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NBA: Power-Ranking Point Guards Using Pitcher-Type Stats

Charles BennettJun 7, 2018

NBA point guards are often floor leaders of their teams. I find them somewhat analogous to baseball pitchers. ย As such, I've worked to develop a stat for point guards that mirrors a pitcher stat that combines elements of performance and victory: the quality start. ย 

My stat is predicated not only on the fact thatย point guards have a good game if they rack up a decent number of points or assists, but also that point guards are effective if they captain their teams to victory.

Out of these assumptions comes the stat "quality performance."ย  A point guard receives a quality performance if he scores 10 points and has five dishes in a victory. ย A victory is pretty much the best single simplistic stat that accounts for not only playmaking, but also defense and turnovers. ย 

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I had thought about requiring 30 or more minutes for a quality performance, but I have relented on that as a requirement, in part because, unlike in baseball, basketball players are pulled in blowouts and may not get the requisite 30 minutes in those games.

This is a stat that is helped by the number of games your team has won.

Here's how various point guard stack up in that stat. ย Also included are each player's games, points and assists for the season. ย Ties are broken by fewest games played. ย ย  ย  ย  ย  ย ย 

PlayerGPTSASTQP
Russell Westbrook, Thunderย 82ย 190360752
Tony Parker, Spursย 66134149944
Chris Paul, Clippers70118667844
Deron Williams, Netsย 78ย 1476ย 60439
Stephen Curry, Warriors78178653938
Ty Lawson, Nuggetsย 73121650137
Mike Conley, Grizzliesย 80ย 1168ย 487ย 34
Jeff Teague, Hawksย 80ย 1166ย 579ย 31
Jrue Holiday, 76ersย ย 78138362530
Brandon Jennings, Bucks80139752130
Jeremy Lin, Rocketsย 82ย 1095ย 497ย 27
Damien Lillard, Blazers82ย 1562ย 531ย 26
John Wall, Wizardsย 49ย 906ย 373ย 22
George Hill, Pacers76107635522
Greivis Vasquez, Hornetsย 78ย 1083ย 704ย 22
Raymond Felton, Knicks6894837420
Goran Dragic, Suns77113456920
Darren Collison, Mavericksย 81ย 972ย 415ย 17
Steve Nash, Lakers 5063633316
Kemba Walker, Bobcatsย 82ย 1455ย 471ย 16
Mo Williams, Jazzย 46ย 592ย 285ย 14
Rajon Rondo, Celticsย 38ย 522ย 420ย 13
Jose Calderon, Raptors/Pistons7382651813
Nate Robinson, Bulls82107435813
Kyrie Irving, Cavaliers59132535012
Jameer Nelson, Magicย 56822ย 413ย 11
Ricky Rubio, Timberwolves57ย 608ย 418ย 11
Kyle Lowry, Raptors 6843579111
Isaiah Thomas, Kings 79110031611
Kirk Hinrich, Bulls6045931410
Brandon Knight, Pistons7599930310
Jason Kidd, Knicksย 76ย 458ย 249ย 5
Mario Chalmers, Heatย 
77ย 666ย 273ย 5

A cursory look at this stat is that it roughly parallels a consensus ranking of the best point guards in the NBA this season. ย Of particular note is that Russell Westbrook is ahead of Paul and Parker, largely on the strength of playing a dozen more games than either.

Also of note is that the top eight point guards in this stat are all still playing, i.e. their teams are in the playoffs. ย Holiday and Lillard have the highest number of quality performances on a non-playoff team, despite finishing near the top in assists. Hornets point Greivis Vasquez was in the middle of the pack in terms of quality performances, though I doubt that anyone would seriously argue that Vasquez is one of the 10 best point guards in the NBA, in spite of his assist numbers.

This stat is actually good at weeding out bad point guards on good teams. ย Of the 33 point guards I looked at, Mario Chalmers finished dead last in the stat, ironically tied with Jason Kidd. ย The Suns' Goran Dragic had more quality performances than both point guards in Chicago's platoon replacement for the injured Derrick Rose. ย  ย 

Also, for kicks, here are a few players who are not point guards who I expected to do well in this stat. ย I threw in Gasol because he's leading all centers in assists, and I wanted to see how high a center might go with this stat. ย 

Player GPTSASTQP
LeBron James, Heat76203655155
Kobe Bryant, Lakers78213346933
Kevin Durant, Thunder81228037426
Marc Gasol, Grizzliesย 80ย 1127ย 31819
Carmelo Anthony, Knicks6719201714

To put it in perspective, that means LeBron would be the best point guardย in the NBA if he was a point guard, making this yet another stat that proves LeBron's dominance. ย  Then again, he did lead all non-guards in assists. ย ย 

Kobe and KD have more quality performances than the majority of NBA points, but Carmelo Anthony has fewer quality performances than even Chalmers, largely due to the fact that he averages fewer than three assists a game.

Quality performances: The real way to find out who is a good point guard.

Advanced stats and game logs courtesy of Basketball-reference.com.

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