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NFL Odds Week 5: Teams That Are Locks to Beat Early Lines

Kyle NewportJun 6, 2018

With the early lines for Week 5 already out, the Kansas City Chiefs are one of the teams that are locks to beat the odds this weekend.

Three of the six remaining undefeated teams start the week as underdogs. What do those underdogs all have in common? They all play on the road. In fact, five of the six remaining undefeated teams play on the road next week. If New Orleans beats Miami tonight, all five 4-0 teams will be the visiting teams this weekend.

With so many intriguing matchups in Week 5, there should be plenty of great football being played. 

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Per Covers.com, below is a full list of the early lines on Sept. 30 at 7 p.m., along with teams that are sure to beat the odds.

Kansas City Chiefs (+1) at Tennessee Titans

Kansas City seems to be getting penalized for its schedule. It beat up on Jacksonville in the first week of the season, and it has taken down three NFC East teams after that. Dallas kept the game close, but none of the other three games have been in doubt.

The schedule may not have been the toughest, but the Chiefs have a lot of talent. Alex Smith has done a good job of taking care of the football. The quarterback has seven touchdowns to only two interceptions. However, it has been the defense that has led the way.

Through four games, the Chiefs have allowed only 41 points. They have held two opponents to fewer than 10 points, and no team has scored more than 16 points.

On the other side of things, the Titans will be without their starting quarterback. Jake Locker injured his hip, and Ryan Fitzpatrick has a tendency to throw interceptions. The Chiefs have five picks through four weeks, so the defense creates turnovers.

Tennessee has surprised the league with a 3-1 start, but the Chiefs will come out on top.

New England Patriots (+3) at Cincinnati Bengals

After two close calls to start the season, the Patriots have looked much better the last two games. A big win over the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday night has calmed everyone down. 

Julian Edelman already has 34 receptions this season, and rookie receiver Kenbrell Thompkins has made a big impact the last two weeks. The rookie has 168 yards and three touchdowns on nine catches in the last two games.

When the Patriots play away from home, teams have averaged 22 points per game. New England has allowed only 13 total points in two home games this season. This happens to be a road game for the Patriots, but their offense is starting to click.

Aqib Talib has been one of the league's best corners this year.

Cincinnati lost to the Cleveland Browns last week. Nobody knows what to expect from the Bengals on a weekly basis. They can beat the Green Bay Packers one week and lose to the Browns the next week. The Bengals are 2-0 in Cincinnati this year, which explains why they are favored.

However, Cincinnati's secondary is banged up. Leon Hall, Dre Kirkpatrick and Reggie Nelson are all battling injuries. Tom Brady should be able to pick apart this depleted secondary. The veteran is 4-0 in his career against the Bengals, which includes 10 touchdowns to only two interceptions.

Seattle Seahawks at Indianapolis Colts (+4.5)

This looks like the most risky pick of the week, but the Colts should be given the edge. When the Seahawks play at home, they are unbeatable. No team has put up a fight in Seattle. However, the Seahawks have shown vulnerability on the road.

They had to rally in the fourth quarter of both road games this season. On Sunday, Seattle rallied from a 20-6 deficit against the Houston Texans to steal an overtime victory, with game recap courtesy of NFL.com.

Indianapolis has a balanced team. Its defense ranks eighth, and the offense can move the football in many ways. Andrew Luck continues to impress, and Trent Richardson continues to become more involved in the offense.

Although the Seahawks look like the team to beat in the NFC, they have shown weakness on the road. The Colts are a balanced enough team to beat the Seahawks, so don't be surprised when Indianapolis proves the experts wrong.  

*All stats are courtesy of NFL.com

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