Fantasy Football Week 10: Updated Trade Value for Top 100 Players

Timothy Rapp@@TRappaRTFeatured ColumnistNovember 6, 2014

DETROIT, MI - SEPTEMBER 08: Calvin Johnson #81 of the Detroit Lions warms up during pre-game prior to playing the New York Giants at Ford Field on September 8, 2014 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
Gregory Shamus/Getty Images

Every fantasy owner has different criteria when making a trade, and no trade can be judged without context.

Do you value what a player has done thus far this season, or do you value a player's potential upside? Do you take into account what they've done in seasons past, or do you only care about recent production? Do you value a player at certain positions higher than others? Do you make trades based on need or solely on value? Are you in a dynasty league and take the future into consideration?

Like snowflakes, no two trades are exactly the same, and no trade value chart can possibly account for every aspect of your league or your own personal philosophy. What the trade value chart can do, however, is give you a pretty good sense of how you should value players when you are making a deal so you don't get ripped off. 

Keeping that in mind, let's take a look at the Week 10 trade value chart.

Quarterbacks

Week 10 QB Trade Values
Position RankOverall RankPlayerTeamTrade Value
17Peyton ManningDenver Broncos28
28Andrew LuckIndianapolis Colts28
321Aaron RodgersGreen Bay Packers23
422Drew BreesNew Orleans Saints23
523Tom BradyNew England Patriots23
648Philip RiversSan Diego Chargers15
749Russell WilsonSeattle Seahawks15
867Colin KaepernickSan Francisco 49ers10
968Ben RoethlisbergerPittsburgh Steelers10
1069Jay CutlerChicago Bears10
1185Matt RyanAtlanta Falcons4
1286Matt StaffordDetroit Lions4
1389Cam NewtonCarolina Panthers3

Matt Stafford owners have had a rough season, but good news is on the way, as Calvin Johnson told reporters on Wednesday that he would play this week, per ESPN's Michael Rothstein. That sound you hear is Megatron and Stafford owners all dancing in unison. 

Stafford's value remains pretty low, so with the news that Megatron will return, now is probably the last time you'll be able to buy low on the player. Consider doing so. 

If you want to sell high, however, Ben Roethlisberger's value couldn't possibly be higher. You might want to wait a week to cut ties, of course—the New York Jets have allowed 24 passing touchdowns, easily the most in the NFL—but it's hard to imagine Big Ben keeping up this torrid pace.

Consider that in the past two weeks Roethlisberger has 12 touchdown passes, while in the first seven weeks of the season he had just 10 passing scores. Or consider that in the past two games Big Ben has 79 fantasy points, while in the first seven weeks he had a total of 98.

This week or next (assuming that Big Ben torches the Jets, which he probably will) you'll be getting great value for a player who traditionally is inconsistent for fantasy owners. What is the very least you could get for Big Ben?:

Again, I know those don't sound like amazing deals, but those represent the low end of the packages you could expect to get in return for Roethlisberger. There's no way Big Ben is going to keep up this torrid pace—cash in on him while you can.

Running Backs

Week 10 RB Trade Values
Position RankOverall RankPlayerTeamTrade Value
11DeMarco MurrayDallas Cowboys30
22Arian FosterHouston Texans30
33Matt ForteChicago Bears30
44Jamaal CharlesKansas City Chiefs30
55Le'Veon BellPittsburgh Steelers29
66Marshawn LynchSeattle Seahawks29
79Giovani BernardCincinnati Bengals27
810Andre EllingtonArizona Cardinals27
911LeSean McCoyPhiladelphia Eagles27
1024Alfred MorrisWashington22
1125Eddie LacyGreen Bay Packers22
1226Ahmad BradshawIndianapolis Colts22
1327Lamar MillerMiami Dolphins22
1428Ronnie HillmanDenver Broncos22
1540Chris IvoryNew York Jets17
1641Justin ForsettBaltimore Ravens17
1742Denard RobinsonJacksonville Jaguars17
1843Mark IngramNew Orleans Saints17
1953Rashad JenningsNew York Giants13
2054Frank GoreSan Francisco 49ers13
2155Shane VereenNew England Patriots13
2256Fred JacksonBuffalo Bills13
2363Darren SprolesPhiladelphia Eagles11
2464Joique BellDetroit Lions11
2565Trent RichardsonIndianapolis Colts11
2666Ryan MathewsSan Diego Chargers11
2774Darren McFaddenOakland Raiders7
2875Montee BallDenver Broncos7
2976Reggie BushDetroit Lions7
3088Bishop SankeyTennessee Titans3
3192Jerick McKinnonMinnesota Vikings2
3293Branden OliverSan Diego Chargers2
3394Bobby RaineyTampa Bay Buccaneers2
3495Doug MartinTampa Bay Buccaneers2
3596Terrance WestCleveland Browns2
3697Ben TateCleveland Browns2

At this point in the season, it seems pretty safe to say that if you don't have one of the top 14 running backs in fantasy, you're likely in serious trouble. And yes, I'm including Ronnie Hillman in that discussion, because he's been brilliant since Montee Ball went down to injury, has proved to be a better fit for Denver's offense and likely is going to keep the starting gig going forward.

So, what to do if you don't have one of those players but have some assets at other positions to trade to solidify your lineup at fantasy's trickiest position this year?

MINNEAPOLIS, MN - NOVEMBER 2: Robert Griffin III #10 of the Washington Redskins hands the ball off to teammate Alfred Morris #46 during the game against the Minnesota Vikings on November 2, 2014 at TCF Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Vikings d
Hannah Foslien/Getty Images

Well, I would first argue that you should target a player just outside of the top tier and one that has perhaps underwhelmed a little at times this year. Let's say you know an owner has Alfred Morris but would be willing to move him based on some of the dry spells Morris has seen this year—here's what you are giving up to get him:

None of these deals are particularly cheap, but that's the price you pay for some stability at fantasy's least stable position this season. 

Certain players are bound to see their value take a hit in the coming weeks. The return of Ryan Mathews will hurt Branden Oliver. The situation in Minnesota remains fluid, but Jerick McKinnon's value could take a major hit (and may have already, with Matt Asiata getting a lot of touches last week). Ben Tate may be ceding the starting gig to Terrance West in Cleveland. Who knows what's happening in Tampa Bay in that muddled backfield?

Running back remains a tough position to analyze once you get past the RB2 options. Now is probably the time to nab a top option to ensure you don't have to play matchups with running backs stuck in committees. 

Wide Receivers

Week 10 WR Trade Values
Position RankOverall RankPlayerTeamTrade Value
112Antonio BrownPittsburgh Steelers26
213Demaryius ThomasDenver Broncos26
314Jordy NelsonGreen Bay Packers26
415Dez BryantDallas Cowboys25
516A.J. GreenCincinnati Bengals25
617Randall CobbGreen Bay Packers25
718Calvin JohnsonDetroit Lions25
819Julio JonesAtlanta Falcons25
929Jeremy MaclinPhiladelphia Eagles21
1030Emmanuel SandersDenver Broncos21
1131T.Y. HiltonIndianapolis Colts21
1232DeSean JacksonWashington21
1335Brandon MarshallChicago Bears19
1436Kelvin BenjaminCarolina Panthers19
1537Alshon JefferyChicago Bears18
1638Steve SmithBaltimore Ravens18
1739Mike WallaceMiami Dolphins18
1844Golden TateDetroit Lions16
1945Mohamed SanuCincinnati Bengals16
2046Sammy WatkinsBuffalo Bills16
2147DeAndre HopkinsHouston Texans16
2257Torrey SmithBaltimore Ravens12
2358Julian EdelmanNew England Patriots12
2459Brandon LaFellNew England Patriots12
2560Mike EvansTampa Bay Buccaneers12
2661Percy HarvinSeattle Seahawks12
2762Larry FitzgeraldArizona Cardinals12
2870Andre JohnsonHouston Texans9
2971Vincent JacksonTampa Bay Buccaneers9
3072Pierre GarconWashington8
3173Eric DeckerNew York Jets8
3281Terrance WilliamsDallas Cowboys5
3382Michael FloydArizona Cardinals5
3483Michael CrabtreeSan Francisco 49ers5
3584Roddy WhiteAtlanta Falcons5
3687Martavis BryantPittsburgh Steelers4
3790Reggie WayneIndianapolis Colts3
3891Anquan BoldinSan Francisco 49ers3

We already talked about Megatron's return a little, but the following tweets from Tim Twentyman of DetroitLions.com will have his owners downright giddy:

I'm not of the belief that Johnson's return will neuter Golden Tate's fantasy value, much like I don't believe A.J. Green's return will hurt Mohamed Sanu. Yes, their targets are likely to go down, so you have to be realistic about each player's value moving forward, but both have proved to be essential playmakers and should continue to produce.

While DeAndre Hopkins has been pretty solid for fantasy owners this season, Andre Johnson has been a bust. But that might be changing, per this tweet from the Houston Texans:

Rejoice, Johnson owners, for Ryan Mallett under center can't possibly be worse than having Ryan Fitzpatrick under center, right? Right? 

You might want to wait a week before jumping back on the Johnson bandwagon to see how he connects with Mallett. But it's possible that one of fantasy's more disappointing performers is about to blow up. 

I'm not sure you'll ever be able to buy lower on Brandon Marshall than right now. It's important to remember that Marshall has been beaten up and is coming off a bye, which presumably should have given him the chance to get healthy (or healthier).

Remember, folks, Marshall and Jay Cutler are boys and have always had an excellent connection in the past, suggesting they should be able to return to that type of production down the stretch. 

I have a feeling you can get Marshall for a steal in your league. Here are the types of deals you might have to offer:

  • Denard Robinson and Ben Tate
  • Shane Vereen and Delanie Walker
  • Antonio Gates and Michael Floyd
  • Jay Cutler and Vincent Jackson (Hey, why not trade one underachieving receiver for another?)

Coming into the season, if I told you the following trade packages could potentially get you Marshall, you'd have laughed me out of the room. Savvy owners in your league might still do that, but if you know Marshall's owner is fed up with the wide receiver, now is the time to pounce.

Tight Ends

Week 10 TE Trade Values
Position RankOverall RankPlayerTeamTrade Value
120Rob GronkowskiNew England Patriots24
233Jimmy GrahamNew Orleans Saints20
334Julius ThomasDenver Broncos20
450Antonio GatesSan Diego Chargers14
551Greg OlsenCarolina Panthers14
652Martellus BennettChicago Bears14
777Dwayne AllenIndianapolis Colts6
878Travis KelceKansas City Chiefs6
979Delanie WalkerTennessee Titans6
1080Jason WittenDallas Cowboys6
1198Jordan ReedWashington2
1299Jordan CameronCleveland Browns2
13100Vernon DavisSan Francisco 49ers2

Three tight ends are really intriguing me this week. The first two are Jordan Cameron and Vernon Davis, each who have been huge flops this season. Their value will never be lower, so if you think either will rebound at some point this year, offer the Cameron or Davis owner in your league a ham sandwich and pray that these talented players turn things around.

The other is Jimmy Graham, who I believe could be one of fantasy's MVPs down the stretch. Julius Thomas dominated the early portion of the season and Rob Gronkowski can't be stopped right now, but after a slow start Jimmy Graham is starting to heat up, with 12 receptions for 142 yards and two touchdowns in the past two weeks.

CHARLOTTE, NC - OCTOBER 30:   Jimmy Graham #80 of the New Orleans Saints celebrates after defeating the Carolina Panthers 28-10 at Bank of America Stadium on October 30, 2014 in Charlotte, North Carolina.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

This is probably the last week you'll be able to get any type of bargain on Graham. Fantasy owners generally can't be swayed to move a player after three big weeks. Here's what you might have to give up right now for Graham:

  • Andre Johnson and Darren Sproles
  • Philip Rivers and Terrance Williams
  • Alshon Jeffery and Branden Oliver
  • Ronnie Hillman and Anquan Boldin
  • Justin Forsett and Bishop Sankey

Some of those deals are absolute steals, folks, and admittedly they represent the cheaper side of what you'll likely have to give up for Graham. But if you can go out and get him this week, do it—his value is going to return to sky-high levels soon enough.

All players not listed above, including defenses, have a trade value of one. Hit me up on Twitter—I'll answer your fantasy questions and make some corny jokes, too. It's more fun than sitting down and scoring touchdowns with Anthony Fasano.

Follow TRappaRT on Twitter

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