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Super Bowl Odds 2023: Prop Picks, Spread Projections for Chiefs vs. Eagles
February 3, 2023Super Bowl Odds 2023: Prop Picks, Spread Projections for Chiefs vs. Eagles
Barely more than a week remains before the NFL championship is decided in Super Bowl LVII.
Have you figured out where to invest your wagering dollars yet?
It's OK if you haven't. There's still time to do your research, listen to your hunches or flip a few coins—the selection method doesn't matter. It's all about the results.
Let's try to steer you toward some positive results, then, by examining—and projecting—the latest odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, including a pair of prop bets.
Schedule, Latest Line
What: Super Bowl LVII
Who: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles
When: Sunday, Feb. 12 at 6:30 p.m. ET
Where: State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona
TV: Fox
Spread: Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5)
Over/Under: 50.5
Money Line: Philadelphia Eagles (-125; bet $125 to win $100); Kansas City Chiefs (+105; bet $100 to win $105)
Prediction: Chiefs 31, Eagles 28
Miles Sanders' Rushing Yards
Philly's offense is overloaded with playmakers. While Miles Sanders is among its most electric, the wealth of talent around him means he's sometimes lost in the shuffle.
His over/under rushing line of 57.5 yards sort of gives that away. Yes, it's the highest of any Super Bowl participant this season, but it's hardly an enormous number for someone who just produced the league's fifth-most rushing yards (1,269).
And yet, I'm less than convinced he'll get there.
The Eagles spread around their carries. Sanders leads them with 28 attempts this season, but Kenneth Gainwell (26), Jalen Hurts (20) and Boston Scott (12) all have double-digit rushes, too. Sanders sometimes doesn't need a ton of attempts to make a monster impact, but that's hardly guaranteed. Last weekend, for instance, his carries only yielded 42 times. It was the sixth time in his last 11 games that he didn't tally 58-plus rushing yards.
It's also likely that the flow of this game could cut further into Sanders' workload. The Chiefs led the league in yards and points per game. The Eagles were third in both categories. This could easily become a shootout, in which case Philly might abandon the run and lean on Hurts and his receivers to keep up.
Prediction: Sanders rushes for fewer than 57.5 yards
Travis Kelce's Receiving Yards
Travis Kelce is a tight end, but his role in this offense might be better labeled as safety blanket.
Patrick Mahomes looks to his all-galaxy tight end early and often. That was true in the past, but it's even more so in the present, since Tyreek Hill is gone and no receiver of that ilk is on the roster.
Kelce's 2022 campaign might go down as the finest of his career. His 152 targets, 110 receptions and 12 touchdown catches were all personal-bests. His 1,338 receiving yards were the second-most of his career.
Other than Mahomes, Kelce is what makes this offense special. The Chiefs need him to matter in this game, since the Eagles have a (much) better defense and (a lot) more playmakers on offense. Oddsmakers have set Kelce's bar at 80.5 receiving yards, and given how badly Kansas City figures to need his impact, he could zip past that number.
Prediction: Kelce goes over 80.5 receiving yards
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