Breaking Down the Super Bowl Odds of Every Remaining Team in 2023

Fourteen teams will enter the 2022 NFL playoffs with dreams of winning a championship. Only one franchise, however, will celebrate a Super Bowl victory in February.

And as the confetti falls, you might be enjoying a payout.

No matter whether you're placing wagers or monitoring odds, though, Super Bowl futures can be informative. How do betting experts rate the 14 teams? Where do odds differ from seeding? Which teams may have a little value to target on the market?

As the postseason nears, we've provided a key strength and weakness for every playoff team to aid your research.

Odds are from DraftKings and accurate as of Wednesday, Jan. 11.

The Dreamers

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Skylar Thompson

Seattle Seahawks (+7000)

While the NFC's seventh seed has plenty of skill-position talent to support Geno Smith, the offense's ceiling is a concern. Seattle totaled just 30 points in three matchups with the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs, the best teams on Seattle's regular-season slate. For the Seahawks to make a serious run, they'll need a near-perfect four-game run on offense. And that's a lot to ask of Smith.

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Miami Dolphins (+6000)

Really, it's surprising the Dolphins' odds aren't worse. They're preparing to start third-string quarterback Skylar Thompson in the Wild Card Round. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle are an electric receiving duo, but Miami's path is incredibly difficult. If the Fins manage to stun the Buffalo Bills, the Chiefs would be next. This is an improbable situation, at best.

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New York Giants (+5500)

How far will New York's defense carry the team? During the season, the Giants surpassed the 24-point mark in only two contests. They swiped a wild-card berth anyway because the defense held the opponent below 24 on 12 different occasions. New York finished 9-2-1 in those matchups, which were largely against non-playoff teams. Against six playoff-bound opponents, the Giants went 2-6—and dropped five straight of those games to close the season.

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Jacksonville Jaguars (+5000)

There's a "just happy to be here" perception with the Jags, who capitalized on the Tennessee Titans' collapse to steal the AFC South. Nevertheless, late victories over the Baltimore Ravens and Dallas Cowboys are reason for modest optimism. Throw in Trevor Lawrence's breakout year and a defense that ranked tied for fourth in the NFL with 27 takeaways, and Jacksonville at least has a respectable outlook.

The Long Shots

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Justin Jefferson

Baltimore Ravens (+3500)

The odds undoubtedly factor in Lamar Jackson's potential availability. If he's healthy, the Ravens have a chance. Without Jackson, though, the offense is a nightmare. Over the last five weeks, Baltimore averaged an even 13 points. The team's saving grace is a defense that yielded only 18.5 points per game, the third-best mark in the league.

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Minnesota Vikings (+3500)

While not unreasonable, it's still jarring the 13-4 Vikings have identical odds to 10-7 Baltimore. Minnesota's affinity for one-score wins is both well-documented and a legitimate reason for concern. The defense ranked 28th in points allowed per game, and lopsided losses to the Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys don't help, either. But at least the Vikings have the individual talent in place to explode for 30-some points and spring an upset.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2800)

The main predicament with Tampa is 2022's unsatisfying eye test compared to Tom Brady's career accomplishments. Never count out the GOAT, right? However, the Bucs mustered just 18.4 points per game in 2022 and surrendered 30-plus points in three of the last five games. Brady's experience is practically Tampa's lone redeeming quality.

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Los Angeles Chargers (+2000)

Health is the largest variable for the Chargers. It's been a key topic all season, and now wideout Mike Williams is uncertain for the Wild Card Round because of a back injury from a meaningless Week 18 result. On paper, Los Angeles has plenty of talent on offense and an opportunistic defense. Yet between injuries and generally inconsistent play, the Chargers are 1-5 against playoff qualifiers. It's a concerning trend for a banged-up roster.

The Optimists

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Joe Burrow

Dallas Cowboys (+1200)

Do you believe in Mike McCarthy's game management enough to think the Cowboys can navigate their way to four playoff wins? Perhaps that feels harsh, but it's a fair question after his recent postseasons. The bigger issue, regardless, is Dallas' turnover woes. Following an idle Week 9, the Cowboys had 16 giveaways in the final nine contests.

If the offense avoids a meltdown, though, Dallas can be a menace, especially defensively. The unit racked up 20 takeaways during that same stretch and finds constant pressure through All-Pro rusher Micah Parsons. The best version of the Cowboys is very good, but it just has to show up.

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Cincinnati Bengals (+850)

It's only logical for the reigning AFC champions to enter the playoffs with confidence. Besides, the Bengals defeated the Chiefs during the regular season. By no means is Cincinnati outclassed by the Bills, either.

One suitable word to describe Cincy is steady. After winning on the strength of their offense one week, the Bengals might ride the defense the next. They didn't blow out many teams and only lost handily once. Cincinnati went 4-2 against postseason teams, and five of those six games were tight entering the fourth quarter. It will be uncomfortable at times, but the Bengals may keep winning.

The NFC Favorites

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Jalen Hurts

Philadelphia Eagles (+550)

In the 15 games Jalen Hurts started, the Eagles won 14 times. He's a dynamic, dual-threat quarterback who's supported by a defense that finished eighth in the NFL at 20.2 points allowed per game. Philly posted top-five rankings in third-down conversion rate, red-zone touchdown rate and takeaways on the way to earning home-field advantage in the NFC.

One manageable but genuine area of concern is the rush defense. Only eight teams surrendered more yards per carry than the Eagles' 4.6. Any of the Giants, Cowboys or 49ers are built to frustrate Philly on the ground.

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San Francisco 49ers (+500)

Despite being the No. 2 seed, the surging 49ers—winners of 10 straight games—are the NFC's betting favorite. San Francisco's main appeal, without question, is the defense. Since a blowout loss to Kansas City, the Niners have held their opponent to 20 points or fewer in nine of 10 games. They've registered a plus-16 turnover margin with 21 takeaways in that stretch.

Third-string QB Brock Purdy has done a masterful job after injuries to Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo. Purdy's inexperience may be unsettling, especially with a potential trip to face a raucous Philly crowd.

Perhaps more so, though, keep an eye on San Francisco's injury-plagued secondary. The unit benefits from playing behind a stellar pass rush yet is vulnerable if the Niners struggle to generate pressure.

The AFC Favorites

AP Photo/Ed Zurga

Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes

Buffalo Bills (+400)

Few teams are as balanced as the Bills, who finished second in both scoring offense and defense this season. Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs form one of the NFL's most lethal QB-WR combos—perhaps the best—and Buffalo generated multiple takeaways in 10 of its 16 games.

However, only the Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts had more giveaways than Buffalo's 27. There is a real possibility the Bills waste a likely win because of a foolish mistake. Buffalo has the firepower and defense to beat anyone, but the Bills weren't exactly running away from opponents during the last two-plus months of the regular season.

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Kansas City Chiefs (+350)

The league's best big-play passing attack propelled the Chiefs to an AFC-best 14-3 record. Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce are the foundation, but JuJu Smith-Schuster was a solid No. 2 option. Running back Jerick McKinnon emerged as a receiving weapon late in the season, and wideout Kadarius Toney has offered some flashy plays in limited snaps.

Yes, the Chiefs are built to out-offense the entire NFL. They're not afraid of a 35-31 style shootout because of Mahomes. Kansas City could use a positive impact from the secondary, though. Time spent leading games affects the numbers, but the Chiefs surrendered a league-worst 33 passing scores to only 11 interceptions.

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