NFL Week 10 Picks: Final Overview of Consensus Picks

Many NFL fans and bettors scour the Internet on a weekly basis looking for what certain experts have to say about the league's impending matchups. While that information can be useful, it's also a good idea to see what the general public thinks as well.

After all, if you personally like the home team to cover the spread, but 90 percent of the public money is on the road team, perhaps it may lead you to dig a bit deeper into that game's factors, such as injury reports, matchups and current trends. Even if it doesn't make you change your mind, at least it helped you become well-informed.

Week 10 features 12 games over the course of Sunday and Monday, so there's plenty of chances to increase your wealth. Here's a look at the public consensus for each game, followed by some analysis for the three contests with the highest consensus percentages.

Matchup	Spread	Consensus Pick
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers	ATL -2.5	Falcons, 64%
Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens	BAL -10.5	Ravens, 63%
Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Jets	PIT -3.5	Steelers, 69%
San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints	NO -5.5	Saints, 62%
Dallas Cowboys vs. Jacksonville Jaguars*	DAL -7.5	Cowboys, 61%
Miami Dolphins at Detroit Lions	DET -2.5	Lions, 61%
Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills	Even	Chiefs, 64%
Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders	DEN -11.5	Broncos, 67%
New York Giants at Seattle Seahawks	SEA -10	Giants, 54%
St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals	AZ -7	Cardinals, 59%
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers	GB -7.5	Packers, 65%
Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles	PHI -7.5	Eagles, 60%

All game odds courtesy of Odds Shark and current as of November 8.

Consensus Pick Analysis

Pittsburgh Steelers (69 percent) at New York Jets

It's easy to see why the public is all over the Steelers simply by looking at the quarterback position.

Ben Roethlisberger has come alive for Pittsburgh over the past two weeks, setting a new NFL record with six passing touchdowns in consecutive games. He's led the Steelers to become the league's fourth-ranked passing offense, averaging 294.4 yards per game.

ESPN's Trey Wingo tweeted how quickly the quarterback rose up the league's ranks:

The Jets secondary has already been blown up by the likes of Aaron Rodgers, Philip Rivers, Peyton Manning and Tom Brady this season, and it's a pretty safe bet to think Roethlisberger will be joining this list following Sunday's action.

Meanwhile, Michael Vick will get another start for New York following the benching of Geno Smith. Vick played better in Week 9 against the Kansas City Chiefs, but he couldn't move his offense into the end zone on a consistent basis, finishing the game with just 10 offensive points.

It's tough to think Vick and the Jets will be able to keep up with the Steelers' prolific passing attack enough to cover a 3.5-point spread.

Denver Broncos (67 percent) at Oakland Raiders

This may be a riskier game than the public thinks. Looking at the stats between these two teams certainly makes this look like a no-brainer; however, looking at current trends could make a potential bettor think twice before putting money on this one.

On one hand, the Broncos have one of the league's most potent passing attacks. Future Hall of Famer Peyton Manning is rolling along once again this season, and the Broncos are the NFL's No. 2 passing offense, averaging 313.5 yards per game. With Oakland boasting the league's worst running game and 22nd-ranked passing game, it looks as though we're in line for a blowout.

Not so fast.

Oakland is actually very stout against the pass this season. While the team doesn't boast many big names, the secondary has played very well as a unit, ranking 10th in the league against the pass. This has allowed the Raiders to remain in close games with their opponents. After all, just one week ago, they lost to the Seattle Seahawks by a mere six points.

Even Broncos wide receiver Demaryius Thomas knows his team is in for a challenge Sunday, via Vic Lombardi of CBSDenver.com:

"

RT @SteveCoxDenver: Broncos Match-Up With Raiders Is No Gimme, Demaryius Thomas Says http://t.co/umDXBY4pzS -->>tonight's BLITZ

— Vic Lombardi (@VicLombardi) November 7, 2014"

Taking things one step further, Oakland hasn't lost by an 11.5-point margin since Week 4 against the Miami Dolphins. Yes, the Broncos should win this one, but it may not be as one-sided as many think.

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (65 percent)

If this game goes in a similar fashion as the first showing between these teams this season, the Packers won't have an issue covering the spread. Looking at these teams' current trends and historical matchups, the public consensus may be exactly right on this one.

First off, Bears quarterback Jay Cutler hasn't fared well against the Packers in his career. He holds a 1-10 record and has thrown 20 interceptions in those games, and he threw two in the last meeting between these teams. Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers has been historically good, and he's continued that pace this season. Here's a telling comparison, via PFT on NBCSN:

Making matters worse for Cutler is Green Bay's tendency to create takeaways this season. The Packers have accumulated 10 interceptions this year, ranking fifth in the league in that category. Combine that with five fumble recoveries, and you have a team that forced 15 takeaways in eight games.

If the Packers get out to an early lead Sunday night and Cutler is forced to throw more often than his team's game plan called for, that could lead to some errant throws, interceptions and a Packers victory.