Texas A&M Aggies vs. Michigan Wolverines: Odds, March Madness Betting Pick

OddsShark.com@@OddsSharkFeatured ColumnistMarch 20, 2018

Michigan guard Jordan Poole (2) is chased by forward Moritz Wagner (13) after making a 3-point basket at the buzzer to win an NCAA men's college basketball tournament second-round game against Houston on Saturday, March 17, 2018, in Wichita, Kan. Michigan won 64-63. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
Charlie Riedel/Associated Press

Michigan got a near-miracle to reach the Sweet 16 of this NCAA tournament, while Texas A&M came up with a shocking blowout of the defending national champs. Where might the betting value lie for Thursday night's Aggies vs. Wolverines battle in Los Angeles?

March Madness point spread: The Wolverines opened as 3.5-point favorites; the total is at 133.5, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark (line updates and matchup report).

March Madness betting pick, via OddsShark computer: 70.5-67.5, Wolverines (March Madness picks on every game).

Check out the OddsShark podcast on iTunes or at OddsShark.libsyn.com for more odds information, betting picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news.

      

Why Texas A&M can cover the spread

The Aggies reached the Sweet 16 for the second time in the last three seasons by beating Providence in the first round of this NCAA tournament 73-69, then rocking North Carolina in the second round 85-65.

Texas A&M shot 50 percent from the floor against the Friars and won the battle on the boards 40-21; they then shot 52 percent against the Tar Heels and won that rebounding battle 50-36. So the Aggies have shot at least 50 percent from the floor four times in their last seven games, and they've outrebounded each of their last six opponents.

The Aggies used a 15-0 run against North Carolina to take a 42-28 lead into halftime. They then scored the first six points out of the locker room and never led by fewer than 17 from there, on their way to a shocking blowout as seven-point underdogs.

Texas A&M is hot at the right moment, going 9-3 SU and 8-4 ATS over its last 12 games.

      

Why Michigan can cover the spread

The Wolverines reached the Sweet 16 for the second straight year by beating Montana in the first round 61-47, then breaking Houston's heart in the second round 64-63 on a game-winning bucket at the buzzer.

Michigan trailed the Cougars by two with four seconds left, with Houston forward Devin Davis at the line. But he missed two free-throws, giving the Wolverines life, and they gladly took advantage when freshman Jordan Poole tossed one in from about 28 feet on the final play.

On the night, Michigan only shot 36 percent from the floor but held the Cougars to 37 percent. So the Wolverines have now held each of their last 12 opponents under 50 percent shooting, five of them under 40 percent.

Michigan's winning streak now sits at 11 in a row, with nine covers. The Wolverines are also now 8-4 SU and 9-3 ATS against teams that made the NCAA tournament this season.

     

Smart betting pick

The Aggies are coming off one of the greatest performances in program history. Unfortunately, efforts like that are hard to repeat. Meanwhile, Michigan has yet to give a complete performance in this tournament, but it could come here. Smart money likes the Wolverines.

     

March Madness betting trends

The total has gone over in five of Michigan's last seven games.

Michigan is 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games.

Texas A&M is 4-1 SU and ATS in its last five games with three days off between games.

     

All college basketball odds and betting trends courtesy of Bleacher Report’s official odds partner, OddsShark. Check out OddsShark on Twitter and Instagram or head to YouTube for more betting picks and analysis on this week's top games. You can also download the free odds tracker app.

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