Week 15 NFL Picks: Picking This Week's Surest Bets

As it gets closer and closer to the regular season's end, making bets can get more difficult as teams battle for playoff spots, whereas others play the spoiler role.

Nonetheless, there are still some sure bets to pick and here are three to be confident in.

Click the link for a full view of the Week 15 NFL Line, and all FAVORITES are in CAPS

GREEN BAY at Kansas City (-13.5)

After the way the Packers dominated the Raiders in Week 14, we have to expect much of the same against the Chiefs. It's also been an odd year for Arrowhead Stadium as the Chiefs are just 2-4 at home and haven't won there since Week 8.

As for Green Bay, we may expect a bit more offense on the ground since Kansas City is weaker against the run and the Packers do need to improve there. We know they will shred the Chiefs in the passing game, but adding the other dimension will only make the cheese that much more dangerous.

Defensively, Green Bay is very opportunistic and with the Chiefs lacking a passing attack, they will be baited into throwing the ball as the Packers stack the box to shutdown K.C's solid rush offense.

Take the Packers against the spread

NEW ORLEANS at Minnesota (-6.5)

The only thing favoring Minnesota right now is that they do play better at home and the Saints are still learning how to win on the road (despite winning at Tennessee last week).

Only problem for the Vikings though, is that the Saints No. 1 ranked passing offense will dominate their incredibly vulnerable pass defense. Let's put it this way, if Tim Tebow can shred them, than so can Drew Brees.

Defensively for New Orleans, expect them to play press coverage and put eight defenders in the box. Minnesota's offensive strength is to run the ball, so forcing Christian Ponder into keeping pace with Brees is to their advantage.

Take the Saints against the spread

Cleveland at ARIZONA (-6.5)

This will be an interesting game if you like watching solid NFL CBs. The Browns have Joe Haden and the Cardinals have rookie Patrick Peterson. The difference though, is that Peterson will shutdown any Cleveland WR, while Arizona has Larry Fitzgerald.

Hence, advantage Arizona.

Also, the Browns have a weak rush defense, so the Cardinals will run the ball to setup the passing game and Fitz will soar above everyone. And when the Cards' are on defense, expect a lot of man-coverage with bump-n-run to force Cleveland into making quick decisions.

In addition, Arizona also has the better special teams play as Peterson has now become a very dangerous return specialist.

Take the Cardinals against the spread

Follow John Rozum on Twitter @ Sportswriter27