NFL Odds Week 6: Last-Minute Betting Guide, Spread and Over-Under Analysis

There is no London game that kicks off during the ungodly hours of the morning. We also don't have to watch Brandon Weeden, Nick Foles or the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this week. This has the makings of an elite Sunday in football watching.

The two things I enjoy the most are making money and sitting down for an entire weekend shuffling through channels. Ideally, I'd like to do both at the same time.

I've studied both the point spreads and totals in an attempt to give you that satisfaction. We'll also cover the movement of point spreads throughout the week, give picks on both the spread and totals and include up-to-date weather and injury reports.

Spread Picks

Phelan M. Ebenhack/Associated Press

The line: Denver @ Cleveland (+3.5)

The pick: Denver (-3.5)

The line: Miami @ Tennessee (-2)

The pick: Tennessee (-2)

The line: Washington @ New York Jets (-5.5)

The pick: New York Jets (-5.5)

The line: Kansas City @ Minnesota (-3.5)

The pick: Minnesota (-3.5)

The line: Cincinnati @ Buffalo (+1)

The pick: Cincinnati (-1)

The line: Chicago @ Detroit (-3)

The pick: Chicago (+3)

The line: Houston @ Jacksonville (+1)

The pick: Jacksonville (+1)

The line: Arizona @ Pittsburgh (+3)

The pick: Arizona (-3)

The line: Carolina @ Seattle (-7)

The pick: Carolina (+7)

The line: San Diego @ Green Bay (-11)

The pick: San Diego (+11)

The line: Baltimore @ San Francisco (+2)

The pick: Baltimore (-2)

The line: New England @ Indianapolis (+7)

The pick: New England (-7)

The line: New York Giants @ Philadelphia (-4)

The pick: New York Giants (+4)

As always, you can find my spread picks on Thursdays in Bleacher Report's Ultimate Bettor's Guide.

Line Movement

Brandon Wade/Associated Press

Denver @ Cleveland

Opened: Cleveland (+3.5)

Current: Cleveland (+4)

Miami @ Tennessee

Opened: Tennessee (-2.5)

Current: Tennessee (-1)

Washington @ New York Jets 

Opened: New York Jets (-5.5)

Current: New York Jets (-7)

Kansas City @ Minnesota 

Opened: Minnesota (-4.5)

Current: Minnesota (-3.5)

Cincinnati @ Buffalo

Opened: Buffalo (+1)

Current: Buffalo (+3)

Chicago @ Detroit

Opened: Detroit (-2.5)

Current: Detroit (-3)

Houston @ Jacksonville

Opened: Jacksonville (PK)

Current: Jacksonville (-1)

Arizona @ Pittsburgh

Opened: Pittsburgh (+3.5)

Current: Pittsburgh (+3.5)

Carolina @ Seattle

Opened: Seattle (-5.5)

Current: Seattle (-7)

San Diego @ Green Bay

Opened: Green Bay (-9.5)

Current: Green Bay (-10.5)

Baltimore @ San Francisco

Opened: San Francisco (+2)

Current: San Francisco (+2)

New England @ Indianapolis

Opened: Indianapolis (+7)

Current: Indianapolis (+10)

New York Giants @ Philadelphia

Opened: Philadelphia (-3.5)

Current: Philadelphia (-5.5)

Lines courtesy of Odds Shark.

Over-Under Picks

Weston Kenney/Associated Press

New England @ Indianapolis: Under 55

Fifty-five is just too many points. Only San Diego at Green Bay and New York Giants at Philadelphia are also above 50 points this week. No other games currently sit above 45 points. I know everyone is excited about Tom Brady taking down the Indianapolis Colts due to Deflategate, but you would have gone 5-10-1 during the Patriots' Super Bowl regular season last year making the over bet here.

San Diego @ Green Bay: Under 50.5

This is based on the health of Davante Adams. If he can go, the Packers are going to put up points again. If not, Green Bay has shown to get itself into trouble on the outside this year. This game could be a lot sloppier than most expect.

Cincinnati @ Buffalo: Under 50.5

If Tyrod Taylor can't go or is limited by his knee injury, it's going to be hard for the Buffalo Bills to score. On the defensive side of the ball, only the New England Patriots have scored a ton of points on the Bills this season. There's an off chance that this is the Bengals' letdown game after their emotional win last week.

Weather Reports

Jason Bridge-USA TODAY Sports

Open Stadium

Denver @ Cleveland

High: 46 degrees

Low: 36 degrees

Description: A.M. clouds/p.m. sun

Precipitation: 54 percent

Wind: NW 18 mph

Miami @ Tennessee

High: 61 degrees

Low: 36 degrees

Description: Sunny

Precipitation: 0 percent

Wind: NE 9 mph

Washington @ New York Jets 

High: 51 degrees

Low: 32 degrees

Description: Partly cloudy

Precipitation: 0 percent

Wind: NW 13 mph

Kansas City @ Minnesota 

High: 70 degrees

Low: 54 degrees

Description: Mostly sunny

Precipitation: 0 percent

Wind: SSE 15 mph

Cincinnati @ Buffalo

High: 43 degrees

Low: 29 degrees

Description: Snow to rain

Precipitation: 40 percent

Wind: NW 11 mph

Houston @ Jacksonville

High: 70 degrees

Low: 57 degrees

Description: A.M. clouds/p.m. sun

Precipitation: 10 percent

Wind: NNE 18 mph

Arizona @ Pittsburgh

High: 49 degrees

Low: 29 degrees

Description: Partly cloudy

Precipitation: 10 percent

Wind: WNW 13 mph

Carolina @ Seattle

High: 61 degrees

Low: 52 degrees

Description: Cloudy

Precipitation: 20 percent

Wind: S 3 mph

San Diego @ Green Bay

High: 53 degrees

Low: 40 degrees

Description: Sunny

Precipitation: 0 percent

Wind: SW 8 mph

Baltimore @ San Francisco

High: 67 degrees

Low: 59 degrees

Description: Partly cloudy

Precipitation: 10 percent

Wind: WNW 16 mph

New York Giants @ Philadelphia

High: 53 degrees

Low: 33 degrees

Description: Mostly sunny

Precipitation: 10 percent

Wind: NW 13 mph

Retractable Stadium

New England @ Indianapolis

High: 61 degrees

Low: 37 degrees

Description: Sunny

Precipitation: 0 percent

Wind: NW 9 mph

Dome Stadium

Chicago @ Detroit

All data retrieved via Weather.com's five-day forecasts.

Injury Reports

David Goldman/Associated Press

Tyrod Taylor, QB, Buffalo

Every key skill player has been dinged up for the Buffalo Bills during different points of the seasons. Taylor apparently has an MCL issue, which some said would keep him out for weeks. Currently, he's not officially out, but to keep up with the Cincinnati Bengals in the air, he'll need to be 100 percent.

J.J. Watt, DE, Houston

Everyone's favorite interior defensive lineman has come down with an illness and is questionable. This would be a huge blow to the defensive line of the Houston Texans, considering the health of outside linebacker and former first overall pick Jadeveon Clowney. The Jaguars were home dogs against the Texans for stretches during the week. I feel even better about that bet after hearing about these injuries.

Trent Williams, LT, Washington

Washington has been credited for an improving offensive line this season, but it's hard to make up for losing a left tackle. Williams is going through the concussion protocol and will miss this week's game. As a result, Kirk Cousins will throw behind an offensive line that is downgrading from an All-Pro player to someone off the bench. I'm not feeling great about the Redskins offense.

Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay

Adams is a much bigger deal than people realize. Without him and Jordy Nelson, the Green Bay Packers are not doing well when tested to win one-on-one outside. If I would have told you in March two of a team's three receivers would be James Jones and Ty Montgomery, who was thought of as a reach specialist as a third-round pick, you wouldn't expect that team to win many games in the air. Adams is going to be a game-time decision and may be the difference between a tight game and a blowout versus San Diego.