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Super Bowl Odds 2026, Over/Under, Box Score and Prop Picks for Seahawks vs. Patriots

Kristopher KnoxJan 28, 2026

The matchup we're getting for Super Bowl LX certainly isn't one many fans would have expected when the regular season began. However, it might make for the perfect ending to a wild and exciting 2025-26 NFL season.

The Seattle Seahawks weren't even a playoff team a year ago, but the addition of quarterback Sam Darnold helped make them the best team in the NFC. Darnold's redemption arc has become a major storyline, but it shouldn't overshadow the fact that Seattle is a well-coached team with a dominant defense.

The New England Patriots won just four games a year ago, but the arrival of head coach Mike Vrabel and offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels transformed the franchise. New England emerged as a championship-caliber team, while quarterback Drake Maye is an MVP finalist.

The two teams took different avenues to reach Super Bowl LX, but both are worthy of winning it all. The unknown now is what will transpire when the two meet. Let's take a look at the early odds and make a few predictions.

Super Bowl LX Schedule, Odds, and Over/Under Pick

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Rams Seahawks Football
Seahawks edge DeMarcus Lawrence and OT Abraham Lucas celebrate after winning the NFC Championship Game on Jan. 25

Date: Sunday, February 8

Time: 6:30 p.m. ET

Location: Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA

TV and Live Stream: NBC and Peacock

Line: SEA -4.5

Over/Under: 45.5

Moneyline: SEA -235 (bet $235 to win $100), NE +195 (bet $100 to win $195)

The Seahawks are fairly sizable favorites, which shouldn't come as a surprise. Seattle was a No. 1 seed, has a pretty complete roster, and defeated an excellent Los Angeles Rams team to reach the big game.

The Patriots did get past three top-five defenses, but they played backup Denver Broncos quarterback Jarrett Stidham in the AFC title game. New England's own defense has stepped up in the postseason, but its offense has averaged just 18 points per game.

Given the Patriots' offensive shortcomings and Seattle's elite defense, the under feels like the logical point-total play. However, we're actually going to back the over at the current line.

With two weeks to prepare, we should see a little more offensive creativity from both offenses here. It's also worth noting that both of Seattle's playoff games featured more than 46 total points.

We may not see the sort of offensive track meet Seattle had with L.A. in the NFC Championship, but a 25-21 game feels like a solid floor here.

Kenneth Walker Anytime TD

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49ers Seahawks Football
Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III

To be clear, the odds for this prop aren't particularly enticing. Kenneth Walker III has consensus -180 odds to score a touchdown at some point during Super Bowl LX.

However, Walker has become Seattle's every-down running back in recent weeks—in part, because Zach Charbonnet suffered a torn ACL—making this a solid hedge against riskier props.

Simply put, Seattle's ground game runs through Walker, and it'll actually be a surprise if he doesn't find the end zone. New England has a stout run defense, but Walker has scored four touchdowns in his two playoff games this year.

Given the quality of New England's run defense, this feels like a better pick than Walker's over/under of 75.5 rushing yards.

Drake Maye Over 6.5 Rushing Attempts

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Chargers Patriots Football
Patriots QB Drake Maye

If the Patriots hope to keep Seattle's aggressive defense off-balance, they need to lean into Maye's scrambling ability. His legs proved to be a difference-maker last week against Denver, and not just on Maye's final, game-sealing scramble for a first down.

The second-year quarterback carried the ball 10 times for 65 yards and a touchdown against the Broncos. He carried the ball 24 times in three playoff games.

Will Maye average 6-plus yards per carry against the Seahawks? Perhaps not, but McDaniel should regularly look to work QB runs into the game plan in order to mix things up. Even if Maye doesn't rack up the yardage, he should see plenty of attempts.

This feels like another fairly safe prop, and the -136 odds are a little more appealing than those of the Walker TD prop. Combining this one with Maye's rushing yards over/under of 36.5 feels like another interesting option to consider.

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Cooper Kupp Over 30.5 Receiving Yards

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Rams Seahawks Football
Seahawks WR Cooper Kupp

The Seahawks might have the league's best receiver in Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who finished the regular season with a league-high 1,793 receiving yards. Naturally, he's going to draw a ton of the Patriots' defensive attention.

Vrabel will likely employ one of two game plans to try to slow Smith-Njigba. Either he'll give the All-Pro pass-catcher consistent double teams, or he'll leave him locked with Pro Bowl cornerback Christian Gonzalez. Either plan should free up opportunities for Seattle's other receivers.

This is why Cooper Kupp's yardage total of 30.5 is enticing at -110 odds. Kupp wasn't a massive piece of Seattle's passing plan during the regular season, but Darnold often turned to him in key moments.

Kupp also tallied more than 31 receiving yards in both playoff contests after averaging 37.1 yards per game in the regular season.

*Consensus odds from the Action Network.

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