March Madness 2012 Bracket Predictions: Pinpointing Biggest 2nd Round Upsets
Two No. 4 seeds will be ousted in their first game. That is going to throw many brackets straight into madness.
However—if you are reading this, which you are or else you wouldn't be reading this—you'll get a jump on the competition. Because you'll see who is going to be upset and why it is going to happen.
No. 13 Ohio over No. 4 Michigan
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Michigan will be limping into this game. They were just dismantled by Ohio State, 77-55, their last time on the court.
This is how you want to head into the tournament, only the opposite. Ohio does not have similar issues. They have won eight of their last nine.
They are also well equipped to handle Michigan. Ohio's weaknesses are they struggle to rebound (151st in the nation) and they do not efficiently execute on offense; they are 201st in field goal percentage.
That is a problematic combo; however, Michigan is worse on the boards than Ohio. The Wolverines are 311th in rebounds. This means that Ohio will get more second chance points than they are used to getting, and it will lead to them pulling off the upset.
No. 13 Montana over No. 4 Wisconsin
Montana barreled into the NCAA Tournament. They have won 14 straight games, and those games haven't been particularly close. Only five of those 14 ended with a single-digit margin.
Granted, this was not against a level of competition anywhere near what the Badgers have been facing, but it is impressive all the same.
It will also have this team brimming with confidence. And that will be enough to make the difference here.
This will be a low scoring game. Both of these teams like to work for good shots. A fast pace is not nearly as big a concern as running the offense. Montana will be right at home playing the Badgers, and that is something few teams can say.
No. 12 California over No. 5 Temple
This will actually be the second game for California. They are in the First Four against South Florida.
California will roll past South Florida, and then they will upset Temple.
The Bears will have the advantage of starting their game with Temple in rhythm. This should help them get off to a fast start. From there, their defense will seal the deal.
Temple is a guard dominated team, and Cal has one of the best defensive guards in the country with Jorge Gutierrez.
With their defense slowing down the Owls, Cal will be able to control the game with their efficient offense. This team knows how to move the ball, and they know how to get good looks. This will be enough to propel them past Temple.



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