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ATLANTA, GA  SEPTEMBER 17:  Green Bay quarterback Jordan Love (10) drops back to pass during the NFL game between the Green Bay Packers and the Atlanta Falcons on September 17th, 2023 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA.  (Photo by Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
ATLANTA, GA SEPTEMBER 17: Green Bay quarterback Jordan Love (10) drops back to pass during the NFL game between the Green Bay Packers and the Atlanta Falcons on September 17th, 2023 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA. (Photo by Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Start 'Em, Sit 'Em Week 3: Latest Fantasy Football Lineup Advice for Sunday

Zach BuckleySep 23, 2023

Hunches, coin flips and dart throws are among the different methods fantasy football managers can use to settle lineup debates.

Or they can dive deeper by studying player and team trends to identify a favorable matchup or the proverbial hot hand.

We're here to glean info from the stat sheet and use it to make start and sit recommendations at the three marquee positions for Week 3 of the 2023 NFL season.

Start: Deshaun Watson, QB, Cleveland Browns (vs. Tennessee Titans)

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PITTSBURGH, PA - SEPTEMBER 18: Deshaun Watson #4 of the Cleveland Browns scrambles against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the first half at Acrisure Stadium on September 18, 2023 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images)
PITTSBURGH, PA - SEPTEMBER 18: Deshaun Watson #4 of the Cleveland Browns scrambles against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the first half at Acrisure Stadium on September 18, 2023 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images)

This feels a little uncomfortable given how much Watson has struggled this season and last. His six games in 2022 were uninspiring, and his first two tilts this time around have been even worse. He is completing a dreadful 55.1 percent of his passes and has the same number of interceptions as touchdowns (two each).

So, why recommend starting him this week? Because if he's ever going to post fantasy-relevant numbers, it almost has to happen this week. He has still been an effective runner (6.1 yards per carry and a score), and Cleveland could lean on that production more with Nick Chubb lost for the season. Plus, Watson should have a chance to pick apart a Tennessee that has already allowed 563 passing yards and a 67.6 completion percentage.

Sit: Jordan Love, QB, Green Bay Packers (vs. New Orleans Saints)

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ATLANTA, GEORGIA - SEPTEMBER 17: Jordan Love #10 of the Green Bay Packers warms up prior to the game against the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on September 17, 2023 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Todd Kirkland/Getty Images)
ATLANTA, GEORGIA - SEPTEMBER 17: Jordan Love #10 of the Green Bay Packers warms up prior to the game against the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on September 17, 2023 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Todd Kirkland/Getty Images)

Love has tallied the fourth-most fantasy points overall and second-most among quarterbacks so far, per FantasyPros. And yet, this hardly looks like a formula for consistent success. If he keeps throwing three touchdown passes and zero picks every week, then sure, but those aren't exactly the marks you'd expect someone averaging fewer than 200 passing yards with a 55.8 completion percentage to keep hitting.

This could certainly be the week in which it all comes crashing down. The Saints have surrendered the fourth-fewest fantasy points to the position by limiting plays (160 passing yards per game with a single touchdown) and making some of their own (three interceptions).

Start: Kendre Miller, RB, New Orleans Saints (at Green Bay Packers)

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INGLEWOOD, CALIFORNIA - AUGUST 20: Kendre Miller #25 of the New Orleans Saints looks on prior to the preseason game against the Los Angeles Chargers at SoFi Stadium on August 20, 2023 in Inglewood, California. (Photo by Katelyn Mulcahy/Getty Images)
INGLEWOOD, CALIFORNIA - AUGUST 20: Kendre Miller #25 of the New Orleans Saints looks on prior to the preseason game against the Los Angeles Chargers at SoFi Stadium on August 20, 2023 in Inglewood, California. (Photo by Katelyn Mulcahy/Getty Images)

A third-round rookie out of TCU, Miller hasn't debuted yet, as he missed the first two weeks with a hamstring injury. So, starting him requires a leap of faith.

Still, there are multiple reasons to make that jump. First, the opportunity looks great with Jamaal Williams out and Alvin Kamara suspended. Second, Miller is a talented back who popped this preseason and piled up the production for the Horned Frogs last season (1,515 scrimmage yards and 17 touchdowns). Finally, the matchup doesn't get much better, as Green Bay has given up the sixth-most fantasy points to running backs.

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Sit: Dameon Pierce, RB, Houston Texans (at Jacksonville Jaguars)

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BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - SEPTEMBER 10:  Dameon Pierce #31 of the Houston Texans runs the ball against the Baltimore Ravens during the first half at M&T Bank Stadium on September 10, 2023 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images)
BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - SEPTEMBER 10: Dameon Pierce #31 of the Houston Texans runs the ball against the Baltimore Ravens during the first half at M&T Bank Stadium on September 10, 2023 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images)

Between Pierce's talent and workload (30 touches in two games), he is someone you want to trust. But this offensive line has been wrecked by injuries, and opponents seem relatively content with trying to force rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud to beat them. That's why Pierce is awaiting his first touchdown and averaging a disastrous 2.7 yards per touch.

He'll put it together at some point, but we wouldn't wager on that happening this weekend. Not against a stingy Jaguars defense allowing the third-fewest fantasy points to the position.

Start: Zay Flowers, Wr, Baltimore Ravens (vs. Indianapolis Colts)

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CINCINNATI, OHIO - SEPTEMBER 17: Zay Flowers #4 of the Baltimore Ravens against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paycor Stadium on September 17, 2023 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
CINCINNATI, OHIO - SEPTEMBER 17: Zay Flowers #4 of the Baltimore Ravens against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paycor Stadium on September 17, 2023 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

The Week 2 return of safety-blanket tight end Mark Andrews always figured to work against Flowers, and it did. After seeing 10 targets in the opener, the rookie first-rounder saw half as many in Week 2. Still, he maximized his chances by catching four of those passes for 62 receiving yards, and he carried the ball for the second straight week, highlighting Baltimore's intention to utilize his playmaking.

The Ravens need to keep doing that, as they'll be without Odell Beckham Jr., J.K. Dobbins and Justice Hill. Flowers should stay plenty involved in this offense and could have a big day against a young Colts secondary that has yielded the second-most fantasy points to wide receivers.

Sit: DeVante Parker, WR, New England Patriots (at New York Jets)

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FOXBOROUGH, MASSACHUSETTS - SEPTEMBER 17: DeVante Parker #1 of the New England Patriots runs with the ball during the game against the Miami Dolphins at Gillette Stadium on September 17, 2023 in Foxborough, Massachusetts. (Photo by Adam Glanzman/Getty Images)
FOXBOROUGH, MASSACHUSETTS - SEPTEMBER 17: DeVante Parker #1 of the New England Patriots runs with the ball during the game against the Miami Dolphins at Gillette Stadium on September 17, 2023 in Foxborough, Massachusetts. (Photo by Adam Glanzman/Getty Images)

You could apply a "sit" recommendation to all of the Patriots' receivers this week, but we'll give Parker top billing since he looked their WR1 in his Week 2 debut. He paced the team in receiving yards (57), tied for the lead in catches (six) and was second in targets (eight).

That indicates good days could be on the horizon, although there are enough pass-catchers to make it tricky to tell which (if any) will go off any given week. They could all be in for quiet outings against the Jets, who allowed the fewest fantasy points to the position last season.

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