Week 13 NFL Picks: Spread Advice, Best Odds and Full Game Predictions

Even at this late stage of the NFL season, almost every game still has some sort of playoff significance. This should create a fun weekend of football.

Gil Brandt of NFL.com noted how many teams are still in the running for the postseason:

This creates competitive games throughout the league instead of the usual separation with a number of teams already focused on the future and draft picks. Although the games won't necessarily be any easier to pick, it will at least be enjoyable to watch.

Despite the challenge, here is a look at predictions for the upcoming week and a breakdown of the best picks against the spread.

Away	Predicted Score	Home	ATS Pick
Green Bay Packers	17-21	Detroit Lions	DET +3
Atlanta Falcons	13-20	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TB -1.5
Cincinnati Bengals	30-17	Cleveland Browns	CIN -9.5
New York Jets	24-27	New York Giants	NYG +2
Seattle Seahawks	16-13	Minnesota Vikings	SEA -1
Houston Texans	20-24	Buffalo Bills	BUF -3
Arizona Cardinals	28-13	St. Louis Rams	ARI -5.5
San Francisco 49ers	10-16	Chicago Bears	SF +7
Jacksonville Jaguars	24-21	Tennessee Titans	JAX +2.5
Baltimore Ravens	28-27	Miami Dolphins	BAL +4
Kansas City Chiefs	20-14	Oakland Raiders	KC -3
Denver Broncos	31-17	San Diego Chargers	DEN -4.5
Carolina Panthers	30-13	New Orleans Saints	CAR -7
Philadelphia Eagles	21-34	New England Patriots	NE -9.5
Indianapolis Colts	20-24	Pittsburgh Steelers	IND +7
Dallas Cowboys	14-23	Washington Redskins	WAS -4.5

All spread info courtesy of Odds Shark.

Top Bets 

Detroit Lions (+3) vs. Green Bay Packers

Mike Roemer/Associated Press

Although the Green Bay Packers are still in good position to make the playoffs, they have not looked good lately, with four losses in the last five games. The offense has struggled immensely, with 16 or fewer points scored in three of those games.

Pro Bowl quarterback Aaron Rodgers admitted a lot of the problem is the passing attack, per Genaro C. Armas of the Associated Press:

"

We're not even being effective enough anywhere near our potential, I think. The positive signs are that we're running the ball better. The line's been blocking really well, they had a great game of pass protection and running the ball. We've just got to do a better job of winning consistently and completing passes.

"

Rodgers, who is usually one of the more accurate passers in the NFL, has completed only 53.8 percent of his passes during this rough stretch and hasn't been able to rely on any of his receivers to be a consistent weapon.

It is tough to imagine much change against the Detroit Lions, a defense that has been red-hot since the Week 9 bye. After allowing 45 points in a blowout loss to the Kansas City Chiefs, this unit has allowed only 43 points combined during a three-game winning streak, including an 18-16 win over the Packers.

Meanwhile, the offense has come alive lately thanks to more consistent play from Matthew Stafford and some added balance in the rushing attack from Ameer Abdullah. If this continues, the Lions have what it takes to pull off the rare season sweep over Green Bay.

Carolina Panthers (-7) at New Orleans Saints

Brandon Wade/Associated Press

It might finally be time to take the Carolina Panthers seriously.

As if the 11-0 record wasn't impressive enough, the Panthers continue to prove themselves with dominant performances every week. Cam Newton has helped lead the No. 3 scoring offense in the NFL to pair with the No. 3 scoring defense led by Luke Kuechly and Josh Norman.

Norman actually might have his own argument for MVP votes based on this stat from Pro Football Focus:

A quarterback taking the ball and throwing it directly out of bounds equals a better rating than those targeting Norman this season. That tells you everything you need to know about how well he is playing within this elite defense.

Conversely, nothing has gone right for the New Orleans Saints this season. The defense has been embarrassing all year, but recently, the offense has also been an issue, scoring just 20 points in the last two games combined.

With the Panthers likely creating little space with their swarming defense, the Saints are going to struggle to score once again and could end up losing a blowout at home.

Denver Broncos (-4.5) at San Diego Chargers 

Dustin Bradford/Getty Images

Although Brock Osweiler doesn't deserve all the credit for the Denver Broncos' upset win over the New England Patriots, he certainly played a big role in the win. In just his second career start, Osweiler passed for 270 yards plus a go-ahead touchdown in the final moments of regulation.

However, his most important contribution to the offense might be his fit within the system, as ESPN's Trey Wingo explained:

Unlike Peyton Manning, Osweiler is able to work from under center. This opens up a lot more possibilities with Gary Kubiak's offense, especially in the run game. C.J. Anderson and Ronnie Hillman proved that by combining for 172 rushing yards on 29 carries against the Patriots.

Against a San Diego Chargers defense allowing a league-worst 4.9 yards per carry, this duo could be in line for another big game.

San Diego does have the offense to make up for this weakness in many games, but the Denver defense has simply been too strong this year for Philip Rivers and Co. to keep up on the scoreboard. The quarterback will likely be under pressure all game long, and this should be an easy road win for the Broncos.

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