Manny Pacquiao vs. Lucas Matthysse Scorecard Predictions, Odds and Prop Bets

Matt JonesFeatured ColumnistJuly 11, 2018

Philippine senator and boxing hero Manny Pacquiao, left, and Argentine WBA welterweight champion Lucas Matthysse pose for photographers as they hold the WBA welterweight champion belt during a press conference in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia Friday, April 20, 2018. The two are scheduled to fight on July 15, for the World Boxing Association welterweight title in Malaysia. (AP Photo/Vincent Thian
Vincent Thian/Associated Press

Eight-weight world champion Manny Pacquiao will be out to prove he still has a lot to offer the boxing world on July 15 (July 14 in the U.S.), as he faces Lucas Matthysse in Kuala Lumpur.

Pacquiao, who has won 59 of his 68 professional bouts, is seeking to bounce back from a surprising and controversial loss to Jeff Horn in Brisbane, Australia, a year ago. The 39-year-old lost the WBO title in that defeat.

He'll be seeking to win the WBA welterweight belt from Matthysse, although it's unlikely to be a straightforward assignment for the Filipino. The Argentinian has 39 wins from his 43 fights, with 36 of those victories coming inside the distance.

Here's a look at the latest odds for the fight, a preview of the contest and a prediction for how the scorecards will come out.


Fight Result

Pacquiao win (-213)

Matthysse win (+155)


Prop Bets

Fight to go the distance (-250)

Matthyse via decision or technical decision (+700)


Result odds are courtesy of OddsShark

Prop bets courtesy of OddsChecker


Pacquiao Out to Prove He's Still Got It

GENERAL SANTOS, PHILIPPINES - MAY 02:  Manny Pacquiao of the Philippines undergoes training ahead of his WBA Welterweight title bout against Lucas Matthysse of Argentina in July on May 2, 2018 in General Santos, Philippines.  (Photo by Jeoffrey Maitem/Get
Jeoffrey Maitem/Getty Images

There's no denying that Pacquiao is one of the modern-day boxing greats given what he has accomplished in the sport. However, there are some concerns he's reaching the twilight of his fighting career.

It will be more than a year out of the ring in professional fights for Pacquiao by the time July 15 rolls around. He was defeated in his last fight, as Horn registered an incredible upset on home turf.

Horn was well beaten by Terence Crawford recently, and journalist Kevin Iole doesn't believe that bodes well for Pacquiao:

Kevin Iole @KevinI

Was no contest from start to finish. Shows you A) How great Crawford is; B) How completely shot Pacquiao is and C) How tough Horn is for taking such a beating for so long. #CrawfordHorn

In fairness to Pacman, his loss to Horn was in controversial circumstances.

ESPN Stats & Info noted the numbers paint a different picture:

ESPN Stats & Info @ESPNStatsInfo

Jeff Horn: Landed 92 punches (73 of them power punches); Manny Pacquiao: Landed 182 total punches (per @CompuBox) #PacquiaoHorn

Still, it was a fourth loss in nine for Pacquiao, and speaking about his opponent in the buildup to the upcoming fight, Matthysse said the defeat to Juan Manuel Marquez in 2012 has triggered a downturn in form for the Filipino, per BBC Sport.

"Sure, Manny has won so many titles, I only won one title," he said. "I am not going to give it up. I will die for it if I have to. I will defend this title to the death."

Vincent Thian/Associated Press

Pacquiao posted the following on his Twitter account, suggesting he is also up for the battle:

Manny Pacquiao @mannypacquiao

Your body can stand almost anything. It’s your mind you have to convince. https://t.co/4VBN30ZenK

The odds reflect a fight that is going to not only be tight in Kuala Lumpur, but there'll be an intriguing clash of stylistic traits.

Pacquiao may not be as ferocious as he once was, but he can still throw punches in flurries and find angles that are tough for opponents to stop. In addition, the experience he has will help him get through difficult moments, which will surely come given the way in which Matthysse goes after his opponents.

While the Argentinian may also be a little past his peak at 35, he's been more active than Pacquiao, fighting and beating Tewa Kiram in January this year to win the vacant WBA belt with an eighth-round stoppage. This fight will be a lot closer, but Matthysse has the tools to get the better of an ageing Pacman over 12 rounds.


Prediction: Matthysse via unanimous decision: 115-113, 115-113, 116-112