Georgia Bulldogs vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Odds, College Football Pick

OddsShark.com@@OddsSharkFeatured ColumnistSeptember 8, 2015

CHARLOTTE, NC - DECEMBER 30:  Nick Chubb #27 of the Georgia Bulldogs runs against the Louisville Cardinals during the Belk Bowl at Bank of America Stadium on December 30, 2014 in Charlotte, North Carolina. Georgia won 37-14.  (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images)
Grant Halverson/Getty Images

Georgia owns the rivalry with Vanderbilt, winning 18 of the last 20 meetings straight up but only going 10-10 against the spread in the process because it's been favored by so much so often. The Bulldogs face another large spread for Saturday afternoon's SEC opener for both teams in Nashville.

Point spread: The Bulldogs opened as 17-point favorites, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. (Line updates and matchup report)

College football pick, via Odds Shark computer: 36.5-17.3 Bulldogs

Why the Georgia Bulldogs can cover the spread

UGA opened this season with a 51-14 victory over Louisiana-Monroe, cashing in as 35-point chalk. The Bulldogs led 14-0 five minutes into the game, had the spread pushed before halftime and, when the Warhawks pulled to within 21 points in the third quarter, Georgia reapplied the gas, scoring the last 16 points of a game that was shortened to 50 minutes by bad weather.

Even with 10 less minutes to work with, the Bulldogs ran up 243 yards on the ground.

Georgia returned 13 starters this season, including 1,500-yard rusher Nick Chubb, four along one of the best offensive lines in the country and six on defense.

Why the Vanderbilt Commodores can cover the spread

Vandy began this season with a 14-12 loss to a good Western Kentucky team, but pulled out a backdoor cover as a three-point home dog. The Commodores scored with 30 seconds to go to get within two points but missed on the two-point conversion.

Vanderbilt outgained the Hilltoppers 386-247, outrushed them 169-38 and held the ball for almost 37 minutes. But Vandy lost the turnover battle 3-0, including two that occurred in the WKU end zone, and botched a short field goal.

The Commodores returned 18 starters this season, tied for second most in the country, including their starting quarterback, last year's leading rusher and top three receives, four along the offensive line and nine on defense. So they've got that going for them.

Smart pick

Georgia won this matchup last year 44-17, but Vandy covered as a 33-point dog in Athens. And the Commodores should be an improved outfit this season, with all those returning starters. If they can run the ball a bit, play some defense and eliminate the mistakes, Vandy could keep this one interesting.

Betting trends

Georgia is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games against Vanderbilt.

The total has gone over in four of Georgia’s last five games on the road.

Vanderbilt is 0-8 SU in its last eight games against the SEC.

All point spread and lines data courtesy of Odds Shark, all quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and get the free odds tracker app.

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