Projecting Deshaun Watson's Trade Value After Reported Stafford-Goff Deal

Blake SchusterSenior Analyst IIJanuary 31, 2021

Houston Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson walks off the field before an NFL football game against the Tennessee Titans Sunday, Jan. 3, 2021, in Houston. Star quarterback Deshaun Watson has requested a trade from the Houston Texans, a person familiar with the move told The Associated Press. The person spoke to the AP on the condition of anonymity Thursday, Jan. 28, 2021, because they weren’t authorized to discuss the request publicly. (AP Photo/Eric Christian Smith)
Eric Christian Smith/Associated Press

The biggest winner in the reported Matthew Stafford-Jared Goff trade Saturday may end up being new Houston Texans general manager Nick Caserio.

In order to add Stafford, the Rams sent their former first-round pick QB, two future first-round picks and a future third-round pick, per ESPN's Adam Schefter. According to Spotrac, the $22.2 million dead cap hit the Rams absorbed to move Goff is the highest for a single season in league history.

With Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson having reportedly demanded a trade, Houston is in a position to redeem an even bigger haul than Detroit got from Los Angeles.

Aaron Wilson of the Houston Chronicle speculated on Twitter that for the Texans to "seriously consider" moving Watson, an offer would need to include at least three first-round picks to begin the conversation. It's not an irrational thought.

Aaron Wilson @AaronWilson_NFL

A treasure chest of draft capital and players would be necessary for Texans to seriously consider trade proposals for Deshaun Watson. At least three ones and more. Texans' stance right now is he's under contract and not available. Watson has requested trade. Staredown continues

The three-time Pro Bowler is a perennial MVP candidate and has passed for 12,840 yards, 85 touchdowns and 28 interceptions over the last three years. By comparison, Stafford passed for 10,360 yards, 66 touchdowns and 26 interceptions.

Stephen Holder @HolderStephen

Based on this, I gotta say Deshaun Watson is un-tradable. Where would the bidding even begin?

Yet Caserio doesn't seem inclined to move Watson regardless of the QB's wishes.

"We have zero interest in trading the player," Caserio told reporters Friday. "We have a great plan, a great vision for him and for this team and his role on our team. We look forward to the opportunity to spend more time with him here this spring."

That may not be enough to convince Watson to stay in Houston.

Aaron Wilson @AaronWilson_NFL

Deshaun Watson updated his social media profiles from Texans photo to simply 'athlete' Watson has requested trade and is dug into stance of not wanting to play for team again. Texans steadfast they don't want to trade him. Staredown continues https://t.co/n38BaZIYHN

The quarterback recently wiped his social media accounts of any reference to the Texans and appears more than ready to start over elsewhere.

Given Saturday's Stafford trade, Caserio could pull in a massive return for Watson.