Buffalo Bills vs. Oakland Raiders Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

"Just win, baby" has been the mantra of the Oakland Raiders (9-2) again in 2016 even though former owner Al Davis died more than five years ago.

After already securing their first winning season since 2002 when they went to the Super Bowl, the Raiders will host another team with a long playoff drought Sunday in the Buffalo Bills (6-5), who are small road underdogs.

Point spread: The Raiders opened as 3.5-point favorites; the total was 50 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. (Line updates and matchup report)

NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 29.2-19.4 Raiders (NFL picks on every game)

Why the Bills can cover the spread

The Bills last finished with a winning record in 2014 but have not made the postseason since 1999, something they hope to change this year. They remain one of two teams to upset the New England Patriots and have gone 5-0-2 against the spread in their last seven road games against teams with winning records.

Buffalo has won two straight following a three-game losing streak and is getting a lot of respect here from oddsmakers, who still do not fully believe in Oakland.

Why the Raiders can cover the spread

All the Raiders are doing lately is winning, with their current streak sitting at five since last losing to the Kansas City Chiefs 26-10 back in Week 6. They are 4-1 ATS during that stretch and barely missed covering the spread in their dramatic 35-32 win over the Carolina Panthers as 3.5-point home favorites last week.

Oakland's betting trends at the Coliseum have not been favorable when compared to how the team has performed on the road, but Buffalo has failed to cover nine of the past 11 meetings in the series.

Smart pick

The Bills have lost seven of their last 10 road games along with five of the previous seven meetings with the Raiders, something that definitely favors the home team.

Oakland, with a 56.6 percent chance to win the AFC West according to PredictionMachine.com, is battling the New England Patriots for the top seed in the AFC, and home-field advantage in the playoffs could be a bigger factor than usual this year. Nobody wants to go to New England in January, although Buffalo found a way to win there in Week 4 with the Patriots starting their third-string quarterback.

However, the postseason is an entirely different animal, so look for the Raiders to be extra motivated and win big.

Betting trends

The Bills are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against the Raiders.

The total has gone over in the Bills' last four games against the Raiders.

The Raiders are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games at home.

All NFL lines and betting trends courtesy of Bleacher Report’s official odds partner, Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line-movement updates and the Odds Shark YouTube page for picks and analysis, or download the free odds tracker app.