Floyd Mayweather vs. Marcos Maidana Latest Rematch Prop Bets and Fight Card Odds
Floyd Mayweather Jr. is a minus-800 favorite to defeat Marcos Rene Maidana in their rematch on Saturday at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas, per OddsShark.com.
Oddsmakers were obviously not overly impressed with Maidana's showing in the first bout with Mayweather. Almost no one expected Maidana to be as competitive as he was, but that apparently doesn't mean that Las Vegas believes El Chino will win the second meeting.
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While Mayweather is clearly the favorite in the main event, let's take a look at the odds for the entire card.
- Mickey Bey Jr. vs. Miguel "The Puppet" Vazquez -278
- Manuel Roman vs. "Terremoto" Leo Santa Cruz -100000
Examining the Undercard
Slim Edge for The Puppet
The extraordinarily tall (5'10") lightweight is the slight favorite to defend his IBF lightweight title against Mickey Bey. The challenger is just one inch shorter than Vazquez, which cuts down on the length advantage that Vazquez usually enjoys.
Bey certainly has the edge in power. He's tallied 10 knockouts in just 23 fights, while Vazquez has only recorded 13 wins by stoppage in 37 fights.
If Bey is going to prove the oddsmakers wrong, he'll have to find a way to get inside Vazquez's reach. Going to the slim champion's body would be a great approach. Because Vazquez doesn't have major punching power, Bey shouldn't have to worry about running into a major shot.
The challenger will need to pressure the champion if he's going to dethrone him. As evidenced by the odds, Bey has a real shot to come away as the victor.
Terremoto Will Have No Problems Defending His Title
The WBC super bantamweight champion is a massive favorite to beat Manuel Roman, and that's no accident. Roman was once Santa Cruz's sparring partner, so the champion knows his opponent very well.
It's safe to say there's no way Santa Cruz's team would put him in with a former sparring partner that he didn't own during workouts.
Expect a complete blowout from the champion.
Prop Bets for the Main Event
One of the prop bets is directly from Odds Shark, two are potential wagers spawned from action in the first fight.
Who Will Be Warned for Fouling First?
The first fight got pretty rough, and it was mostly precipitated by Maidana's efforts to make the action ugly. It was a smart tactic, and it seemed to put Mayweather off.
That's reason to believe Maidana may again try to muck up the action in the rematch. It's also reason to believe Mayweather may look to give El Chino a taste of his own punishment.
Both fighters will likely be wary of fouling to a point that causes them to lose a point, but they may try to push the envelope. Who will be warned first?
Who Will Be Cut First?
In the first fight, Mayweather was cut by a head-butt. It could happen to the champion again, especially because Maidana has a tendency to lead with his head.
Maidana could be cut by Mayweather's fast hands. If Money can pick up where he left off in the second half of the first fight, he may be able to damage Maidana's face until he draws blood.
Here are the odds for a Mayweather stoppage:
- Floyd Mayweather to win in rounds 1 - 3 (+2000)
- Floyd Mayweather to win in rounds 4 - 6 (+1400)
- Floyd Mayweather to win in rounds 7 - 9 (+1000)
- Floyd Mayweather to win in rounds 10 - 12 (+1200)
It's clear the odds are in favor of Mayweather winning by decision, but it's interesting to see that the most friendly odds for a stoppage win by Money is in rounds seven through nine.
Since Mayweather began fighting 12-round bouts, he's had 13 stoppage wins. Seven of those have come between the seventh and ninth rounds. That's by far the prominent range of rounds for a Mayweather KO or TKO victory.
It might be worth a small wager to bet Mayweather adds to that total. It could pay off big in the end.
Follow Brian Mazique on Twitter. I dig boxing and MMA.
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