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NFL Week 15 Rookie Rankings: Surveying Rookie Class, Post-Week 14

Ian WhartonDec 16, 2015

Welcome to Week 15 of the 2015 NFL season. Depending on how your favorite team is playing, that may leave you relieved, nervous or excited for the postseason to arrive. More importantly for the purpose of our rookie rankings, rookies have just three regular-season games left to make an impact.

Like any draft class, there are risers and fallers one year removed from the draft. Some pleasant surprises have emerged from the undrafted pool, while several first-rounders are still struggling to even earn playing time. This is a multiyear process of development for all.

We have a lot of data at this point in the season. Although stats help guide our rankings, film is important and helps break close calls as we rank the 2015 rookies. Cross-positional rankings try to account for overall positional value and impact.

Top 50 Overall

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With the two quarterbacks cementing their positions atop our big board, we must not forget the stellar play of several rookie defenders. The defensive talent emerging throughout the 2015 season is really where the meat of the class is. This is clear looking at the top 20 overall.

The two positions that are severely lacking impact so far are offensive tackle and tight end. There have been flashes here and there for both positions, but the long-term outlook for each is not bright unless there are massive improvements over the next two years. That scenario is possible, but it’s not been an encouraging year.

Injuries have robbed several rookies of playing time, and this class will continue to look better as time passes. Take a look below at our top 50 rookies thus far.

Top 50 Rankings
RankPlayerPos.TeamPickLWMoving
1Jameis WinstonQBBuccaneers1.11Same
2Marcus Mariota  QB Titans1.22Same
3Marcus PetersCBChiefs1.183Same
4Leonard WilliamsDEJets1.65Up
5Todd GurleyRBRams1.106Up
6Amari CooperWRRaiders1.44Down
7Mario Edwards Jr.DERaiders2.310Up 
8Eddie GoldmanDTBears2.79Up
9Tyler LockettWRSeahawks3.519Up
10Ronald DarbyCBBills2.187Down
11Vic BeasleyDEFalcons1.812Up
12Mitch MorseOCChiefs2.1732Up
13Thomas RawlsRBSeahawksUDFA13Same
14Damarious RandallCBPackers1.308Down
15Jordan HicksLBEagles3.2015Same 
16Eric KendricksLBVikings2.2321Up
17Arik ArmsteadDE 49ers1.1717 Same
18Adrian AmosSAFBears2.718Same
19Kevin JohnsonCB Texans1.1611 Down
20Byron JonesSAFCowboys1.2720Same
21Shaq ThompsonLBPanthers1.2538Up
22Anthony HarrisSAFVikingsUDFAN/AUp
23Ali MarpetOGBuccaneers2.2923Same
24La'el CollinsOGCowboysUDFA24Same
25Markus GoldenLBCardinals2.26 25 Same
26Rob HavensteinOTRams2.2526Same
27Henry AndersonDEColts2.11 27Same
28Brandon ScherffOGRedskins1.528Same
29Denzel PerrymanLBChargers2.1632Up
30Malcom BrownDTPatriots1.3230Same
31Quandre DiggsCBLions6.2436Up
32Dorial Green-Beckham WRTitans2.916Down
33Tre' JacksonOGPatriots4.3233Same
34Benardrick McKinneyLBTexans4.1222Down 
35Stephone AnthonyLBSaints1.3035Down
36Hau'oli KikahaLB Saints2.1235Down
37Landon Collins SAFGiants2.137Same 
38Devin FunchessWRPanthers2.914Down
39DeVante ParkerWRDolphins 1.1439Same
40T.J. YeldonRBJaguars2.440 Same
41Stefon DiggsWRVikings5.1041Same
42Kwon AlexanderLBBuccaneers 4.2542Same 
43Jamison CrowderWRRedskins 4.624Down
44Preston SmithLBRedskins2.644Same
45Michael BennettDTJaguars 6.4N/AUp 
46Kyshoen Jarrett SAFRedskins6.546Same 
47Bud DupreeLBSteelers1.22 47Same
48Shaquille MasonOGPatriots4.3248Same
49Will TyeTE GiantsUDFAN/AUp
50Karlos WilliamsRBBills5.1931Down

Quarterbacks

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The top two picks in the draft, Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota, have been as good as anyone could have hoped. While each is working with a somewhat limited team around him, both continue to flash that star quality that was on display so often in college. This has been a fun battle to watch all season long.

Whichever quarterback you prefer really comes down to style. While Winston is less consistent with his decision-making and field vision, he also creates many chunk plays with his exquisite football intelligence. He already understands why nuance skill in the pocket is so important.

Mariota leads Winston in almost every statistical category, and that is because he is more efficient in nature. He takes what defenses give and can still be a playmaker when he has the opportunity. His supporting cast leaves much room for desire, and Mariota should continue improving as his teammates do.

Quarterback Rankings
RankPlayerPos.TeamPickLWMoving
1Jameis WinstonQBBuccaneers1.11Same
2Marcus MariotaQBTitans1.22Same
3Brett HundleyQBPackers5.113Same
4Garrett GraysonQBSaints3.114Same
5Bryce PettyQBJets4.45Same

Running Backs

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A broken ankle injury to Seahawks’ rookie Thomas Rawls derails his impressive campaign early. He was an excellent undrafted free-agent find, providing needed impact to the Seahawks offense. His status as the second-best running back will not change as the season concludes.

A new addition to the top five is David Johnson of the Arizona Cardinals. He has seen the top five before, but his work as a return man and limited offensive role led to a hiatus during the middle of the season. His emergence as a result of injuries has him back as one of the best rookie backs.

This group is deep and difficult to cipher through because of the competition. Gurley and Rawls are clearly the most impactful thus far, but this is really a position where as many as 10 backs have had moments of brilliance.

Running Back Rankings
RankPlayerPos.TeamPickLWMoving
1Todd GurleyRBRams1.101Same
2Thomas Rawls RB SeahawksUDFA2Same
T.J. Yeldon RBJaguars 2.43Same
David JohnsonRBCardinals3.22N/AUp
Karlos WilliamsRBBills5.195Same

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Wide Receivers

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On the macro level, the rookie receiver group has had a solid season. We’ve seen good production from several rookies, enough so that the bottom part of our top five has rotated all year long. Week 14 was not the same, though, as only one receiver stood out.

Tyler Lockett had a monstrous performance for the Seahawks. He logged 104 yards and two touchdowns on six receptions. His emergence is not a surprise, as he’s been a top-three receiver all season long. He moves up this week.

Amari Cooper had a disappointing week. He faced the talented Broncos secondary and came away with zero catches on seven targets. His two drops have continued his struggles in that area this season.

Wide Receiver Rankings
RankPlayerPos.TeamPickLWMoving
1Amari CooperWR Raiders1.4Same
2Tyler LockettWR Seahawks3.53Up
Dorial Green-Beckham WRTitans2.82Down
Devin FunchessWRPanthers2.94Same
DeVante ParkerWRDolphins1.145Same

Tight Ends

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There is finally some movement for our tight end positional rankings. After a great week for the rookie tight ends, we have movers and shakers playing the best football of the season right now. Our new top two are the two leading receivers at the position.

While Clive Walford had several impact catches for Oakland this week, his resume is the most impressive of anyone with his three touchdown receptions. This helped him jump into first despite being second in yards for the season to Will Tye.

Speaking of Tye, he logged his first career touchdown this past week. He’s the most productive player in terms of yards, and his first touchdown was maybe a sign of more to come. He’s a bad blocker, though, which is why he didn’t leapfrog Walford.

Tight End Rankings
RankPlayerPos.TeamPickLWMoving
1Clive WalfordTERaiders3.43Up
2Will TyeTEGiantsUDFA4Up
3Maxx WilliamsTERavens2.231Down
4Nick BoyleTERavens5.352Down
5James O'Shaughnessy TEChiefs5.375Same

Offensive Tackles

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The best rookie tackle of the 2015 season is Rob Havenstein. The Rams' second-round pick has been an impact run-blocker this season and an adequate pass protector. According to Pro Football Focus, he hasn't allowed a single sack this season. 

One positive for this group is its run-blocking ability. Havenstein and T.J. Clemmings have been the best in that area, but consistency is lacking.

Just remember this is a long-term process and investment for linemen. They’ll likely bulk up and see great technique improvements next year. The rookie returns have been downright bad to this point, though.

Offensive Tackle Rankings
RankPlayerPos.TeamPickLWMoving
Rob HavensteinOTRams2.251 Same
2Ereck FlowersOTGiants1.92 Same
Ty SambrailoOT Broncos2.273 Same
T.J. Clemmings OTVikings4.114 Same
Donovan SmithOTBuccaneers2.25 Same

Offensive Guards

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Week 14 was a good showing for the rookie offensive guards. According to Pro Football Focus, only two of the 12 who played allowed a sack, which is by far the best ratio we’ve seen all season. This has been a good position for the entire season, and the group continues to improve.

Like the tackles, the run blocking has been better than the pass blocking. That’s not to say these aren’t good pass-blockers, though. The three right guards on our list generally play without center help more often than not. To be an effective blocker in one-on-one situations more often than not is not easy.

We have slight movement as A.J. Cann swaps with Max Garcia for the fourth spot. Garcia has been exposed in recent weeks as he allows rushers into his outside hip before he can redirect them. This has led to more pass-blocking struggles compared to his performance early in the year.

Offensive Guard Rankings
RankPlayerPos.TeamPickLWMoving
1Ali MarpetGBuccaneers2.291 Same
2La'el CollinsGCowboysUDFA2 Same
Brandon ScherffGRedskins1.53 Same
Tre' JacksonGPatriots4.125 Up
A.J. CannGJaguars3.3N/A Up

Centers

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As the weeks pass, we continue to see one good center from the rookie class. Kansas City Chiefs’ center Mitch Morse has been a major upgrade for the offense. He is one of the reasons the O-line has stepped up and helped the offense be more effective at finishing drives.

The other rookies have been underwhelming thus far. Both Hroniss Grasu and Andy Gallik have been starting in recent weeks, but their limitations are clear. Neither has shown the body strength and ability to hold up against NFL defenders at this time.

Center Rankings
RankPlayerPos.TeamPickLWMoving
1Mitch MorseOCChiefs2.171Same
2David AndrewsOCPatriotsUDFA2Same
3Hroniss GrasuOCBears3.73Same
4Andy GallikOCTitans6.324Same
5Kristjan SokoliOCSeahawks6.385Same 

Defensive Ends

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Whether they're lining up as 3-4 or 4-3 defensive ends, you’re now looking at one of the three best rookie positional groups. This position is as deep as any, and the resurgence from this group over the last two weeks came off a quiet stretch of production. The arrow continues to point upward for these five players and a handful of other names who didn’t make this ranking.

We’ve seen positive play from rookies such as Danielle Hunter, Randy Gregory and Bobby Richardson. While Hunter and Gregory have bigger pedigrees, they were expected to be projects who mostly sat until they were ready. Their early playing time has shown reason for optimism that a breakout is coming in the next two years.

Edge players are another position that generally takes a few years to see major impact. The rushers who can get into the backfield well now should continue to develop into better finishers. Khalil Mack from the 2014 class is a great example of that.

Defensive End Rankings
RankPlayerPos.TeamPickLWMoving
1Leonard WilliamsDEJets1.61 Same
2Mario Edwards Jr.DERaiders2.32 Same
Vic BeasleyDEFalcons1.83 Same
Arik ArmsteadDE49ers1.174 Same
Frank ClarkDESeahawks2.315 Same  

Defensive Tackles

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The rookie defensive tackle group has continued to play well this season despite being somewhat limited in pass rushing. Only three of the rookie tackles have any type of significant pass-rush prowess. Eddie Goldman, Michael Bennett and Grady Jarrett have the most upside in that category.

Several others have been stout in run defense and flash some pass-rush talent. Specifically, David Parry and Malcom Brown fall into this category. They still have considerable value.

Two rookies who have some positive momentum are Danny Shelton and Jordan Phillips. Each has been horrible as a run defender this season, but the pass-rush presence has been there. As their bodies transform this summer into better football shape, they may start keeping their pad level low and drive through blockers.

Defensive Tackle Rankings
RankPlayerPos.TeamPickLWMoving
1Eddie GoldmanDTBears2.71Same
2Malcom BrownDTPatriots1.322Same
David Parry DTColts5.155Up
Grady JarrettDTFalcons5.13Down
Michael BennettDTJaguars6.4N/AUp

Linebackers

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Possibly the best rookie group is the linebackers. Whether standing up in a 3-4 or a 4-3 base, the top five linebackers are listed below. Although Jordan Hicks was the top linebacker, he has been removed for the time being to help highlight other high performers since he is out.

We have some movement in our top five. While Benardrick McKinney really struggled in coverage last week, Shaq Thompson returned to a significant snap count. He’s been a perfect fit for Carolina’s defense.

Although Mario Edwards Jr. has seen more snaps at outside linebacker for Oakland lately, we’re leaving him in the defensive end class for now. He’s still logged more snaps at end than linebacker, per Pro Football Focus, and this also allows us to give recognition to others.

Linebacker Rankings
RankPlayerPos.TeamPickLWMoving
1Eric KendricksLBVikings2.131Same
2Markus GoldenLBCardinals2.264Up
3Benardrick McKinneyLBTexans2.112Down
4Shaq ThompsonLBPanthers1.25N/AUp
5Denzel PerrymanLBChargers2.165Same

Cornerbacks

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The cornerbacks have been an excellent group of rookies thus far. From start to finish, we've been able to debate the merits of four quality rookies at a very difficult position to play. The fifth spot, now occupied by Quandre Diggs, has also been competitive.

There are different flavors for everyone's preference in this group. While physical cornerbacks like MArcus Peters and Kevin Johnson have had much success, so are their adversaries. Both Ronald Darby and Damarious Randall are more twitched-up athletes playing the position than the more technical corners.

I prefer Peters because of his ability to provide sticky coverage, even if he has allowed seven touchdowns. He continues to improve in the redzone, as he's shut out his opponents since Week 8. 

Cornerback Rankings
RankPlayerPos.TeamPickLWMoving
1Marcus PetersCBChiefs1.181Same
2Ronald DarbyCBBills2.182Same
3Damarious RandallCBPackers1.303Same
4Kevin JohnsonCBTexans1.164Same
5Quandre DiggsCBLions6.245Same

Safeties

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Finding safeties who can impact the passing game consistently is one of the most difficult tasks for a team. The instincts and athleticism required to play the position are not easily quantifiable. But one rookie touched the field for the first time in 2015 and showed more ball skills than anyone else in the class.

Anthony Harris of the Minnesota Vikings continued his ball-hawking ways in Week 14. He stepped in for the injured Harrison Smith and was more than solid. We’ll see if he can continue playing that well down the stretch.

Adrian Amos and Byron Jones have put out some quality film as well. Their versatility and ability to play tough-nosed defense in the running game are valuable. But more impactful plays need to start coming from each safety.

Safety Rankings
RankPlayerPos.TeamPickLWMoving
1Adrian AmosSAFBears5.61Same
2Byron JonesSAFCowboys1.272Same
3Anthony HarrisSAFVikingsUDFAN/AUp
4Landon CollinsSAFGiants2.13Down
5Clayton GeathersSAFColts4.105Same

Specialists

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A surprisingly competitive group as the season has moved along, the rookie specialists have made significant impacts on games. Whether a kicker, punter or return man, we've seen almost a dozen names rotate in and out of this ranking. This is a major positive, as some young players must make their presence felt on special teams before they can contribute elsewhere.

This week's star is Lucky Whitehead. The Cowboys found the FAU product as an undrafted free agent and must be incredibly happy with his production. He's averaging 33.7 yards per kick return this year. 

Specialist Rankings
RankPlayerPos.TeamPickLWMoving
1Josh LamboKChargersUDFA1Same
2Matt DarrPDolphinsUDFA2Same
3Lucky Whitehead KRCowboysUDFAN/AUp
4Keith MumpheryKRTexans5.394Same
5Kaelin ClayKRRavens6.85Same

All stats used are from Pro-Football-Reference.com unless otherwise noted.

Ian Wharton is an NFL Featured Columnist for Bleacher Report. 

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