NCAA Tournament 2012: Chances of Each No. 1 Seed Making an Early Exit

The NCAA tournament is usually very unforgiving to its No. 1 seeds, so it's a certainty that one of the remaining top teams will get bounced before the Final Four in New Orleans.

Inconsistency and injuries have plagued each of the No. 1 seeds at some point during the tournament, making it the perfect timing for an upset in the next two rounds.

Here are each of the remaining No. 1 seeds and what their chances are of making an early exit out of the tourney.

Kentucky Wildcats: 10% chance

Of all the top teams, Kentucky has had the least amount of turbulence moving through the tournament. Breezing by Western Kentucky and Iowa St. shows exactly why the Wildcats are the best team in the country.

Their Sweet Sixteen opponent, the Indiana Hoosiers, have had a few close calls thus far, and haven't looked like the 27-8 team that beat the same Kentucky team with a buzzer-beating three earlier in the season.

The Wildcats will have quite the chip on their shoulder against one of only two teams that beat them this season, and I expect them to be motivated for this one.

Michigan St. Spartans: 40% chance

After a close win against Saint Louis University, the Spartans look to rebound with their latest matchup against Louisville.

This will be a much tougher game for Michigan St. with the Cardinals on the floor, and the Spartans must continue the same defensive effort that has gotten them this far.

However, with the quality of competition about to increase monumentally, Tom Izzo's squad must improve their overall play if they want to survive this weekend and beyond.

Syracuse Orange: 65% chance

Syracuse has done a fine job of moving through the tournament without their key big man, Fab Melo. But that was then, against teams like UNC-Asheville and Kansas St., but the competition is about to get a lot more fierce.

Wisconsin will give the Orange much more problems than a good big man could solve, specifically in the paint, where the Badgers had success on the offensive boards against Vanderbilt.

Syracuse, on the other hand, got dominated to the tune of 22 offensive boards against Kansas St. That problem is a direct result of Melo's absence, and will certainly be exploited by a more talented Badgers lineup.

I expect Wisconsin to get plenty of extra opportunities to put the ball in the basket, and that will mean the end of Syracuse's season sooner rather than later.

North Carolina Tar Heels: 85% chance

Injuries have been a killer for the Tar Heels this season, and have hit them at the most important time.

Star point guard Kendall Marshall is the latest player to fall victim to injury, and creates a huge hole for the Tar Heels that can't even be filled by their normal backup, Dexter Strickland, who is out for the season with a knee injury.

And while North Carolina might be extremely lucky to draw such a weak opponent in Ohio this weekend, they certainly won't be able to escape the rest of the tourney if Marshall can't make it.

The only reason the 15 percent is open is because of the possibility that the Tar Heels get Marshall back. Otherwise, it would be 100 percent.