Manny Pacquiao vs. Adrien Broner Scorecard Predictions, Odds and Prop Bets

Rory Marsden@@roomarsdenFeatured ColumnistJanuary 16, 2019

KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA - JULY 15:  Manny Pacquiao of the Phillipines and Lucas Matthysse of Argintine in action on July 15, 2018 in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.  (Photo by How Foo Yeen/Getty Images)
How Foo Yeen/Getty Images

Manny Pacquiao's best days are past him. He is no longer the fighter he was when he claimed 15 victories in a row from 2005 to 2011, beating the likes of Oscar De La Hoya, Miguel Cotto, Ricky Hatton, Shane Mosley and Juan Manuel Marquez (twice).

However, the 40-year-old superstar is still a huge draw and occasionally electric, and his return to the United States on Saturday to take on Adrien Broner will have many rightly hooked.

Pac-Man's last two fights, a controversial defeat to Jeff Horn and a knockout win against Lucas Matthysse, took place in Australia and Malaysia, respectively.

But he returns to Las Vegas' MGM Grand Garden Arena on Saturday to defend his WBA welterweight crown against 29-year-old Broner, who has a shot to finally start making good on his early potential.

Pacquiao is the favourite to prevail, but Broner will be desperate to upset the odds after not winning either of his last two fights.

In his last visit to the ring, he came away with a draw against Jessie Vargas following his unanimous-decision defeat to Mikey Garcia in July 2017.


Fight Odds


Pacquiao win (1-3)

Broner win (9-4)

Figures courtesy of OddsShark


Win Type 

Pacquiao by decision or technical decision (evens)

Pacquiao by KO, TKO or DQ (11-4)

Broner by decision or technical decision (9-2)

Broner by KO, TKO or DQ (5-1)

Draw or technical draw (20-1)

Figures courtesy of Oddschecker


If Broner beats Pacquiao, it will be the biggest win of the American's career by some distance.

He is aware of what a victory could do for him. Per the Mirror's Martin Domin, Broner said in the build-up: "After this victory, I will be taking over the sport of boxing. This is just the beginning."

It was a predictably hubristic comment from the underdog, whose career to date has been regularly plagued by legal issues outside the ring.

MIAMI, FL - DECEMBER 18:  Adrien Broner works out for the media at the 5th Street Gym on December 18, 2018 in Miami, Florida. Broner is scheduled to fight Manny Pacquiao on January 19th in Las Vegas, Nevada.  (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images)
Michael Reaves/Getty Images

Pacquiao has little to prove, but a win over Broner could take him closer to a rematch against Floyd Mayweather Jr.

The pair's 2015 meeting was a huge letdown, as Money ran out an easy winner. However, they met back in September to discuss a potential rematch, which could be scheduled for late 2019 if Pacquiao wins on Saturday, per Dan Rafael of ESPN.

As the man himself noted, though, "I have to go through this fight first before we talk about Floyd Mayweather."

Pac-Man's defeat of Matthysse was notable because it was his first victory by knockout since he beat Cotto in 2009:

ESPN Stats & Info @ESPNStatsInfo

Manny Pacquiao (60-7-2) defeats Lucas Matthysse for the WBA welterweight title by TKO, his first knockout win since 2009. Pacquiao has now scored knockdowns in 3 of his last 4 fights. For the first time in his career, Matthysse was knocked down twice in a fight. https://t.co/xigqPWwmdF

It showed he still has the punching power to land the killer blow, and he will be looking for another knockout victory in Las Vegas.

It is difficult to know how Broner will approach the fight given how much is on the line for him, but he has historically been a cautious fighter, modelling himself on Mayweather's defensive style. That could frustrate Pacquiao, but then again, Broner is nowhere near as talented as Mayweather.

If he does not feel he is winning the fight come the later rounds, Broner may be forced to open up a little, which will give Pacquiao the opportunity to earn a second successive knockout win.


Prediction: Pacquiao by ninth-round TKO


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