Latest Odds and Predictions for Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley

Jake RillFeatured Columnist IIAugust 18, 2021

FILE - In this March 2, 2017, file photo, Tyron Woodley speaks with the media during a news conference for UFC 209, in Las Vegas. Woodley is back to defend his welterweight championship for the first time since UFC President Dana White blasted a winning performance last summer, when Woodley said he injured a shoulder during the fight. Since that event in California about 13 months ago, Woodley had surgery and dismissed an event for an interim welterweight title as a bout for a “boo-boo belt.” The 36-year-old didn’t seem as interested in taking on the sanctioning body as he prepared to face undefeated challenger Darren Till at UFC 228 on Saturday night. (AP Photo/John Locher, File)
John Locher/Associated Press

It's almost time for one of the Paul brothers to step into a boxing ring again. And like the previous matches featuring either Jake or Logan Paul, this one is also drawing a ton of attention during the buildup.

On Aug. 29, Jake Paul is set to square off with former UFC welterweight champion Tyron Woodley at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland. If this was a mixed martial arts fight, Woodley would be an overwhelming favorite. But this is a boxing match, so it could actually be a competitive bout.

The Paul brothers have been facing tougher opponents of late, as Logan Paul boxed Floyd Mayweather Jr. in June, a bout that wasn't scored and didn't have an announced winner. Now, Jake Paul will look to have his best performance yet against Woodley.

Here's everything else you need to know heading into the highly anticipated Paul-Woodley bout.



Jake Paul: -156 (bet $156 to win $100)

Tyron Woodley: +150 (bet $100 to win $150)

Via OddsChecker


Preview, Prediction

Although Paul hasn't faced the toughest competition in his first three professional matches, that hasn't stopped oddsmakers from listing him as the favorite against Woodley. And that may come as a surprise to many who thought the former UFC star would have no trouble against the YouTuber-turned-boxer.

Woodley is no longer under contract with UFC, and he didn't have a great end to his time with the company. After beginning his professional MMA career 19-3-1, he lost the welterweight title to Kamaru Usman at UFC 235 in March 2019.

From there, the 39-year-old never got an opportunity to win back the title. He lost to Gilbert Burns in May 2020 and then to Colby Covington less than four months later. His last UFC fight came at UFC 260 in March, when he lost to Vicente Luque.

Even though Woodley was a dominant MMA fighter at one time, he's never boxed before. So it's not ridiculous to think his opponent could come out on top.

But Woodley will also be Paul's toughest opponent to this point by far. The YouTuber defeated fellow social media personality AnEsonGib in January 2020 and then knocked out former NBA player Nate Robinson last November.

The last time the 24-year-old stepped in the ring was when he defeated former MMA fighter Ben Askren in April. But Woodley had much more success in the UFC than Askren, and it seems he'll be in much better shape than Askren was when he fought Paul earlier this year.

Paul and Woodley are scheduled to go eight rounds and will be fighting at 190 pounds, which is what Paul weighed when he faced off against Askren. Woodley fought at 170 pounds while in the UFC.

As you might expect, the Paul brothers appear confident heading into the bout. Logan Paul told Showtime's All Access that he thinks his younger brother will knock out Woodley in the first round, a prediction that Jake Paul agreed with (h/t Georgina Smith of Dexerto.com).

However, this match isn't likely to be as one-sided as the Paul brothers think it will be. Woodley has been training, and as long as he's motivated to win, he's going to make things interesting, even if he doesn't have professional boxing experience and is 15 years older than his opponent.

In fact, it's possible Woodley wins as the underdog and hands Paul his first pro boxing loss.

The prediction here is that there won't be a knockout on either side and that the fight will go the full eight rounds. But Woodley will prove his striking skills can carry over into the boxing ring, and he'll find a way to pull out a close victory.

Prediction: Woodley wins via split decision