse line movement. The Nuggets opened as six-point favorites and it is down to -5.5 in most places and that is definitely a trigger to look at the underdog. Denver is 17-17 on the road this season and in the NBA that is a pretty good record while going 15-16-3 ATS. The Nuggets have played up and down to the competition numerous times this season when playing away from home as they are 8-3-2 as a road underdog but just 7-13-1 ATS in the 21 games they have been favored on the road, winning just 10 of those outright. They are only 9-18 ATS this season overall against teams with a losing record and surprisingly, this is the type of team that Denver struggles against as it is 3-12 ATS this season against teams allowing 103 or more ppg on defense. Denver is coming off a three-game homestand where it lost its last game against Milwaukee and many will look for a bounceback here however with a game at Boston on deck for tomorrow night, I think it may be just the opposite and be more of a lookahead situation. The Knicks have been hot or miss of late as they are 5-6 over their last 11 games including a 3-2 record at home. They are 6-4-1 ATS over this stretch and for the season they are an even 14-14 ATS against teams with a winning record and they have actually been more successful against teams that are above average as they are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games against teams that have a winning percentage greater than .600. New York has not fared well against the Western Conference with the exception of the Northwest Division where it is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games. While the losses have been piling up for the Knicks, they have remained competitive for the most part. Despite being 6-18 in their last 24 games, of those 18 losses, nine were by seven points or fewer, five of which were at home including two in overtime. There is no chance the playoffs would be close by but a few bounces their way and the record could very well be a lot better. The Knicks have not lost a cover in four straight games coming off a loss and they are in excellent shape to continue that tonight. 3* New York Knicks