Worst NHL Deadline Deal: Tampa Bay Lightning Moving Road Stalwart, Matt Gilroy
Tampa Bay is still only six points out of a playoff spot in the NHL's Eastern Conference with a 29-28-6 record.
When they miss the playoffs, it will be attributable to their woeful road play. They are 10-19-4, 364 on the road versus a sparkling 19-9-2, 667 home-game performance.
Winnipeg and Washington, two teams just ahead of Tampa Bay at No. 8 and No. 9 in the race, have suffered similar home/road disparities.
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TEAM HOME ROAD
Winnipeg 20-10-4, 647 11-17-4, 406
Washington 21- 8 -2, 710 11-18-3, 391
Recent NHL history reveals that numerous teams have failed to make the playoffs because of their road failures.
St Louis 2010/11 23-13-5, 622 15-20-6, 439
New Jersey 2010/11 22-16-3, 573 16-23-2, 415
Anaheim 2009/10 25-11-5, 671 14-21-6, 415
Minnesota 2009/10 25-12-4, 659 13-24-4, 366
Dallas 2009/10 23-11-7, 646 14-20-7, 427
NY Islanders 2009/10 23-14-4, 610 11-23-7, 354
Columbus 2009/10 20-12-9, 598 12-23-6, 366
Toronto 2009/10 18-17-6, 512 12-21-8, 390
Teams play poorly on the road because their players do.
Home/road "split" differences for individual players in baseball are understandable because ballparks have distinct designs in different geographic locations with varying weather.
One would think the uniformity of hockey rinks would render visitor status an insignificant factor in player performance, but that is not the case. In fact, one can argue that what distinguishes great from good NHL players is their road performance.
Future Hall-of-Famer Zdeno Chara is plus-78 home and plus-62 road in his career.
Brian Campbell is plus-59 home but minus-14 road in his career.
Shea Weber is plus-43 home but minus-two road in his career.
Tampa Bay was 26-23-4, 528 in games Matt Gilroy played in 2011-12.
Tampa Bay was 3-5-2, 400 in games Gilroy did not play.
One reason might be that Matt Gilroy is more careful with the puck, as his 20 giveaways was lowest on the Lightning relative to games played. But the primary reason is exhibited in the chart below, showing that every one of the Lightning's core defensemen has severe road difficulties.
Player 2011/12 home vs road career home vs road
Marc-Andre Bergeron +10 vs -4 +21 and -29
Eric Brewer +13 vs -15 -11 and -93
Brett Clark -6 vs -18 +3 and -52
Bruno Gervais +2 vs -7 -11 and -54
Victor Hedman +4 vs -11 +31 and -38
TOTALS +23 vs -55 +33 and -266
Matt Gilroy +3 vs -1 +1 and +6
Ironically, Gilroy is now with Ottawa where Coach Paul Maclean has the Senators' defense playing better than it has in the past. Sergie Gonchar and Chris Phillips have reduced their big career road negative numbers here in 2011/12.
Gilroy's 0.9 hits/game (49 hits in 54 games) makes him their third most punishing defenseman. His 0.65 takeaway/giveaway ratio (13 takes/20 gives) puts him in a far better position than Phillips, Gonchar and Filip Kuba and third behind only Jared Cowen and Erik Karlsson.
Look for Ottawa to surprise in the playoffs with their solid corps of defensemen bolstered by the addition of Matt Gilroy's 16-17 minutes per game.
And look for road performance numbers to be a key consideration in this summer's free agency assessment by personnel executives.





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