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SAN DIEGO, CA - SEPTEMBER 04: Kyle Schwarber #12 of the Philadelphia Phillies plays during a baseball game against the San Diego Padres on September 4, 2023 at Petco Park in San Diego, California. (Photo by Denis Poroy/Getty Images)
SAN DIEGO, CA - SEPTEMBER 04: Kyle Schwarber #12 of the Philadelphia Phillies plays during a baseball game against the San Diego Padres on September 4, 2023 at Petco Park in San Diego, California. (Photo by Denis Poroy/Getty Images)Denis Poroy/Getty Images

Kyle Schwarber and the Worst 40-Homer Seasons in MLB History

Joel ReuterSep 9, 2023

Kyle Schwarber is one of baseball's best power hitters, but his rock-bottom batting average and defensive shortcomings make him a confounding player when it comes to his all-around impact on the game.

The Philadelphia Phillies slugger has 41 home runs this season, which ranks fourth in the majors and marks the second year in a row he has reached the 40-homer mark. He has already homered four times in September, including a solo shot to lead off Thursday night's game against the San Diego Padres.

Meanwhile, he is still hitting just .195 with an NL-leading 177 strikeouts in 138 games, and with Bryce Harper spending much of the season as the team's primary designated hitter he has once again been forced to flounder in left field as one of the worst defenders in baseball.

All of that has left Schwarber as a mere 0.6-WAR player, despite his 40-homer production, which begs the question where his 2023 season ranks among the worst 40-homer campaigns in MLB history.

Who's ready for a trip down memory lane?


Note: There were multiple options for a few different players (looking at you Adam Dunn and Joey Gallo), so in an effort to provide some variety, each player was only included once.

Jeff Burroughs, 1977

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WEST PALM BEACH, FL - CIRCA 1978:  Jeff Burroughs  #7 of the Atlanta Braves bats against the Montreal Expos during a Major League Baseball spring training game circa 1978 at Municipal Stadium in West Palm Beach, Florida. Burroughs played for the Braves from 1977-80. (Photo by Focus on Sport/Getty Images)
WEST PALM BEACH, FL - CIRCA 1978: Jeff Burroughs #7 of the Atlanta Braves bats against the Montreal Expos during a Major League Baseball spring training game circa 1978 at Municipal Stadium in West Palm Beach, Florida. Burroughs played for the Braves from 1977-80. (Photo by Focus on Sport/Getty Images)

Stats: 154 G, 123 OPS+, .271/.362/.520, 157 H, 41 HR, 126 K

WAR: 0.7

Jeff Burroughs won AL MVP honors with the Texas Rangers in 1974, and he joined the Atlanta Braves prior to the 1977 season in a blockbuster deal that sent five players and $250,000 the other way.

He slugged a career-high 41 home runs in his first season with the Braves, but his disastrous defense in right field left him as just a 0.7-WAR player, which was the 11th-highest mark on a Braves team that lost 101 games.

Among the 738 players who fielded a position for at least one out during the 1977 season, Burroughs ranked dead last with minus-3.4 dWAR.

Vinny Castilla, 1996

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CHICAGO, IL - CIRCA 1996: Vinny Castilla #9 of the Colorado Rockies bats against the Chicago Cubs during an Major League Baseball game circa 1996 at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Castilla played for the Rockies from 1993-99 and in 2004 and 2006.  (Photo by Focus on Sport/Getty Images)
CHICAGO, IL - CIRCA 1996: Vinny Castilla #9 of the Colorado Rockies bats against the Chicago Cubs during an Major League Baseball game circa 1996 at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Castilla played for the Rockies from 1993-99 and in 2004 and 2006. (Photo by Focus on Sport/Getty Images)

Stats: 160 G, 112 OPS+, .304/.343/.548, 191 H, 40 HR, 88 K

WAR: 3.2

At first glance, those are fantastic numbers.

However, this was the Coors Field effect at its absolute peak, and the home/road splits that Vinny Castilla posted during the 1996 season are the reason he earns a spot on this list.

  • Home: 81 G, 1.048 OPS, .345/.389/.659, 27 HR
  • Road: 79 G, .720 OPS, .259/.291/.429, 13 HR

At home, he was a legitimate NL MVP candidate.

On the road, he was a replacement-level player, and those numbers look even worse when you consider the offensive landscape at the height of the Steroid Era.

Jose Canseco, 1998

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17 Mar 1998:  Outfielder Jose Canseco of the Toronto Blue Jays in action during a spring training game against the New York Yankees at Legends Field in Tampa, Florida. The Yankees defeated the Blue Jays 3-0. Mandatory Credit: David Seelig  /Allsport
17 Mar 1998: Outfielder Jose Canseco of the Toronto Blue Jays in action during a spring training game against the New York Yankees at Legends Field in Tampa, Florida. The Yankees defeated the Blue Jays 3-0. Mandatory Credit: David Seelig /Allsport

Stats: 151 G, .237/.318/.518, 138 H, 46 HR, 159 K

WAR: 1.5

During the offensive explosion that was the 1998 season, Jose Canseco slugged a career-high 46 home runs and won Silver Slugger honors at designated hitter in what would be his only season with the Toronto Blue Jays.

The 33-year-old also struck out an AL-leading 159 times and managed a middling .318 on-base percentage, which dragged down his overall value since his only positive contributions came in the batter's box.

At that point in his career, he was a minus-1.4 dWAR player for the 551.2 innings he did spend in the outfield, and his aggressiveness on the bases also proved to be a negative as he was caught stealing 17 times to go along with his 29 successful attempts.

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Tony Batista, 2000

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3 Jul 2000:  Tony Batista #7 of Toronto Blue Jays at bat during the game against the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. The Blue Jays defeated the Orioles 9-4.Mandatory Credit: Ezra O. Shaw  /Allsport
3 Jul 2000: Tony Batista #7 of Toronto Blue Jays at bat during the game against the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. The Blue Jays defeated the Orioles 9-4.Mandatory Credit: Ezra O. Shaw /Allsport

Stats: 154 G, 102 OPS+, .263/.307/.519, 163 H, 41 HR, 121 K

WAR: 2.4

Tony Batista might be best known for his unique batting stance, which took the idea of having an open stance to the absolute extreme.

A career journeyman who played for six different teams over his 11-year career, Batista had four different 30-homer seasons, and he slugged a career-high 41 long balls during the 2000 season.

The offensive environment in Toronto that year was something resembling Coors Field Jr. with Carlos Delgado (41 HR), Brad Fullmer (32 HR) and Jose Cruz (31 HR) joining Batista with at least 30 homers on the Blue Jays roster.

In the end, his .307 on-base percentage and an inflated offensive environment led to a middling 102 OPS+ that stands as the lowest mark ever in a 40-homer campaign.

Adam Dunn, 2012

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Baseball: Chicago White Sox Adam Dunn (32) in action, at bat vs Tampa Bay Rays at US Cellular Field.
Chicago, IL 9/29/2012
CREDIT: John Biever (Photo by John Biever /Sports Illustrated via Getty Images)
(Set Number: X155561 TK1 R1 F127 )
Baseball: Chicago White Sox Adam Dunn (32) in action, at bat vs Tampa Bay Rays at US Cellular Field. Chicago, IL 9/29/2012 CREDIT: John Biever (Photo by John Biever /Sports Illustrated via Getty Images) (Set Number: X155561 TK1 R1 F127 )

Stats: 151 G, 114 OPS+, .204/.333/.468, 110 H, 41 HR, 222 K

WAR: 1.6

Adam Dunn had five straight 40-homer seasons at the peak of his career, and while he always struck out a ton and was a defensive liability, he hit .249/.382/.533 for a 133 OPS+ during that five-year peak.

The final 40-homer campaign of his career was a different story.

The 32-year-old had seen his batting average crater to hovering around the .200 mark by the time he joined the Chicago White Sox. In 2012, he struck out a career-high 222 times for a 34.2 percent strikeout rate, and even with an AL-leading 105 walks he still only managed a .333 on-base percentage.

Chris Carter, 2016

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DENVER, CO - SEPTEMBER 30: Chris Carter #33 of the Milwaukee Brewers doubles against the Colorado Rockies during a game at Coors Field on September 30, 2016 in Denver, Colorado.  (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty Images)
DENVER, CO - SEPTEMBER 30: Chris Carter #33 of the Milwaukee Brewers doubles against the Colorado Rockies during a game at Coors Field on September 30, 2016 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty Images)

Stats: 160 G, 113 OPS+, .222/.321/.499, 122 H, 41 HR, 206 K

WAR: 0.9

An imposing 6'4", 245-pound slugger, Chris Carter enjoyed a brief MLB career with the Houston Astros and Milwaukee Brewers, peaking when he was the NL home run leader with 41 long balls in 2016.

With 951 strikeouts in 2,853 career plate appearances, he went down on strikes in exactly one-third of his trips to the plate, and that included 206 punchouts during what ended up being his only season with the Milwaukee Brewers.

He played just 62 more games in the majors after the 2016 season, despite the fact that he was just 29 years old, as it started to become increasingly difficult for one-dimensional sluggers to find a role.

Todd Frazier, 2016

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CLEVELAND, OH - SEPTEMBER 25: Todd Frazier #21 of the Chicago White Sox at bat during the seventh inning against the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field on September 25, 2016 in Cleveland, Ohio. The White Sox defeated the Indians 3-0. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images)
CLEVELAND, OH - SEPTEMBER 25: Todd Frazier #21 of the Chicago White Sox at bat during the seventh inning against the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field on September 25, 2016 in Cleveland, Ohio. The White Sox defeated the Indians 3-0. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images)

Stats: 158 G, 107 OPS+, .225/.302/.464, 133 H, 40 HR, 163 K

WAR: 3.4

Todd Frazier holds the dubious distinction of posting the lowest slugging percentage ever in a 40-homer season.

With a .225 average, .302 on-base percentage and only 21 extra-base hits that didn't travel over the outfield fence, Frazier had one of the emptier offensive seasons from a 40-homer slugger. To his credit, he was a solid defender at third base and finished strong with a .281/.341/.526 line and seven home runs in September to reach 40 long balls for the first and only time in his career.

Still, his 107 OPS+ (86th in MLB) and .464 slugging percentage (60th in MLB) both failed to crack the top 50 among qualified hitters.

Joey Gallo, 2018

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ARLINGTON, TX - SEPTEMBER 23: Joey Gallo #13 of the Texas Rangers watches his solo home run shot in the eighth inning of a game against the Seattle Mariners at Globe Life Park in Arlington on September 23, 2018 in Arlington, Texas.  (Photo by Richard Rodriguez/Getty Images)
ARLINGTON, TX - SEPTEMBER 23: Joey Gallo #13 of the Texas Rangers watches his solo home run shot in the eighth inning of a game against the Seattle Mariners at Globe Life Park in Arlington on September 23, 2018 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Richard Rodriguez/Getty Images)

Stats: 148 G, 109 OPS+, .206/.312/.498, 103 H, 40 HR, 207 K

WAR: 2.4

With 321 of his 577 plate appearances resulting in a strikeout, walk or home run, Joey Gallo was the definition of a three true outcomes player during the 2018 season, and that has been the case throughout his MLB career.

At his peak, he helped pump up his overall value with Gold Glove defense in the outfield and terrific on-base skills, but back in 2018 he was in his first year as a regular outfielder and was still a year removed from seeing a significant spike in his walk rate.

His 109 OPS+ in 2018 is the third-lowest ever in a 40-homer season.

Kyle Schwarber, 2023

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MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - SEPTEMBER 03: Kyle Schwarber #12 of the Philadelphia Phillies at bat during a game against the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field on September 03, 2023 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images)
MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - SEPTEMBER 03: Kyle Schwarber #12 of the Philadelphia Phillies at bat during a game against the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field on September 03, 2023 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images)

Stats: 138 G, 123 OPS+, .195/.345/.475, 98 H, 41 HR, 177 K

WAR: 0.6

With just 0.6 WAR through 138 games, Kyle Schwarber is having one of the worst 40-homer seasons in MLB history according to overall value, though he is currently swinging a hot bat and there is still time for him to avoid that distinction.

The 30-year-old is on pace for his second straight 200-strikeout season, though he also has 112 walks and a .345 on-base percentage, which is the reason he has spent much of the season in the leadoff spot in the batting order despite his sub-.200 batting average.

However, the biggest reason Schwarber has such a low WAR figure is has brutal defensive metrics (-19 DRS, -12.5 UZR/150) and the Phillies will have to seriously consider using him exclusively as a designated hitter going forward.

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