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Scouting Reports on the Top 3 Prospects Moved During the MLB Winter Meetings

Mike Rosenbaum
Dec 7, 2012

The Winter Meetings have come and gone, and, in general, they were a huge disappointment. Not only was there little that transpired on the free agent front, but the overall lack of tradesโ€”considering some of the monster deals that were rumored to be in the worksโ€”was especially surprising.

The one big-name prospect dealt this week was the Philliesโ€™ Trevor May, who was traded on Thursday along with Vance Worley to the Minnesota Twins. Beyond that there were a few under-the-radar acquisitions, with the Red Sox getting Kyle Kaminska from the Pirates, and the Pirates also landing Andy Oliver from the Tigers.

Hereโ€™s a look at those three pitching prospects.

Andy Oliver, LHP, Pittsburgh Pirates

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A second-round draft pick of the Tigers in 2009, Andy Oliver was regarded as a highly polished left-hander capable of reaching the major leagues in a short amount of time. Well, he reached the major leagues in June of his professional debut in 2010, and posted a 7.36 ERA over 22 innings (five starts). However, he did pitch well in 130.1 innings (3.45 ERA, 8.2 K/9, 3.5 BB/9) between Double and Triple-A.

Oliver endured a significant regression in 2011 at Triple-A Toledo, registering a 4.71 ERA, 9.1 H/9 and 4.9 BB/9 in 147 innings. And, once again, he struggled in his lone opportunity in the big leagues with a 6.52 ERA, 2.8 HR/9 and 7.4 BB/9 over two starts.

His struggles continued in 2012, as he spent the entire season at Triple-A Toledo for the second straight year. Even though his hits allowed and home runs allowed rates decreased, the 25-year-oldโ€™s walk rate shot up to a career-worst 6.7 BB/9. The excessive free passes ultimately led to a move to the Mudhensโ€™ bullpen over the second half of the season.

Oliver still has enough upside to consider using him as a starter; his fastball jumps out of his hand in the low-90s with late, arm-side action, and he still draws swing-and-misses with both breaking balls. I like this trade for the Pirates considering the Tigers clearly gave up on him last season and, therefore, made him a great change-of-scenery candidate.

Kyle Kaminska, RHP, Boston Red Sox

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I was pretty confident that Kyle Kaminska would change teams on Thursday as a Rule 5 draft selection. Well, I was partially right, I guess.

The Red Sox acquired Kaminska as the PTBNL from the Pirates on Thursday to complete the previous Zach Stewart trade. Itโ€™s been a busy year for the 6โ€™4โ€ right-hander, who also was traded by the Marlins (to the Pirates) at the 2012 trade deadline.

The 24-year-old struggled as a reliever with the Marlins, registering a 5.11 ERA and 1.6 HR/9 in 49.1 innings for Double-A Jacksonville. But upon acquiring him, the Pirates put him back into the starting rotation and he posted a 1.69 ERA over three starts. Kaminska would then post a 3.00 ERA over 12 innings for Double-A Altoona.

Kaminska possesses an arsenal full of average pitches that all play up due to his excellent command. How good is his command, you ask? Well, he owns a 1.8 BB/9 rate in 488.2 career minor league innings. In my opinion, he's a great candidate for a long-relief role or perhaps even a few spot starts.

Trevor May, RHP, Minnesota Twins

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The 6โ€™5โ€, 215-pound right-hander reached Double-A for the first time in 2012 after three straight seasons in A-ball. After an excellent first month of the season, May struggled to string consistent starts together and finished the year with a 4.87 ERA in 149.2 innings (26 starts).

Due to his size and release point, May throws a heavy fastball in the low-to-mid-90s and can reach back for a little extra when needed. In his three seasons across Low and High-A, the right-hander was able to blow away opposing hitters with elevated fastballs. However, said approach wasnโ€™t nearly as effective at the higher level, as reflected by his 1.3 HR/9 rate.

The command of his secondary pitches was also inconsistent. Although May possesses a hammer breaking ball, he tends to over-grip it and bury it. His changeup is an average pitch thatโ€™s especially effective when heโ€™s locating his fastball down in the zone.

Mayโ€™s mechanics are still inconsistent and heโ€™ll lose the feel for his arm slot on occasion, but I am encouraged by the fact that the Phillies let him work through his issues at Double-A and gain valuable experience in the process.

Over the last week, the Twins have added a pair of much-needed power arms in Alex Meyer and Trevor May, both of whom possess substantial upside as a No. 2 or No. 3 starter in the major leagues.