Thu April 23rd 2009 12:05p - Baseball Odds
Gil Meche is pitching like the ace of the Kansas City Royals staff that he is supposed to be, and we look for him to key an Under here as the Royals visit the Cleveland Indians.
Sure, these teams had played eight consecutive Overs against each other in Cleveland before last night, but that trend may have started to shift with that 2-0 Kansas City win over Cliff Lee, and today it is the Royals that have their best pitcher on the mound.
Meche has a 2.25 ERA and an excellent 1.15 WHIP in the early going, and he just tossed six scoreless innings while allowing only six hits vs. the hard-hitting Texas Rangers last Friday. Meche is also a proven commodity vs. the Indians, holding them to three runs or less in six of his last eight starts over the last two seasons, and he has the support of a fine Royals bullpen that owns a 3.72 ERA.
Now Anthony Reyes may be a bit of a question mark for the Indians, but he did not pitch badly in his last start vs. the New York Yankees in their new stadium that is playing like a bandbox, as he allowed a reasonable three runs and five hits in five innings. He is now facing a much weaker offense in a more pitcher-friendly park, and Reyes has allowed two runs or less in each of his three career starts vs. Kansas City.
Throw on some natural lethargy that usually exists in these Noon starts following a night game, and look for the bats to be kept quiet today.
MLB Baseball Free Prediction: Royals, Indians Under 8.5 (-110)