NFL Week 16 Picks: Division Showdowns You Should Pick

When it comes to making NFL picks, the toughest games to pick are usually those between two teams in the same division. Since the teams know each other so well from playing twice (or three times) per season, it can be tough to get a good grasp on what to expect during any particular matchup.

Counting last night's AFC South battle, there are 10 division games in Week 16. Here are the three lines worth taking a look at.

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-9.5)

New England has had Miami's number in recent seasons, and, with home-field advantage on the line for the Patriots, nothing is likely to change on Saturday. Especially since Tom Brady is in such an amazing zone right now, with six straight games of a passer rating above 100.

Whenever there's a motivational gap as large as the one in this game, it's always smart to lean toward the team actually playing for something. The Dolphins have two more weeks of going through the motions before the offseason. It's basically like Thursday at work for an average Joe.

Pick: Patriots

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-13)

Things have turned against the Bears so quickly that it's hard not to feel bad for them. Unless, of course, you're a Packers fan, which makes it really easy. They appeared destined to make the playoffs before injuries to Jay Cutler and Matt Forte crippled their offense.

That said, Chicago hasn't lost to Green Bay by 13 or more points since 2008, and the Packers are coming off their first loss of the season. The Bears will take a couple lessons from the Kansas City Chiefs to put another scare into the Packers.

Pick: Bears

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (-7.5)

Even though just one game separates these two teams in the standings, it feels like they're worlds apart.

Tampa Bay has been among the NFL's most disappointing teams. The Bucs were expected to contend after breaking out last season. Instead, they have squandered a 3-1 start and can't seem to make a single stop on defense anymore.

As for the Panthers, Cam Newton has rejuvenated the franchise and given the fanbase hope throughout a 5-9 campaign. They picked up a nice win over the Houston Texans last week. Look for them to continue building momentum with another blowout victory.

Pick: Panthers